Marc D. Breton

Elliott C. Pryor, Marc D. Breton, Anas El Fathi

Diabetes devices, including Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM), Smart Insulin Pens, and Automated Insulin Delivery systems, generate rich time-series data widely used in research and machine learning. However, inconsistent data formats across sources hinder sharing, integration, and analysis. We present DIAX (DIAbetes eXchange), a standardized JSON-based format for unifying diabetes time-series data, including CGM, insulin, and meal signals. DIAX promotes interoperability, reproducibility, and extensibility, particularly for machine learning applications. An open-source repository provides tools for dataset conversion, cross-format compatibility, visualization, and community contributions. DIAX is a translational resource, not a data host, ensuring flexibility without imposing data-sharing constraints. Currently, DIAX is compatible with other standardization efforts and supports major datasets (DCLP3, DCLP5, IOBP2, PEDAP, T1Dexi, Loop), totaling over 10 million patient-hours of data. https://github.com/Center-for-Diabetes-Technology/DIAX

Anas El Fathi, Marc D. Breton

People with type 1 diabetes (T1D) struggle to calculate the optimal insulin dose at mealtime, especially when under multiple daily injections (MDI) therapy. Effectively, they will not always perform rigorous and precise calculations, but occasionally, they might rely on intuition and previous experience. Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown outstanding results in outperforming humans on tasks requiring intuition and learning from experience. In this work, we propose an RL agent that recommends the optimal meal-accompanying insulin dose corresponding to a qualitative meal (QM) strategy that does not require precise carbohydrate counting (CC) (e.g., a usual meal at noon.). The agent is trained using the soft actor-critic approach and comprises long short-term memory (LSTM) neurons. For training, eighty virtual subjects (VS) of the FDA-accepted UVA/Padova T1D adult population were simulated using MDI therapy and QM strategy. For validation, the remaining twenty VS were examined in 26-week scenarios, including intra- and inter-day variabilities in glucose. \textit{In-silico} results showed that the proposed RL approach outperforms a baseline run-to-run approach and can replace the standard CC approach. Specifically, after 26 weeks, the time-in-range ($70-180$mg/dL) and time-in-hypoglycemia ($<70$mg/dL) were $73.1\pm11.6$% and $ 2.0\pm 1.8$% using the RL-optimized QM strategy compared to $70.6\pm14.8$% and $ 1.5\pm 1.5$% using CC. Such an approach can simplify diabetes treatment, resulting in improved quality of life and glycemic outcomes.

Meryem Altin Karagoz, Marc D. Breton, Anas El Fathi

Accurate blood glucose prediction can enable novel interventions for type 1 diabetes treatment, including personalized insulin and dietary adjustments. Although recent advances in transformer-based architectures have demonstrated the power of attention mechanisms in complex multivariate time series prediction, their potential for blood glucose (BG) prediction remains underexplored. We present a comparative analysis of transformer models for multi-horizon BG prediction, examining forecasts up to 4 hours and input history up to 1 week. The publicly available DCLP3 dataset (n=112) was split (80%-10%-10%) for training, validation, and testing, and the OhioT1DM dataset (n=12) served as an external test set. We trained networks with point-wise, patch-wise, series-wise, and hybrid embeddings, using CGM, insulin, and meal data. For short-term blood glucose prediction, Crossformer, a patch-wise transformer architecture, achieved a superior 30-minute prediction of RMSE (15.6 mg / dL on OhioT1DM). For longer-term predictions (1h, 2h, and 4h), PatchTST, another path-wise transformer, prevailed with the lowest RMSE (24.6 mg/dL, 36.1 mg/dL, and 46.5 mg/dL on OhioT1DM). In general, models that used tokenization through patches demonstrated improved accuracy with larger input sizes, with the best results obtained with a one-week history. These findings highlight the promise of transformer-based architectures for BG prediction by capturing and leveraging seasonal patterns in multivariate time-series data to improve accuracy.

Anas El Fathi, Elliott Pryor, Marc D. Breton

Calculating mealtime insulin doses poses a significant challenge for individuals with Type 1 Diabetes (T1D). Doses should perfectly compensate for expected post-meal glucose excursions, requiring a profound understanding of the individual's insulin sensitivity and the meal macronutrients'. Usually, people rely on intuition and experience to develop this understanding. In this work, we demonstrate how a reinforcement learning agent, employing a self-attention encoder network, can effectively mimic and enhance this intuitive process. Trained on 80 virtual subjects from the FDA-approved UVA/Padova T1D adult cohort and tested on twenty, self-attention demonstrates superior performance compared to other network architectures. Results reveal a significant reduction in glycemic risk, from 16.5 to 9.6 in scenarios using sensor-augmented pump and from 9.1 to 6.7 in scenarios using automated insulin delivery. This new paradigm bypasses conventional therapy parameters, offering the potential to simplify treatment and promising improved quality of life and glycemic outcomes for people with T1D.