2.9SYJul 7
$\ell_1$-Based Adaptive Identification under Quantized Observations with ApplicationsXin Zheng, Yifei Jin, Yujing Liu et al.
Quantized observations are ubiquitous in a wide range of applications across engineering and the social sciences, and algorithms based on the $\ell_1$-norm are well recognized for their robustness to outliers compared with their $\ell_2$-based counterparts. Nevertheless, adaptive identification methods that integrate quantized observations with $\ell_1$-optimization remain largely underexplored. Motivated by this gap, we develop a novel $\ell_1$-based adaptive identification algorithm specifically designed for quantized observations. Without relying on the traditional persistent excitation condition, we establish global convergence of the parameter estimates to their true values and show that the average regret asymptotically vanishes as the data size increases. Finally, we apply our new identification algorithm to a judicial sentencing problem using real-world data, which demonstrates its superior performance and practical significance.
4.1LGMay 20, 2025
Adaptive Sentencing Prediction with Guaranteed Accuracy and Legal InterpretabilityYifei Jin, Xin Zheng, Lei Guo
Existing research on judicial sentencing prediction predominantly relies on end-to-end models, which often neglect the inherent sentencing logic and lack interpretability-a critical requirement for both scholarly research and judicial practice. To address this challenge, we make three key contributions:First, we propose a novel Saturated Mechanistic Sentencing (SMS) model, which provides inherent legal interpretability by virtue of its foundation in China's Criminal Law. We also introduce the corresponding Momentum Least Mean Squares (MLMS) adaptive algorithm for this model. Second, for the MLMS algorithm based adaptive sentencing predictor, we establish a mathematical theory on the accuracy of adaptive prediction without resorting to any stationarity and independence assumptions on the data. We also provide a best possible upper bound for the prediction accuracy achievable by the best predictor designed in the known parameters case. Third, we construct a Chinese Intentional Bodily Harm (CIBH) dataset. Utilizing this real-world data, extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach achieves a prediction accuracy that is not far from the best possible theoretical upper bound, validating both the model's suitability and the algorithm's accuracy.
2.3AIJan 25, 2024
Are We Wasting Time? A Fast, Accurate Performance Evaluation Framework for Knowledge Graph Link PredictorsFilip Cornell, Yifei Jin, Jussi Karlgren et al.
The standard evaluation protocol for measuring the quality of Knowledge Graph Completion methods - the task of inferring new links to be added to a graph - typically involves a step which ranks every entity of a Knowledge Graph to assess their fit as a head or tail of a candidate link to be added. In Knowledge Graphs on a larger scale, this task rapidly becomes prohibitively heavy. Previous approaches mitigate this problem by using random sampling of entities to assess the quality of links predicted or suggested by a method. However, we show that this approach has serious limitations since the ranking metrics produced do not properly reflect true outcomes. In this paper, we present a thorough analysis of these effects along with the following findings. First, we empirically find and theoretically motivate why sampling uniformly at random vastly overestimates the ranking performance of a method. We show that this can be attributed to the effect of easy versus hard negative candidates. Second, we propose a framework that uses relational recommenders to guide the selection of candidates for evaluation. We provide both theoretical and empirical justification of our methodology, and find that simple and fast methods can work extremely well, and that they match advanced neural approaches. Even when a large portion of true candidates for a property are missed, the estimation barely deteriorates. With our proposed framework, we can reduce the time and computation needed similar to random sampling strategies while vastly improving the estimation; on ogbl-wikikg2, we show that accurate estimations of the full, filtered ranking can be obtained in 20 seconds instead of 30 minutes. We conclude that considerable computational effort can be saved by effective preprocessing and sampling methods and still reliably predict performance accurately of the true performance for the entire ranking procedure.