Colin Dawson

Ryan McCoppin, Colin Dawson, Sean M. Kennedy et al.

We introduce a metric for evaluating the robustness of a classifier, with particular attention to adversarial perturbations, in terms of expected functionality with respect to possible adversarial perturbations. A classifier is assumed to be non-functional (that is, has a functionality of zero) with respect to a perturbation bound if a conventional measure of performance, such as classification accuracy, is less than a minimally viable threshold when the classifier is tested on examples from that perturbation bound. Defining robustness in terms of an expected value is motivated by a domain general approach to robustness quantification.

Colin Reimer Dawson, Chaofan Huang, Clayton T. Morrison

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a similarity function on the state space and scaling transition probabilities by pair-wise similarities, thereby inducing correlations among the transition distributions. We present an augmented data representation of the model as a Markov Jump Process in which: (1) some jump attempts fail, and (2) the probability of success is proportional to the similarity between the source and destination states. This augmentation restores conditional conjugacy and admits a simple Gibbs sampler. We evaluate the model and inference method on a speaker diarization task and a "harmonic parsing" task using four-part chorale data, as well as on several synthetic datasets, achieving favorable comparisons to existing models.

Ernesto Brau, Colin Dawson, Alfredo Carrillo et al.

We present a probabilistic generative model for inferring a description of coordinated, recursively structured group activities at multiple levels of temporal granularity based on observations of individuals' trajectories. The model accommodates: (1) hierarchically structured groups, (2) activities that are temporally and compositionally recursive, (3) component roles assigning different subactivity dynamics to subgroups of participants, and (4) a nonparametric Gaussian Process model of trajectories. We present an MCMC sampling framework for performing joint inference over recursive activity descriptions and assignment of trajectories to groups, integrating out continuous parameters. We demonstrate the model's expressive power in several simulated and complex real-world scenarios from the VIRAT and UCLA Aerial Event video data sets.