Emmanuel A. Gonzalez

2papers

2 Papers

33.8HCApr 7Code
WSCM-Lite: A Practitioner-Ready Implementation of the Weak Signal Cultivation Model

Maurice Codourey, Emmanuel A. Gonzalez

The Weak Signal Cultivation Model (WSCM) provides a mathematically rigorous framework for tracking frontline risk signals across a two-dimensional coordinate field using 15 equations and 16 tunable parameters. While this specification is designed for eventual software implementation, its computational requirements create an adoption barrier for organizations whose available infrastructure is a spreadsheet. This paper introduces WSCM-Lite, a lookup-table implementation that reproduces the full WSCM's coordinate trajectories within 0.01 field units while eliminating all exponential functions, state-dependent tracking, and free parameters. The simplification replaces continuous recency weighting with a four-row lookup table and removes consensus momentum and reversal amplification entirely, reducing the specification to seven formulas and five hardcoded constants. A 26-session worked example using the Gas Fumes signal from the parent paper demonstrates that WSCM-Lite traverses the same four-region path (Question Marks --> Lit Fuses --> Owls --> Sleeping Cats --> Question Marks) and triggers SMS escalation within two sessions of the full model. Five additional scenarios validate boundary behavior, and a sensitivity analysis confirms stability under +/-30% gap threshold variation. An accompanying Excel simulator and supplementary materials are publicly available at https://github.com/emmgonai/wscm-lite.

12.7HCApr 2
The Weak Signal Cultivation Model: A Human-Centric Framework for Frontline Risk Detection, Signal Tracking, and Proactive Organizational Resilience

Maurice Codourey, Emmanuel A. Gonzalez

This white paper introduces the Weak Signal Cultivation Model (WSCM). WSCM is a human-centric framework for detecting, structuring, and tracking weak risk signals as observed by frontline staff. The model centers on a continuous [0,10] x [0,10] coordinate field--the Weak Signal Cultivation Field, in which each identified signal is positioned as a node on two independent dimensions: its current Risk Intensity (x) and its Risk Growth Potential (y). Represented as a risk locus, nodes move across the field over time as new team assessments or measurements arrive. The locus reflects the signal's trajectory across four possible regions: Question Marks, Lit Fuses, Sleeping Cats, and Owls. Through this graphical approach, bridging risk communication from the frontline experience to management decision-making is made through a single organizational vocabulary. The model introduced in this document is designed to serve as a practitioner tool and a conceptual foundation for AI-supported analytics.