CEAug 31, 2018
Multilevel Monte Carlo for uncertainty quantification in structural engineeringPhilippe Blondeel, Pieterjan Robbe, Cédric van hoorickx et al.
Practical structural engineering problems often exhibit a significant degree of uncertainty in the material properties being used, the dimensions of the modeled structures, etc. In this paper, we consider a cantilever beam and a beam clamped at both ends, both subjected to a static and a dynamic load. The material uncertainty resides in the Young's modulus, which is modeled by means of one random variable, sampled from a univariate Gamma distribution, or with multiple random variables, sampled from a Gamma random field. Three different responses are considered: the static elastic, the dynamic elastic and the static elastoplastic response. In the first two cases, we simulate the spatial displacement of a concrete beam and its frequency response in the elastic domain. The third case simulates the spatial displacement of a steel beam in the elastoplastic domain. In order to compute the statistical quantities of the static deflection and frequency response function, Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is combined with a Finite Element solver. In this paper, the computational costs and run times of the MLMC method are compared with those of the classical Monte Carlo method, demonstrating a significant speedup of up to several orders of magnitude for the studied cases.
20.4NAMay 7
Comparison of random field discretizations for high-resolution Bayesian parameter identification in finite element elasticityPieter Vanmechelen, Geert Lombaert, Giovanni Samaey
We compare three random field discretization strategies for probabilistic identification of spatially varying material parameters in high-resolution finite element models. These strategies are (i) the Karhunen-Loève expansion, (ii) a wavelet expansion, and (iii) local average subdivision. The methods are assessed in the context of multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo applied to plane stress elasticity with high-resolution displacement observations. Emphasis is placed on numerical efficiency, initialization cost, Markov chain mixing, and cost-to-error behaviour as the discretization resolution increases. While all approaches yield comparable posterior estimates, significant differences are observed in multilevel variance reduction and sampling efficiency. In particular, local average subdivision exhibits improved mixing and lower cost-to-error ratios at fine resolutions, despite its higher nominal parameter dimension. The results provide practical guidance for selecting stochastic field representations in uncertainty quantification in finite element simulations of heterogeneous materials.