Abdellah Aznag

Abdellah Aznag, Rachel Cummings, Adam N. Elmachtoub

We study a fundamental learning problem over multiple groups with unknown data distributions, where an analyst would like to learn the mean of each group. Moreover, we want to ensure that this data is collected in a relatively fair manner such that the noise of the estimate of each group is reasonable. In particular, we focus on settings where data are collected dynamically, which is important in adaptive experimentation for online platforms or adaptive clinical trials for healthcare. In our model, we employ an active learning framework to sequentially collect samples with bandit feedback, observing a sample in each period from the chosen group. After observing a sample, the analyst updates their estimate of the mean and variance of that group and chooses the next group accordingly. The analyst's objective is to dynamically collect samples to minimize the collective noise of the estimators, measured by the norm of the vector of variances of the mean estimators. We propose an algorithm, Variance-UCB, that sequentially selects groups according to an upper confidence bound on the variance estimate. We provide a general theoretical framework for providing efficient bounds on learning from any underlying distribution where the variances can be estimated reasonably. This framework yields upper bounds on regret that improve significantly upon all existing bounds, as well as a collection of new results for different objectives and distributions than those previously studied.

Abdellah Aznag, Vineet Goyal, Noemie Perivier

We consider a dynamic assortment selection problem where a seller has a fixed inventory of $N$ substitutable products and faces an unknown demand that arrives sequentially over $T$ periods. In each period, the seller needs to decide on the assortment of products (satisfying certain constraints) to offer to the customers. The customer's response follows an unknown multinomial logit model (MNL) with parameter $\boldsymbol{v}$. If customer selects product $i \in [N]$, the seller receives revenue $r_i$. The goal of the seller is to maximize the total expected revenue from the $T$ customers given the fixed initial inventory of $N$ products. We present MNLwK-UCB, a UCB-based algorithm and characterize its regret under different regimes of inventory size. We show that when the inventory size grows quasi-linearly in time, MNLwK-UCB achieves a $\tilde{O}(N + \sqrt{NT})$ regret bound. We also show that for a smaller inventory (with growth $\sim T^α$, $α< 1$), MNLwK-UCB achieves a $\tilde{O}(N(1 + T^{\frac{1 - α}{2}}) + \sqrt{NT})$. In particular, over a long time horizon $T$, the rate $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{NT})$ is always achieved regardless of the constraints and the size of the inventory.