Mohammad Nasir Uddin

Mohammad Nasir Uddin

The U.S. financial system processes approximately 1.3 million interbank transactions daily, yet no system in the reviewed literature models fraud propagation across the interbank network using fraud co-occurrence edge features. Prior interbank GNN architectures model credit contagion using credit distress supervision signals, producing systems misaligned for fraud forensics. No existing system generates SAR narratives with per-assertion forensic traceability to specific numerical detection outputs, creating regulatory auditability gaps in FinCEN-submitted reports. This paper introduces SCAFDS (Systemic Contagion-Aware Fraud Detection System), a seven-stage integrated surveillance pipeline addressing five structural limitations of prior art: (1) fraud-specific interbank topology encoding using fraud co-occurrence frequency metrics f(u,v,t) derived from FinCEN SAR registry records; (2) edge-feature-informed graph attention where coefficients are computed from both node representations and fraud co-occurrence edge features; (3) bilinear fraud co-occurrence risk fusion producing institution-level systemic fraud risk scores; (4) attribution-conditioned SAR narrative generation with per-assertion significance thresholds ensuring each FinCEN SAR assertion is traceable to a specific numerical pipeline output; and (5) topology-aware adaptive forensic feedback updating graph attention weights from regulatory dispositions. Experiments on the IEEE-CIS Fraud Detection Dataset (590,540 transactions) and a synthetic FDIC-aligned interbank network (8,103 institutions, 169,800 edges) show SCAFDS achieves AUPRC=0.515+/-0.032 and AUROC=0.802+/-0.018, representing +15.9pp and +13.7pp improvements over GraphSAGE-AML. Partial validation on FDIC enforcement action records (n=4,279) confirms consistent model ranking. USPTO Provisional Patent Application No. 64/061,083, filed May 8, 2026.

Mohammad Nasir Uddin

U.S. financial institutions deploying AI-based fraud detection face a fragmented compliance landscape spanning four regulatory frameworks -- OCC Bulletin 2011-12, SR 11-7, the CFPB AI circular, and FinCEN BSA/SAR requirements -- with no integrated governance life cycle connecting these requirements to model development, validation, and monitoring practice. This paper presents the Regulatory Governance Framework for AI-Driven Financial Fraud Detection (RGF-AFFD), a three-tier governance architecture empirically anchored in a multi-study empirical program. Using the IEEE-CIS dataset (590,540 transactions) and ULB benchmark (284,807 transactions), we benchmark six architectures including an LSTM+XGBoost ensemble, and conduct ablation, temporal drift, SHAP interpretability, and BISG fairness analyses. The LSTM+XGBoost ensemble achieves ROC-AUC of 0.9289 (F1: 0.6360) with a benefit-cost ratio of 6:1. XGBoost demonstrates the strongest temporal stability (delta-AUC = -0.0017 versus -0.0626 for LSTM). The RDT-FG Regulatory Digital Twin meta-model translates metrics into four regulator-specific health scores and a composite Regulatory Fitness Index for continuous compliance monitoring. The RGF-AFFD is the first integrated deployment blueprint to simultaneously satisfy OCC, SR 11-7, CFPB, and FinCEN requirements, supported by a community bank implementation vignette and four evidence-based policy recommendations.

Mohammad Nasir Uddin, Md Munna Aziz

Financial crime costs U.S. institutions over $32 billion each year. Although AI tools for fraud detection have become more advanced, their use in real-world systems still faces a major obstacle: many of these models operate as black boxes that cannot provide the transparent, auditable explanations required by regulations such as OCC Bulletin 2011-12 and Federal Reserve SR 11-7. This study makes three main contributions. First, it offers a thorough evaluation of explanation quality across faithfulness (sufficiency and comprehensiveness at k=5, 10, and 15) and stability (Kendall's W across 30 bootstrap samples). XGBoost paired with TreeExplainer achieves near-perfect stability (W=0.9912), while LSTM with DeepExplainer shows weak results (W=0.4962). Second, the paper introduces the SHAP-Guided Adaptive Ensemble (SGAE), which dynamically adjusts per-transaction ensemble weights based on SHAP attribution agreement, achieving the highest AUC-ROC among all tested models (0.8837 held-out; 0.9245 cross-validation). Third, a complete three-architecture evaluation of LSTM, Transformer, and GNN-GraphSAGE on the full 590,540-transaction IEEE-CIS dataset is provided, with GNN-GraphSAGE achieving AUC-ROC 0.9248 and F1=0.6013. All results are mapped directly to OCC, SR 11-7, and BSA-AML regulatory compliance requirements.

Mohammad Nasir Uddin

The Spatial-Temporal Graph Attention Network (ST-GAT) framework was created to serve as an explainable GNN-based solution for detecting bank distress early warning signs and for conducting macro-prudential surveillance of the interbank system in the United States. The ST-GAT framework models 8,103 FDIC insured institutions across 58 quarterly snapshots (2010Q1-2024Q2). Bilateral exposures were reconstructed from publicly available FDIC Call Reports using maximum entropy estimation to produce a dynamic directed weighted graph. The framework achieves the highest AUPRC among all GNN architectures (0.939 +/- 0.010), trailing only XGBoost (0.944). Ablation analysis confirms the BiLSTM temporal component contributes +0.020 AUPRC; temporal attention weights exhibit a monotonically decreasing pattern consistent with long-run structural vulnerability weighting. Permutation importance identifies ROA (0.309) and NPL Ratio (0.252) as dominant predictors, consistent with post-mortem analyses of the 2023 regional banking crisis. All data are publicly available FDIC Call Reports and FRED series; all code and results are released.