Bin‐Wu Wang

Xu Wang, Pengfei Gu, Pengkun Wang et al.

Spatiotemporal learning, which aims at extracting spatiotemporal correlations from the collected spatiotemporal data, is a research hotspot in recent years. And considering the inherent graph structure of spatiotemporal data, recent works focus on capturing spatial dependencies by utilizing Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) to aggregate vertex features with the guidance of adjacency matrices. In this paper, with extensive and deep-going experiments, we comprehensively analyze existing spatiotemporal graph learning models and reveal that extracting adjacency matrices with carefully design strategies, which are viewed as the key of enhancing performance on graph learning, are largely ineffective. Meanwhile, based on these experiments, we also discover that the aggregation itself is more important than the way that how vertices are aggregated. With these preliminary, a novel efficient Graph-Free Spatial (GFS) learning module based on layer normalization for capturing spatial correlations in spatiotemporal graph learning. The proposed GFS module can be easily plugged into existing models for replacing all graph convolution components. Rigorous theoretical proof demonstrates that the time complexity of GFS is significantly better than that of graph convolution operation. Extensive experiments verify the superiority of GFS in both the perspectives of efficiency and learning effect in processing graph-structured data especially extreme large scale graph data.

Zhengyang Zhou, Yang Kuo, Wei Sun et al.

Spatiotemporal forecasting is an imperative topic in data science due to its diverse and critical applications in smart cities. Existing works mostly perform consecutive predictions of following steps with observations completely and continuously obtained, where nearest observations can be exploited as key knowledge for instantaneous status estimation. However, the practical issues of early activity planning and sensor failures elicit a brand-new task, i.e., non-consecutive forecasting. In this paper, we define spatiotemporal learning systems with missing observation as Grey Spatiotemporal Systems (G2S) and propose a Factor-Decoupled learning framework for G2S (FDG2S), where the core idea is to hierarchically decouple multi-level factors and enable both flexible aggregations and disentangled uncertainty estimations. Firstly, to compensate for missing observations, a generic semantic-neighboring sequence sampling is devised, which selects representative sequences to capture both periodical regularity and instantaneous variations. Secondly, we turn the predictions of non-consecutive statuses into inferring statuses under expected combined exogenous factors. In particular, a factor-decoupled aggregation scheme is proposed to decouple factor-induced predictive intensity and region-wise proximity by two energy functions of conditional random field. To infer region-wise proximity under flexible factor-wise combinations and enable dynamic neighborhood aggregations, we further disentangle compounded influences of exogenous factors on region-wise proximity and learn to aggregate them. Given the inherent incompleteness and critical applications of G2S, a DisEntangled Uncertainty Quantification is put forward, to identify two types of uncertainty for reliability guarantees and model interpretations.

Binwu Wang, Isaac Rodriguez, Leon Breitinger et al.

The objective of this paper is to provide a baseline for performing multi-modal data classification on a novel open multimodal dataset of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which includes both image data (contrast-enhanced CT and MRI images) and tabular data (the clinical laboratory test data as well as case report forms). TNM staging is the classification task. Features from the vectorized preprocessed tabular data and radiomics features from contrast-enhanced CT and MRI images are collected. Feature selection is performed based on mutual information. An XGBoost classifier predicts the TNM staging and it shows a prediction accuracy of $0.89 \pm 0.05$ and an AUC of $0.93 \pm 0.03$. The classifier shows that this high level of prediction accuracy can only be obtained by combining image and clinical laboratory data and therefore is a good example case where multi-model classification is mandatory to achieve accurate results.

Shichao Ma, Zhengyang Zhou, Qihe Huang et al.

Time series forecasting has become increasingly important to empower diverse applications with streaming data. Zero-shot time-series forecasting (ZSF), particularly valuable in data-scarce scenarios, such as domain transfer or forecasting under extreme conditions, is difficult for traditional models to deal with. While time series pre-trained models (TSPMs) have demonstrated strong performance in ZSF, they often lack mechanisms to dynamically incorporate external knowledge. Fortunately, emerging retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) offers a promising path for injecting such knowledge on demand, yet they are rarely integrated with TSPMs. To leverage the strengths of both worlds, we introduce RAG into TSPMs to enhance zero-shot time series forecasting. In this paper, we propose QuiZSF (Quick Zero-Shot Time Series Forecaster), a lightweight and modular framework that couples efficient retrieval with representation learning and model adaptation for ZSF. Specifically, we construct a hierarchical tree-structured ChronoRAG Base (CRB) for scalable time-series storage and domain-aware retrieval, introduce a Multi-grained Series Interaction Learner (MSIL) to extract fine- and coarse-grained relational features, and develop a dual-branch Model Cooperation Coherer (MCC) that aligns retrieved knowledge with two kinds of TSPMs: Non-LLM based and LLM based. Compared with contemporary baselines, QuiZSF, with Non-LLM based and LLM based TSPMs as base model, respectively, ranks Top1 in 75% and 87.5% of prediction settings, while maintaining high efficiency in memory and inference time.