Cormac Cureton

Abhijeet Praveen, Sareh Soleimani, Cormac Cureton et al.

Atmospheric plasma spraying (APS) is a widely used coating process in which in-flight particle temperature and velocity strongly influence coating quality. However, these particle characteristics are difficult to monitor continuously during operation, motivating the development of non-invasive data-driven diagnostic methods. In this work, we investigate the predictive potential of high-speed video observations of the plasma plume for estimating in-flight particle characteristics in APS. We introduce three different video-derived feature representations and evaluate them using Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Networks (TabPFN), convolutional neural networks (CNN), and classical regression baselines including Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Regression, and XGBoost. Experiments are conducted using grouped leave-one-out cross-validation on 126 labeled pre- and post-spray video recordings from 63 APS spray runs. Across the engineered feature experiments, TabPFN achieves the most consistent performance for temperature prediction, reaching R2 = 0.86 using the combined feature representation. CNN models particularly perform stronger for velocity prediction, achieving R2 of 0.81. In addition, we evaluate models operating directly on raw video frames using pretrained CNNs and find that the highest performance is achieved by a pretrained CNN with a regression head with R2 of 0.90 and 0.82 for temperature and velocity, respectively. The results demonstrate that video-derived plume information provides a promising and scalable foundation for non-invasive APS diagnostics and real-time process monitoring.

Cormac Cureton, Narges Armanfard

Prior-Data Fitted networks (PFNs) have been very successful in tabular contexts, handling prediction tasks in context. However, they are designed for single-task inference, meaning that predicting several target values within a context requires repeated forward calls and precludes inter-task information sharing. We propose TabPFN-MT, which is trained on an expanded multi-target synthetic prior to capture inter-task dependencies in context. This model uses an expanded $y$-encoder and a shared decoder head to enable multitask in-context learning and simultaneous inference. The model is uniquely specialized for small-to-medium datasets by relying on in-context learning rather than traditional gradient-based training. Within this regime (averaging fewer than 1,000 samples), extensive evaluations across 344 datasets demonstrate that TabPFN-MT establishes a new state-of-the-art for deep tabular multitask learning. Furthermore, despite the inherent compute asymmetry of joint optimization, our model remains highly competitive with the latest state-of-the-art single-task ensembles. Notably, on multitask datasets it achieves an overall Accuracy rank of 4.89, the highest average rank among all models tested. Crucially, TabPFN-MT delivers this highly competitive performance while reducing the inference cost for $T$ tasks from $O(T)$ to $O(1)$ forward passes, offering a massive computational efficiency improvement for multi-target tabular applications.