Xianghua Li

2papers

2 Papers

64.6SIMar 10
Modeling Trend Dynamics with Variational Neural ODEs for Information Popularity Prediction

Yuchen Wang, Dongpeng Hou, Weikai Jing et al.

Predicting the future popularity of information in online social networks is a crucial yet challenging task, due to the complex spatiotemporal dynamics underlying information diffusion. Existing methods typically use structural or sequential patterns within the observation window as direct inputs for subsequent popularity prediction. However, most approaches lack the ability to explicitly model the overall trend of popularity up to the prediction time, which leads to limited predictive capability. To address these limitations, we propose VNOIP, a novel method based on variational neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) for information popularity prediction. Specifically, VNOIP introduces bidirectional jump ODEs with attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies and bidirectional context within cascade sequences. Furthermore, by jointly considering both cascade patterns and overall trend temporal patterns, VNOIP explicitly models the continuous-time dynamics of popularity trend trajectories with variational neural ODEs. Additionally, a knowledge distillation loss is employed to align the evolution of prior and posterior latent variables. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that VNOIP is highly competitive in both prediction accuracy and efficiency compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

53.9CLApr 8Code
STRIDE-ED: A Strategy-Grounded Stepwise Reasoning Framework for Empathetic Dialogue Systems

Hongru Ji, Yuyin Fan, Meng Zhao et al.

Empathetic dialogue requires not only recognizing a user's emotional state but also making strategy-aware, context-sensitive decisions throughout response generation. However, the lack of a comprehensive empathy strategy framework, explicit task-aligned multi-stage reasoning, and high-quality strategy-aware data fundamentally limits existing approaches, preventing them from effectively modeling empathetic dialogue as a complex, multi-stage cognitive and decision-making process. To address these challenges, we propose STRIDE-ED, a STRategy-grounded, Interpretable, and DEep reasoning framework that models Empathetic Dialogue through structured, strategy-conditioned reasoning. To support effective learning, we develop a strategy-aware data refinement pipeline integrating LLM-based annotation, multi-model consistency-weighted evaluation, and dynamic sampling to construct high-quality training data aligned with empathetic strategies. Furthermore, we adopt a two-stage training paradigm that combines supervised fine-tuning with multi-objective reinforcement learning to better align model behaviors with target emotions, empathetic strategies, and response formats. Extensive experiments demonstrate that STRIDE-ED generalizes across diverse open-source LLMs and consistently outperforms existing methods on both automatic metrics and human evaluations.