Tiedo Tinga

Uraz Odyurt, Richard Loendersloot, Tiedo Tinga

One of the challenges apparent in the organisation of research projects is the uncertainties around the subject of demonstrators. A precise and detailed elicitation of the coverage for project demonstrators is often an afterthought and not sufficiently detailed during proposal writing. This practice leads to continuous confusion and a mismatch between targeted and achievable demonstration of results, hindering progress. The reliance on the TRL scale as a loose descriptor does not help either. We propose a demonstrator requirements elaboration framework aiming to evaluate the feasibility of targeted demonstrations, making realistic adjustments, and assist in describing requirements. In doing so, we define 5 hierarchical levels of demonstration, clearly connected to expectations, e.g., work package interaction, and also connected to the project's industrial use-cases. The considered application scope in this paper is the domain of software-intensive systems and industrial cyber-physical systems. A complete validation is not accessible, as it would require application of our framework at the start of a project and observing the results at the end, taking 4-5 years. Nonetheless, we have applied it to two research projects from our portfolio, one at the early and another at the final stages, revealing its effectiveness.

Lisandro A. Jimenez-Roa, Thiago D. Simão, Zaharah Bukhsh et al.

Large-scale infrastructure systems are crucial for societal welfare, and their effective management requires strategic forecasting and intervention methods that account for various complexities. Our study addresses two challenges within the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) framework applied to sewer assets: modeling pipe degradation across severity levels and developing effective maintenance policies. We employ Multi-State Degradation Models (MSDM) to represent the stochastic degradation process in sewer pipes and use Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to devise maintenance strategies. A case study of a Dutch sewer network exemplifies our methodology. Our findings demonstrate the model's effectiveness in generating intelligent, cost-saving maintenance strategies that surpass heuristics. It adapts its management strategy based on the pipe's age, opting for a passive approach for newer pipes and transitioning to active strategies for older ones to prevent failures and reduce costs. This research highlights DRL's potential in optimizing maintenance policies. Future research will aim improve the model by incorporating partial observability, exploring various reinforcement learning algorithms, and extending this methodology to comprehensive infrastructure management.

Natália Ribeiro Marinho, Richard Loendersloot, Jan Willem Wiegman et al.

This paper introduces a novel physics-informed impact identification (Phy-ID) framework. The proposed method integrates observational, inductive, and learning biases to combine physical knowledge with data-driven inference in a unified modelling strategy, achieving physically consistent and numerically stable impact identification. The physics-informed approach structures the input space using physics-based energy indicators, constrains admissible solutions via architectural design, and enforces governing relations via hybrid loss formulations. Together, these mechanisms limit non-physical solutions and stabilise inference under degraded measurement conditions. A disjoint inference formulation is used as a representative use case to demonstrate the framework capabilities, in which impact velocity and impactor mass are inferred through decoupled surrogate models, and impact energy is computed by enforcing kinetic energy consistency. Experimental evaluations show mean absolute percentage errors below 8% for inferred impact velocity and impactor mass and below 10% for impact energy. Additional analyses confirm stable performance under reduced data availability and increased measurement noise, as well as generalisation for out-of-distribution cases across pristine and damaged regimes when damaged responses are included in training. These results indicate that the systematic integration of physics-informed biases enables reliable, physically consistent, and data-efficient impact identification, highlighting the potential of the approach for practical monitoring systems.

Natália Ribeiro Marinho, Richard Loendersloot, Frank Grooteman et al.

Energy estimation is critical to impact identification on aerospace composites, where low-velocity impacts can induce internal damage that is undetectable at the surface. Current methodologies for energy prediction are often constrained by data sparsity, signal noise, complex feature interdependencies, non-linear dynamics, massive design spaces, and the ill-posed nature of the inverse problem. This study introduces a physics-informed framework that embeds domain knowledge into machine learning through a dedicated input space. The approach combines observational biases, which guide the design of physics-motivated features, with targeted feature selection to retain only the most informative indicators. Features are extracted from time, frequency, and time-frequency domains to capture complementary aspects of the structural response. A structured feature selection process integrating statistical significance, correlation filtering, dimensionality reduction, and noise robustness ensures physical relevance and interpretability. Exploratory data analysis further reveals domain-specific trends, yielding a reduced feature set that captures essential dynamic phenomena such as amplitude scaling, spectral redistribution, and transient signal behaviour. Together, these steps produce a compact set of energy-sensitive indicators with both statistical robustness and physical significance, resulting in impact energy predictions that remain interpretable and traceable to measurable structural responses. Using this optimised input space, a fully-connected neural network is trained and validated with experimental data from multiple impact scenarios, including pristine and damaged states. The resulting model demonstrates significantly improved impact energy prediction accuracy, reducing errors by a factor of three compared to conventional time-series techniques and purely data-driven models.

Chris Rijsdijk, Mike van de Wijnckel, Tiedo Tinga

Maintenance decisions range from the simple detection of faults to ultimately predicting future failures and solving the problem. These traditionally human decisions are nowadays increasingly supported by data and the ultimate aim is to make them autonomous. This paper explores the challenges encountered in data driven maintenance, and proposes to consider four aspects in a maturity framework: data / decision maturity, the translation from the real world to data, the computability of decisions (using models) and the causality in the obtained relations. After a discussion of the theoretical concepts involved, the exploration continues by considering a practical fault detection and identification problem. Two approaches, i.e. experience based and model based, are compared and discussed in terms of the four aspects in the maturity framework. It is observed that both approaches yield the same decisions, but still differ in the assignment of causality. This confirms that a maturity assessment not only concerns the type of decision, but should also include the other proposed aspects.

Uraz Odyurt, Richard Loendersloot, Tiedo Tinga

The variety of building blocks and algorithms incorporated in data-centric and ML-assisted fault detection and identification solutions is high, contributing to two challenges: selection of the most effective set and order of building blocks, as well as achieving such a selection with minimum cost. Considering that ML-assisted solution design is influenced by the extent of available data and the extent of available knowledge of the target system, it is advantageous to be able to select effective and matching building blocks. We introduce the first iteration of our InfoPos framework, allowing the placement of fault detection/identification use-cases based on the available levels (positions), i.e., from poor to rich, of knowledge and data dimensions. With that input, designers and developers can reveal the most effective corresponding choice(s), streamlining the solution design process. The results from a demonstrator, a fault identification use-case for industrial Cyber-Physical Systems, reflects achieved effects when different building blocks are used throughout knowledge and data positions. The achieved ML model performance is considered as the indicator for a better solution. The data processing code and composed datasets are publicly available.