Jingguan Liu

Jingguan Liu, Cong Chen, Xiaomeng Ai et al.

Distributed energy storage devices can be aggregated to provide operational flexibility for power systems. This requires representing a massive device population as a single, tractable surrogate that is computationally efficient and accurate. However, surrogate identification is challenging due to heterogeneity, nonconvexity, and high dimensionality of storage devices. To address these challenges, this paper develops a mean-field learning framework for storage aggregation. We interpret aggregation as the average behavior of a large storage population and show that, as the population grows, aggregate performance converges to a unique, convex mean-field limit, enabling tractable population-level modeling. This convexity further yields a price-responsive characterization of aggregate storage behavior and allows us to bound the mean-field approximation error. We construct a convex surrogate model with physically interpretable parameters that approximates the aggregate behavior of large storage populations and can be embedded directly into power system operations. Surrogate parameter identification is formulated as an optimization problem using historical price-response data, and we adopt a gradient-based algorithm for efficient learning. Case studies validate the theoretical findings and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework in approximation accuracy and data efficiency.

Jingguan Liu, Xiaomeng Ai, Cong Chen et al.

Aggregating building heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) fleets provides substantial real-time flexibility to power system operations. However, real-time aggregation of multi-zone HVAC fleets faces two key challenges: (i) strong coupling across zones and time makes flexibility characterization high-dimensional and computationally demanding, and (ii) the sequential revelation of temperature states and exogenous conditions requires that decisions made at each period preserve feasibility over the remaining horizon using only currently realized information. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a reachable-set decomposition framework comprising an offline decomposition stage and a real-time policy. In the offline stage, backward reachable sets are formulated to encode remaining-horizon feasibility into per-period state constraints, so that any state within the current reachable set is guaranteed to sustain feasible operation over the entire remaining horizon. A tailored inner approximation is then developed for tractable calculation in multi-zone-coupled HVAC settings. In the real-time stage, aggregate flexibility is computed efficiently via building-level parallel linear programs followed by closed-form Minkowski summation of power intervals, and any regulation signal within the reported flexibility interval admits a recursively feasible disaggregation. Case studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework in aggregate flexibility characterization, disaggregation feasibility, and scalable computation.