Ming-Yen Cheng

Ming-Yen Cheng, Hau-tieng Wu

High-dimensional data analysis has been an active area, and the main focuses have been variable selection and dimension reduction. In practice, it occurs often that the variables are located on an unknown, lower-dimensional nonlinear manifold. Under this manifold assumption, one purpose of this paper is regression and gradient estimation on the manifold, and another is developing a new tool for manifold learning. To the first aim, we suggest directly reducing the dimensionality to the intrinsic dimension $d$ of the manifold, and performing the popular local linear regression (LLR) on a tangent plane estimate. An immediate consequence is a dramatic reduction in the computation time when the ambient space dimension $p\gg d$. We provide rigorous theoretical justification of the convergence of the proposed regression and gradient estimators by carefully analyzing the curvature, boundary, and non-uniform sampling effects. A bandwidth selector that can handle heteroscedastic errors is proposed. To the second aim, we analyze carefully the behavior of our regression estimator both in the interior and near the boundary of the manifold, and make explicit its relationship with manifold learning, in particular estimating the Laplace-Beltrami operator of the manifold. In this context, we also make clear that it is important to use a smaller bandwidth in the tangent plane estimation than in the LLR. Simulation studies and the Isomap face data example are used to illustrate the computational speed and estimation accuracy of our methods.

Yu-Chun Chen, Ming-Yen Cheng, Hau-tieng Wu

Seasonality (or periodicity) and trend are features describing an observed sequence, and extracting these features is an important issue in many scientific fields. However, it is not an easy task for existing methods to analyze simultaneously the trend and {\it dynamics} of the seasonality such as time-varying frequency and amplitude, and the {\it adaptivity} of the analysis to such dynamics and robustness to heteroscedastic, dependent errors is not guaranteed. These tasks become even more challenging when there exist multiple seasonal components. We propose a nonparametric model to describe the dynamics of multi-component seasonality, and investigate the recently developed Synchrosqueezing transform (SST) in extracting these features in the presence of a trend and heteroscedastic, dependent errors. The identifiability problem of the nonparametric seasonality model is studied, and the adaptivity and robustness properties of the SST are theoretically justified in both discrete- and continuous-time settings. Consequently we have a new technique for de-coupling the trend, seasonality and heteroscedastic, dependent error process in a general nonparametric setup. Results of a series of simulations are provided, and the incidence time series of varicella and herpes zoster in Taiwan and respiratory signals observed from a sleep study are analyzed.