Keisuke Kawano

Yasushi Esaki, Akihiro Nakamura, Keisuke Kawano et al.

Classification models based on deep neural networks (DNNs) must be calibrated to measure the reliability of predictions. Some recent calibration methods have employed a probabilistic model on the probability simplex. However, these calibration methods cannot preserve the accuracy of pre-trained models, even those with a high classification accuracy. We propose an accuracy-preserving calibration method using the Concrete distribution as the probabilistic model on the probability simplex. We theoretically prove that a DNN model trained on cross-entropy loss has optimality as the parameter of the Concrete distribution. We also propose an efficient method that synthetically generates samples for training probabilistic models on the probability simplex. We demonstrate that the proposed method can outperform previous methods in accuracy-preserving calibration tasks using benchmarks. The code is available at https://github.com/ToyotaCRDL/SimplexTS.

Keisuke Kawano, Takuro Kutsuna, Ryoko Tokuhisa et al.

One major challenge in machine learning applications is coping with mismatches between the datasets used in the development and those obtained in real-world applications. These mismatches may lead to inaccurate predictions and errors, resulting in poor product quality and unreliable systems. In this study, we propose StyleDiff to inform developers of the differences between the two datasets for the steady development of machine learning systems. Using disentangled image spaces obtained from recently proposed generative models, StyleDiff compares the two datasets by focusing on attributes in the images and provides an easy-to-understand analysis of the differences between the datasets. The proposed StyleDiff performs in $O (d N\log N)$, where $N$ is the size of the datasets and $d$ is the number of attributes, enabling the application to large datasets. We demonstrate that StyleDiff accurately detects differences between datasets and presents them in an understandable format using, for example, driving scenes datasets.

Keisuke Kawano, Takuro Kutsuna, Naoki Hayashi et al.

In many real-world settings--e.g., single-cell RNA sequencing, mobility sensing, and environmental monitoring--data are observed only as temporally aggregated snapshots collected over finite time windows, often with noisy or uncertain timestamps, and without access to continuous trajectories. We study the problem of estimating continuous-time dynamics from such snapshots. We present Continuous-Time Optimal Transport Flow (CT-OT Flow), a two-stage framework that (i) infers high-resolution time labels by aligning neighboring intervals via partial optimal transport (POT) and (ii) reconstructs a continuous-time data distribution through temporal kernel smoothing, from which we sample pairs of nearby times to train standard ODE/SDE models. Our formulation explicitly accounts for snapshot aggregation and time-label uncertainty and uses practical accelerations (screening and mini-batch POT), making it applicable to large datasets. Across synthetic benchmarks and two real datasets (scRNA-seq and typhoon tracks), CT-OT Flow reduces distributional and trajectory errors compared with OT-CFM, [SF]\(^{2}\)M, TrajectoryNet, MFM, and ENOT.

Keisuke Kawano, Takuro Kutsuna, Keisuke Sano

Deep neural networks (DNNs) exhibit high performance in image recognition; however, the reasons for their strong generalization abilities remain unclear. A plausible hypothesis is that DNNs achieve robust and accurate predictions by identifying multiple pieces of evidence from images. Thus, to test this hypothesis, this study proposed minimal sufficient views (MSVs). MSVs is defined as a set of minimal regions within an input image that are sufficient to preserve the prediction of DNNs, thus representing the evidence discovered by the DNN. We empirically demonstrated a strong correlation between the number of MSVs (i.e., the number of pieces of evidence) and the generalization performance of the DNN models. Remarkably, this correlation was found to hold within a single DNN as well as between different DNNs, including convolutional and transformer models. This suggested that a DNN model that makes its prediction based on more evidence has a higher generalization performance. We proposed a metric based on MSVs for DNN model selection that did not require label information. Consequently, we empirically showed that the proposed metric was less dependent on the degree of overfitting, rendering it a more reliable indicator of model performance than existing metrics, such as average confidence.

Keisuke Kawano, Satoshi Koide, Keisuke Otaki

We consider a general task called partial Wasserstein covering with the goal of providing information on what patterns are not being taken into account in a dataset (e.g., dataset used during development) compared with another dataset(e.g., dataset obtained from actual applications). We model this task as a discrete optimization problem with partial Wasserstein divergence as an objective function. Although this problem is NP-hard, we prove that it satisfies the submodular property, allowing us to use a greedy algorithm with a 0.63 approximation. However, the greedy algorithm is still inefficient because it requires solving linear programming for each objective function evaluation. To overcome this inefficiency, we propose quasi-greedy algorithms that consist of a series of acceleration techniques, such as sensitivity analysis based on strong duality and the so-called C-transform in the optimal transport field. Experimentally, we demonstrate that we can efficiently fill in the gaps between the two datasets and find missing scene in real driving scenes datasets.

Noriaki Hirose, Shun Taguchi, Keisuke Kawano et al.

Self-supervised learning for monocular depth estimation is widely investigated as an alternative to supervised learning approach, that requires a lot of ground truths. Previous works have successfully improved the accuracy of depth estimation by modifying the model structure, adding objectives, and masking dynamic objects and occluded area. However, when using such estimated depth image in applications, such as autonomous vehicles, and robots, we have to uniformly believe the estimated depth at each pixel position. This could lead to fatal errors in performing the tasks, because estimated depth at some pixels may make a bigger mistake. In this paper, we theoretically formulate a variational model for the monocular depth estimation to predict the reliability of the estimated depth image. Based on the results, we can exclude the estimated depths with low reliability or refine them for actual use. The effectiveness of the proposed method is quantitatively and qualitatively demonstrated using the KITTI benchmark and Make3D dataset.

Keisuke Kawano, Takuro Kutsuna, Satoshi Koide

Multiple sequences alignment (MSA) is a traditional and challenging task for time-series analyses. The MSA problem is formulated as a discrete optimization problem and is typically solved by dynamic programming. However, the computational complexity increases exponentially with respect to the number of input sequences. In this paper, we propose neural time warping (NTW) that relaxes the original MSA to a continuous optimization and obtains the alignments using a neural network. The solution obtained by NTW is guaranteed to be a feasible solution for the original discrete optimization problem under mild conditions. Our experimental results show that NTW successfully aligns a hundred time-series and significantly outperforms existing methods for solving the MSA problem. In addition, we show a method for obtaining average time-series data as one of applications of NTW. Compared to the existing barycenters, the mean time series data retains the features of the input time-series data.

Noriaki Hirose, Satoshi Koide, Keisuke Kawano et al.

We propose a novel objective for penalizing geometric inconsistencies to improve the depth and pose estimation performance of monocular camera images. Our objective is designed using the Wasserstein distance between two point clouds, estimated from images with different camera poses. The Wasserstein distance can impose a soft and symmetric coupling between two point clouds, which suitably maintains geometric constraints and results in a differentiable objective. By adding our objective to the those of other state-of-the-art methods, we can effectively penalize geometric inconsistencies and obtain highly accurate depth and pose estimations. Our proposed method is evaluated using the KITTI dataset.

Hiroki Mori, Keisuke Kawano, Hiroki Yokoyama

In this paper, we propose a mixture of probabilistic partial canonical correlation analysis (MPPCCA) that extracts the Causal Patterns from two multivariate time series. Causal patterns refer to the signal patterns within interactions of two elements having multiple types of mutually causal relationships, rather than a mixture of simultaneous correlations or the absence of presence of a causal relationship between the elements. In multivariate statistics, partial canonical correlation analysis (PCCA) evaluates the correlation between two multivariates after subtracting the effect of the third multivariate. PCCA can calculate the Granger Causal- ity Index (which tests whether a time-series can be predicted from an- other time-series), but is not applicable to data containing multiple partial canonical correlations. After introducing the MPPCCA, we propose an expectation-maxmization (EM) algorithm that estimates the parameters and latent variables of the MPPCCA. The MPPCCA is expected to ex- tract multiple partial canonical correlations from data series without any supervised signals to split the data as clusters. The method was then eval- uated in synthetic data experiments. In the synthetic dataset, our method estimated the multiple partial canonical correlations more accurately than the existing method. To determine the types of patterns detectable by the method, experiments were also conducted on real datasets. The method estimated the communication patterns In motion-capture data. The MP- PCCA is applicable to various type of signals such as brain signals, human communication and nonlinear complex multibody systems.