Khashayar Yavari

Shadmehr Zaregarizi, Khashayar Yavari

Scaling data-driven energy forecasting to district level requires models that can be re-used across buildings with minimal target-domain data and honest uncertainty estimates. We present an uncertainty-aware transfer learning (TL) framework for cross-building energy forecasting based on the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), evaluated on a newly released high-resolution real sub-meter dataset: an educational building at Aalborg University, Denmark (source) and the multi-typology NEST building at EMPA, Switzerland (target). We introduce the Transfer Robustness Index (TRI), an architecture-agnostic metric for quantifying generalization quality across domain gaps. A four-strategy layer-freezing ablation shows that Probe-Only fine-tuning, updating only 455 output-layer parameters out of 806K, achieves the best transfer quality (TRI = 3,097), outperforming full fine-tuning and suggesting that TFT encoders learn transferable temporal representations. Monte Carlo Dropout yields a prediction interval coverage probability of 93.2%, close to the nominal 95% target. A data-scarcity analysis further shows monotonic improvement with increasing target-domain data, providing practical guidance for district energy deployment.

Shadmehr Zaregarizi, Khashayar Yavari

We present an adaptive reservoir computing framework for the CTF-4-Science Lorenz benchmark, which evaluates machine learning models across twelve distinct tasks spanning five qualitatively different scenarios: baseline forecasting, noisy signal reconstruction, forecasting under noise, few-shot learning, and parametric generalization. Rather than applying a uniform inference strategy, we tailor the training and prediction procedure of Echo State Networks (ESNs) to the specific demands of each evaluation scenario. Our key contributions are fourfold: (1) exact reservoir state synchronization that eliminates warmup approximation error in short-time prediction; (2) histogram-guided candidate selection that directly optimizes the long-time ergodic evaluation metric; (3) multi-seed reservoir search for few-shot regimes with severely limited training data; and (4) sequential multi-sequence training that resolves state-distribution mismatch in parametric generalization tasks. The proposed framework achieves a score of 74.91 on the public benchmark leaderboard, demonstrating that carefully adapted reservoir computing constitutes a competitive and computationally efficient approach for diverse chaotic system modeling challenges.

Shadmehr Zaregarizi, Khashayar Yavari

Occupant comfort and grid-aware energy efficiency are competing objectives whose joint optimization depends critically on how reward functions are specified in deep reinforcement learning (DRL) controllers for buildings. Yet reward design remains largely ad hoc: comfort terms are either hand-tuned heuristics or simple temperature-deviation proxies without explicit grounding in thermal-comfort physics. We present PIRS (Physics-Informed Reward Shaping), which replaces these ad-hoc comfort proxies with the ISO 7730 Predicted Mean Vote (PMV) formulation inside a weighted multi-objective reward for Soft Actor-Critic (SAC). By anchoring the comfort signal in the ISO 7730 PMV formulation, PIRS improves reward interpretability and provides a standards-grounded comfort proxy without changing any other component of the learning pipeline. We evaluate PIRS in CityLearn v2.1.2 (challenge 2022 phase 1) with a central SAC agent trained for 50k steps over five random seeds, and compare against a rule-based controller (RBC), a manually engineered reward (E2), an energy-only reward (E3), and a naive temperature-deviation comfort reward (E4). District-level key performance indicators (KPIs), reported as ratios versus RBC, show that PIRS attains cost, carbon, and electricity metrics on par with the manual baseline while substantially outperforming non-physics-grounded designs -- particularly on load ramping (1.78x vs. ~2.4x RBC) and daily peak demand. All DRL policies remain above RBC at this training budget; we interpret this gap honestly and position PIRS as an interpretable, standards-aligned foundation for reward design rather than a claim of dominance over classical control at limited compute.

Shadmehr Zaregarizi, Khashayar Yavari

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising capability in generating reward functions for deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based building energy management. However, their potential to exhibit or exacerbate disparities in occupant comfort across heterogeneous demographic populations remains unexplored. We present OccuReward, a framework investigating how LLM-mediated reward design affects demographic equity. Our contribution is three-fold: the introduction of the Comfort Equity Index (CEI) as a novel feedback signal; a methodology for iterative, equity-aware LLM reward shaping; and a performance analysis of DRL agents under these refined objectives. Utilizing four empirically grounded occupant profiles from the ASHRAE Global Thermal Comfort Database II (13,440 votes), we deploy a Soft Actor-Critic agent in CityLearn v2. Our approach employs the Gemini API to generate reward function logic and weights--rather than performing per-step inference--across three refinement rounds. Results across 15 experimental runs reveal that elderly female occupants consistently experience the lowest satisfaction in initial rounds. By Round 3, equity-aware LLM refinement activates specific reward components that improve satisfaction for Young Males (+17.6%), Mid-aged Females (+28.2%), Health Sensitive (+53.8%), and Elderly Females (+567%), while simultaneously reducing energy costs by 3.2%. Our findings highlight that while reward-level intervention significantly improves equity, demographic disparities in AI-driven controllers persist, necessitating further research into algorithmic fairness in building systems.