Mouhamadou Makhtar Dione

Hussein Suprême, Martin de Montigny, Kevin-R. Sorto-Ventura et al.

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs), variable renewable energy sources, and emerging technologies presents new challenges for transmission system expansion planning (TSEP). Traditional snapshot-based and deterministic approaches are inadequate for capturing the temporal dynamics and operational constraints of modern power systems. This paper introduces an annual quasi-static time-series simulation (AQSTSS) framework that enables high-resolution, year-round modeling of transmission systems, incorporating detailed equipment behavior, control strategies, and DER interactions. By simulating system performance across all seasons and operating conditions, AQSTSS uncovers flexibility opportunities and operational constraints that static methods overlook. Applied to Hydro-Québec's projected 2035/2036 grid, the framework reveals critical insights under high wind and electric vehicle penetration. It also integrates an energy storage control strategy designed to mitigate wind variability and support grid reliability. Furthermore, AQSTSS facilitates the assessment of system resilience under diverse scenarios, including extreme weather and load variability. The simulation results underscore the importance of aligning planning with operational realities to ensure secure, efficient, and future-ready grid development. Overall, the proposed framework enhances the robustness of TSEP by bridging the gap between long-term planning and real-time operational needs.

Huiliang Zhang, Di Wu, Arnaud Zinflou et al.

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting has a wide range of applications in both industry and academia. Recent advances in Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network (STGNN) have achieved great progress in modelling spatial-temporal correlations. Limited by computational complexity, most STGNNs for MTS forecasting focus primarily on short-term and local spatial-temporal dependencies. Although some recent methods attempt to incorporate univariate history into modeling, they still overlook crucial long-term spatial-temporal similarities and correlations across MTS, which are essential for accurate forecasting. To fill this gap, we propose a framework called the Long-term Multivariate History Representation (LMHR) Enhanced STGNN for MTS forecasting. Specifically, a Long-term History Encoder (LHEncoder) is adopted to effectively encode the long-term history into segment-level contextual representations and reduce point-level noise. A non-parametric Hierarchical Representation Retriever (HRetriever) is designed to include the spatial information in the long-term spatial-temporal dependency modelling and pick out the most valuable representations with no additional training. A Transformer-based Aggregator (TAggregator) selectively fuses the sparsely retrieved contextual representations based on the ranking positional embedding efficiently. Experimental results demonstrate that LMHR outperforms typical STGNNs by 10.72% on the average prediction horizons and state-of-the-art methods by 4.12% on several real-world datasets. Additionally, it consistently improves prediction accuracy by 9.8% on the top 10% of rapidly changing patterns across the datasets.