Giovanni CinÃ

Sagar Nagaraj Simha, Juliette Ortholand, Dave Dongelmans et al.

In this applied paper, we address the difficult open problem of when to discharge patients from the Intensive Care Unit. This can be conceived as an optimal stopping scenario with three added challenges: 1) the evaluation of a stopping strategy from observational data is itself a complex causal inference problem, 2) the composite objective is to minimize the length of intervention and maximize the outcome, but the two cannot be collapsed to a single dimension, and 3) the recording of variables stops when the intervention is discontinued. Our contributions are two-fold. First, we generalize the implementation of the g-formula Python package, providing a framework to evaluate stopping strategies for problems with the aforementioned structure, including positivity and coverage checks. Second, with a fully open-source pipeline, we apply this approach to MIMIC-IV, a public ICU dataset, demonstrating the potential for strategies that improve upon current care.

Zoë Prins, Samuele Punzo, Frank Wildenburg et al.

Standard evaluations of Large language models (LLMs) focus on task performance, offering limited insight into whether correct behavior reflects appropriate underlying mechanisms and risking confirmation bias. We introduce a simple, principled interpretability framework based on token-level perplexity to test whether models rely on linguistically relevant cues. By comparing perplexity distributions over minimal sentence pairs differing in one or a few `pivotal' tokens, our method enables precise, hypothesis-driven analysis without relying on unstable feature-attribution techniques. Experiments on controlled linguistic benchmarks with several open-weight LLMs show that, while linguistically important tokens influence model behavior, they never fully explain perplexity shifts, revealing that models rely on heuristics other than the expected linguistic ones.