Deep learning for predicting the occurrence of tipping pointsChengzuo Zhuge, Jiawei Li, Wei Chen
Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major interest in a broad range of research fields. Particularly, the widely used methods based on bifurcation theory are neither reliable in prediction accuracy nor applicable for irregularly-sampled time series which are commonly observed from real-world systems. Here we address this challenge by developing a deep learning algorithm for predicting the occurrence of tipping points in untrained systems, by exploiting information about normal forms. Our algorithm not only outperforms traditional methods for regularly-sampled model time series but also achieves accurate predictions for irregularly-sampled model time series and empirical time series. Our ability to predict tipping points for complex systems paves the way for mitigation risks, prevention of catastrophic failures, and restoration of degraded systems, with broad applications in social science, engineering, and biology.
Horizontal-to-Vertical Video ConversionTun Zhu, Daoxin Zhang, Yao Hu et al.
Alongside the prevalence of mobile videos, the general public leans towards consuming vertical videos on hand-held devices. To revitalize the exposure of horizontal contents, we hereby set forth the exploration of automated horizontal-to-vertical (abbreviated as H2V) video conversion with our proposed H2V framework, accompanied by an accurately annotated H2V-142K dataset. Concretely, H2V framework integrates video shot boundary detection, subject selection and multi-object tracking to facilitate the subject-preserving conversion, wherein the key is subject selection. To achieve so, we propose a Rank-SS module that detects human objects, then selects the subject-to-preserve via exploiting location, appearance, and salient cues. Afterward, the framework automatically crops the video around the subject to produce vertical contents from horizontal sources. To build and evaluate our H2V framework, H2V-142K dataset is densely annotated with subject bounding boxes for 125 videos with 132K frames and 9,500 video covers, upon which we demonstrate superior subject selection performance comparing to traditional salient approaches, and exhibit promising horizontal-to-vertical conversion performance overall. By publicizing this dataset as well as our approach, we wish to pave the way for more valuable endeavors on the horizontal-to-vertical video conversion task.