Hongyang R. Zhang

Thien Hang Nguyen, Hongyang R. Zhang, Huy Le Nguyen

Deep neural networks trained by minimizing the average risk can achieve strong average performance. Still, their performance for a subgroup may degrade if the subgroup is underrepresented in the overall data population. Group distributionally robust optimization (Sagawa et al., 2020a), or group DRO in short, is a widely used baseline for learning models with strong worst-group performance. We note that this method requires group labels for every example at training time and can overfit to small groups, requiring strong regularization. Given a limited amount of group labels at training time, Just Train Twice (Liu et al., 2021), or JTT in short, is a two-stage method that infers a pseudo group label for every unlabeled example first, then applies group DRO based on the inferred group labels. The inference process is also sensitive to overfitting, sometimes involving additional hyperparameters. This paper designs a simple method based on the idea of classifier retraining on independent splits of the training data. We find that using a novel sample-splitting procedure achieves robust worst-group performance in the fine-tuning step. When evaluated on benchmark image and text classification tasks, our approach consistently performs favorably to group DRO, JTT, and other strong baselines when either group labels are available during training or are only given in validation sets. Importantly, our method only relies on a single hyperparameter, which adjusts the fraction of labels used for training feature extractors vs. training classification layers. We justify the rationale of our splitting scheme with a generalization-bound analysis of the worst-group loss.

Ziniu Zhang, Minxuan Duan, Haris N. Koutsopoulos et al.

We consider analyzing traffic accident patterns using both road network data and satellite images aligned to road graph nodes. Previous work for predicting accident occurrences relies primarily on road network structural features while overlooking physical and environmental information from the road surface and its surroundings. In this work, we construct a large multimodal dataset across six U.S. states, containing nine million traffic accident records from official sources, and one million high-resolution satellite images for each node of the road network. Additionally, every node is annotated with features such as the region's weather statistics and road type (e.g., residential vs. motorway), and each edge is annotated with traffic volume information (i.e., Average Annual Daily Traffic). Utilizing this dataset, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation of multimodal learning methods that integrate both visual and network embeddings. Our findings show that integrating both data modalities improves prediction accuracy, achieving an average AUROC of $90.1\%$, which is a $3.7\%$ gain over graph neural network models that only utilize graph structures. With the improved embeddings, we conduct a causal analysis based on a matching estimator to estimate the key contributing factors influencing traffic accidents. We find that accident rates rise by $24\%$ under higher precipitation, by $22\%$ on higher-speed roads such as motorways, and by $29\%$ due to seasonal patterns, after adjusting for other confounding factors. Ablation studies confirm that satellite imagery features are essential for achieving accurate prediction.