Xiangchen Liu

Xiangchen Liu, Hanghan Zheng, Jeil Jeong et al.

Vision-language Navigation (VLN) requires an agent to understand visual observations and language instructions to navigate in unseen environments. Most existing approaches rely on static scene assumptions and struggle to generalize in dynamic, real-world scenarios. To address this challenge, we propose DyGeoVLN, a dynamic geometry-aware VLN framework. Our method infuses a dynamic geometry foundation model into the VLN framework through cross-branch feature fusion to enable explicit 3D spatial representation and visual-semantic reasoning. To efficiently compress historical token information in long-horizon, dynamic navigation, we further introduce a novel pose-free and adaptive-resolution token-pruning strategy. This strategy can remove spatio-temporal redundant tokens to reduce inference cost. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on multiple benchmarks and exhibits strong robustness in real-world environments.

Yu Wang, Xiangchen Liu, Siguang Li

Regulatory stress testing requires projecting credit losses under hypothetical macroeconomic scenarios -- a fundamentally causal question typically treated as a prediction problem. We propose a framework for policy-path counterfactual inference in panels that transparently separates what can be learned from data from what requires assumptions about confounding. Our approach has four components: (i) observational identification of path-conditional means via iterated regression, enabling continuous macro-path contrasts without requiring a control group; (ii) causal set identification under bounded confounding, yielding sharp identified sets with interpretable breakdown values that communicate robustness in a single number; (iii) an oracle inequality showing that recursive rollout error is governed by a horizon-dependent amplification factor, providing a concrete answer to how far ahead one can reliably predict under stress; and (iv) importance-weighted conformal calibration bands with diagnostics that quantify extrapolation cost and trigger abstention when coverage guarantees degrade. The final output is a three-layer uncertainty decomposition that cleanly separates estimation uncertainty from confounding uncertainty. We validate all results through simulation and semi-synthetic experiments with real unemployment data, including a Covid retrospective demonstrating the framework's diagnostic value under extreme scenarios.