Luigi Capogrosso

Andrea Avogaro, Luigi Capogrosso, Franco Fummi et al.

The fast fashion industry suffers from significant environmental impacts due to overproduction and unsold inventory. Accurately predicting sales volumes for unreleased products could significantly improve efficiency and resource utilization. However, predicting performance for entirely new items is challenging due to the lack of historical data and rapidly changing trends, and existing deterministic models often struggle with domain shifts when encountering items outside the training data distribution. The recently proposed diffusion models address this issue using a continuous-time diffusion process. This allows us to simulate how new items are adopted, reducing the impact of domain shift challenges faced by deterministic models. As a result, in this paper, we propose MDiFF: a novel two-step multimodal diffusion models-based pipeline for New Fashion Product Performance Forecasting (NFPPF). First, we use a score-based diffusion model to predict multiple future sales for different clothes over time. Then, we refine these multiple predictions with a lightweight Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP) to get the final forecast. MDiFF leverages the strengths of both architectures, resulting in the most accurate and efficient forecasting system for the fast-fashion industry at the state-of-the-art. The code can be found at https://github.com/intelligolabs/MDiFF.

Andrea Avogaro, Luigi Capogrosso, Franco Fummi et al.

In the fast-fashion industry, overproduction and unsold inventory create significant environmental problems. Precise sales forecasts for unreleased items could drastically improve the efficiency and profits of industries. However, predicting the success of entirely new styles is difficult due to the absence of past data and ever-changing trends. Specifically, currently used deterministic models struggle with domain shifts when encountering items outside their training data. The recently proposed diffusion models address this issue using a continuous-time diffusion process. Specifically, these models enable us to predict the sales of new items, mitigating the domain shift challenges encountered by deterministic models. As a result, this paper proposes Dif4FF, a novel two-stage pipeline for New Fashion Product Performance Forecasting (NFPPF) that leverages the power of diffusion models conditioned on multimodal data related to specific clothes. Dif4FF first utilizes a multimodal score-based diffusion model to forecast multiple sales trajectories for various garments over time. The forecasts are refined using a powerful Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) architecture. By leveraging the GCN's capability to capture long-range dependencies within both the temporal and spatial data and seeking the optimal solution between these two dimensions, Dif4FF offers the most accurate and efficient forecasting system available in the literature for predicting the sales of new items. We tested Dif4FF on VISUELLE, the de facto standard for NFPPF, achieving new state-of-the-art results.

Andrea Avogaro, Luigi Capogrosso, Andrea Toaiari et al.

The fast fashion industry's insatiable demand for new styles and rapid production cycles has led to a significant environmental burden. Overproduction, excessive waste, and harmful chemicals have contributed to the negative environmental impact of the industry. To mitigate these issues, a paradigm shift that prioritizes sustainability and efficiency is urgently needed. Integrating learning-based predictive analytics into the fashion industry represents a significant opportunity to address environmental challenges and drive sustainable practices. By forecasting fashion trends and optimizing production, brands can reduce their ecological footprint while remaining competitive in a rapidly changing market. However, one of the key challenges in forecasting fashion sales is the dynamic nature of consumer preferences. Fashion is acyclical, with trends constantly evolving and resurfacing. In addition, cultural changes and unexpected events can disrupt established patterns. This problem is also known as New Fashion Products Performance Forecasting (NFPPF), and it has recently gained more and more interest in the global research landscape. Given its multidisciplinary nature, the field of NFPPF has been approached from many different angles. This comprehensive survey wishes to provide an up-to-date overview that focuses on learning-based NFPPF strategies. The survey is based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) methodological flow, allowing for a systematic and complete literature review. In particular, we propose the first taxonomy that covers the learning panorama for NFPPF, examining in detail the different methodologies used to increase the amount of multimodal information, as well as the state-of-the-art available datasets. Finally, we discuss the challenges and future directions.