Abeer Mostafa

Abeer Mostafa, Thi Huyen Nguyen, Zahra Ahmadi

Assessing originality in AI research is arguably the most consequential yet least reliable step in peer review. Reviewer judgments of originality remain opaque, inconsistent, and dependent on comparisons to prior work that are often incomplete. In this paper, we present a large-scale, data-driven qualitative and quantitative analysis of research originality based on over 100,000 peer-review reports from leading AI venues, spanning a period of rapid growth in the field. Leveraging structured, semantically retrieved prior work and signals embedded in expert reviewer assessments, we systematically characterize how originality is perceived in practice and identify the key dimensions that most strongly influence novelty judgments. Our analysis yields a fine-grained, evidence-based framework that equips both authors and reviewers with actionable insights into how originality is evaluated. In addition, we evaluate the reliability of current large language model (LLM) agents in assessing originality. We find that these models tend to systematically overestimate novelty and struggle to detect conceptual plagiarism, particularly in the presence of paraphrasing. We release our dataset, trained models, and code at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Novelty-Reviewer-365C/.

Abeer Mostafa, Raneen Younis, Zahra Ahmadi

Spatio-temporal processes often exhibit highly heterogeneous and non-intuitive responses to localized disruptions, limiting the effectiveness of conventional message passing approaches in modeling local heterogeneity. We reformulate spatio-temporal forecasting as the problem of learning information flow over locally structured spaces, rather than propagating globally aligned node representations. To this end, we introduce a spatio-temporal sheaf diffusion graph neural network (ST-Sheaf GNN) that embeds graph topology into sheaf-based vector spaces connected by learned linear restriction maps. Unlike prior approaches relying on static or globally shared transformations, our model learns dynamic restriction maps that evolve over time and adapt to local spatio-temporal patterns, enabling more expressive interactions. The proposed framework both theoretically guarantees and empirically demonstrates evidence that the proposed diffusion mechanism mitigates oversmoothing, preserving discriminative node representations even with increasing diffusion layer depth. Experiments on diverse real-world spatio-temporal forecasting benchmarks across multiple domains demonstrate state-of-the-art performance, highlighting the effectiveness of sheaf topological representations as a principled foundation for spatio-temporal graph learning. The code is available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/ST-SheafGNN-6523/.