Bong Gyun Shin

2papers

2 Papers

49.7AIMay 8Code
Discovering Ordinary Differential Equations with LLM-Based Qualitative and Quantitative Evaluation

Sum Kyun Song, Bong Gyun Shin, Jae Yong Lee

Discovering governing differential equations from observational data is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning. Existing symbolic regression approaches rely primarily on quantitative metrics; however, real-world differential equation modeling also requires incorporating domain knowledge to ensure physical plausibility. To address this gap, we propose DoLQ, a method for discovering ordinary differential equations with LLM-based qualitative and quantitative evaluation. DoLQ employs a multi-agent architecture: a Sampler Agent proposes dynamic system candidates, a Parameter Optimizer refines equations for accuracy, and a Scientist Agent leverages an LLM to conduct both qualitative and quantitative evaluations and synthesize their results to iteratively guide the search. Experiments on multi-dimensional ordinary differential equation benchmarks demonstrate that DoLQ achieves superior performance compared to existing methods, not only attaining higher success rates but also more accurately recovering the correct symbolic terms of ground truth equations. Our code is available at https://github.com/Bon99yun/DoLQ.

12.8AO-PHMay 9
Visibility nowcasting in South Korea: a machine learning approach to class imbalance and distribution shift

Bong Gyun Shin, Chan Sik Lee, Hyesun Suh

Atmospheric visibility is a critical variable for transportation safety and air quality management, however, accurate prediction remains challenging due to the complex interactions between meteorological conditions and air pollutants, as well as the rarity of low-visibility events. This study introduces a machine learning framework to nowcast visibility in six major South Korean cities. To handle the imbalance in the 2018-2020 training data, we applied the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique with Nominal and Continuous (SMOTENC) and Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Network (CTGAN). An ensemble approach combining machine learning and deep learning models was then used and evaluated on a 2021 test dataset. The results revealed a marked decline in predictive performance in the test set compared to the cross-validation phase. This degradation was attributed to a distributional shift between training and testing periods, which was quantitatively confirmed by measuring the Wasserstein distance of the most influential feature identified by SHAP analysis. In general, this study presents a methodology that aims to simultaneously address the dual challenges of data imbalance and temporal distributional shifts, and emphasizes the necessity of accounting for evolving external environmental factors when implementing nowcasting models on time-series data.