Aikins Laryea

2papers

2 Papers

LGFeb 28
From Stochastic Answers to Verifiable Reasoning: Interpretable Decision-Making with LLM-Generated Code

Anirudh Jaidev Mahesh, Ben Griffin, Fuat Alican et al.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for high-stakes decision-making, yet existing approaches struggle to reconcile scalability, interpretability, and reproducibility. Black-box models obscure their reasoning, while recent LLM-based rule systems rely on per-sample evaluation, causing costs to scale with dataset size and introducing stochastic, hallucination-prone outputs. We propose reframing LLMs as code generators rather than per-instance evaluators. A single LLM call generates executable, human-readable decision logic that runs deterministically over structured data, eliminating per-sample LLM queries while enabling reproducible and auditable predictions. We combine code generation with automated statistical validation using precision lift, binomial significance testing, and coverage filtering, and apply cluster-based gap analysis to iteratively refine decision logic without human annotation. We instantiate this framework in venture capital founder screening, a rare-event prediction task with strong interpretability requirements. On VCBench, a benchmark of 4,500 founders with a 9% base success rate, our approach achieves 37.5% precision and an F0.5 score of 25.0%, outperforming GPT-4o (at 30.0% precision and an F0.5 score of 25.7%) while maintaining full interpretability. Each prediction traces to executable rules over human-readable attributes, demonstrating verifiable and interpretable LLM-based decision-making in practice.

1.4AIApr 29
Optimal Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Parameterization for Autonomous Trading Agent Swarm

Nathan Li, Aikins Laryea, Yigit Ihlamur

Autonomous crypto trading systems often spend most of their design effort on finding entries, while exits are left to fixed rules that are rarely tested in a systematic way. This paper examines whether better stop-loss and take-profit settings can improve the performance of an autonomous trading agent swarm. Using more than 900 historical trades, we replay each trade under many alternative exit policies and compare results against the existing production setup. The study finds that exit design matters meaningfully: stronger configurations improve risk-adjusted performance and generally favor tighter loss limits, earlier profit capture, and closer trailing protection. The paper also discusses a key evaluation challenge: a purely chronological split was initially used, but the newest trades fell into an unusual war-driven market period that sharply distorted test results. To reduce the influence of that single episode, the main comparison was run on randomized data, with the drawbacks of doing so acknowledged explicitly. Overall, the paper presents a practical framework for tuning exit logic in a more disciplined and transparent way.