Guangrui Xie

Guangrui Xie

This paper presents ORPilot, an open-source agentic AI system that translates real-world business problems into solver-ready optimization models. Unlike academic LLM-for-OR tools that assume clean problem specifications with preformatted inline data, ORPilot is designed for production conditions: ambiguous descriptions, large-scale raw operational data, and the need for portability across solver backends. The system introduces four novel components: (1) a conversational interview agent to elicit complete problem specifications, (2) a data collection agent that retrieves data independently of prompts, (3) a parameter computation agent to bridge raw tabular data and model-ready parameters, and (4) a solver-agnostic Intermediate Representation (IR) for deterministic, zero-LLM-call recompilation to Gurobi, CPLEX, PuLP, Pyomo, or OR-Tools solvers. Additionally, self-correcting retry loops utilize solver tracebacks for targeted repairs. ORPilot represents the first attempt to target production-level business problems rather than textbook operations research (OR) cases. Evaluation on real-world problems demonstrates promising results. When tested against traditional academic benchmarks: IndustryOR, NL4OPT and NLP4LP, ORPilot outperformed state-of-the-art tools in accuracy on the IndustryOR benchmark and delivered comparable performance on NL4OPT and NLP4LP.

Guangrui Xie, Xi Chen, Yang Weng

Load forecasting has long been recognized as an important building block for all utility operational planning efforts. Over the recent years, it has become ever more challenging to make accurate forecasts due to the proliferation of distributed energy resources, despite the abundance of existing load forecasting methods. In this paper, we identify one drawback suffered by most load forecasting methods: neglect to thoroughly address the impact of input errors on load forecasts. As a potential solution, we propose to incorporate input modeling and uncertainty quantification to improve load forecasting performance via a two-stage approach. The proposed two-stage approach has the following merits. (1) It provides input modeling and quantifies the impact of input errors, rather than neglecting or mitigating the impact, a prevalent practice of existing methods. (2) It propagates the impact of input errors into the ultimate point and interval predictions for the target customer's load to improve predictive performance. (3) A variance-based global sensitivity analysis method is further proposed for input-space dimensionality reduction in both stages to enhance the computational efficiency. Numerical experiments show that the proposed two-stage approach outperforms competing load forecasting methods in terms of both point predictive accuracy and coverage ability of the predictive intervals.