Nikolaos Kariotoglou

Tyler H. Summers, Konstantin Kunz, Nikolaos Kariotoglou et al.

We describe an approximate dynamic programming method for stochastic control problems on infinite state and input spaces. The optimal value function is approximated by a linear combination of basis functions with coefficients as decision variables. By relaxing the Bellman equation to an inequality, one obtains a linear program in the basis coefficients with an infinite set of constraints. We show that a recently introduced method, which obtains convex quadratic value function approximations, can be extended to higher order polynomial approximations via sum of squares programming techniques. An approximate value function can then be computed offline by solving a semidefinite program, without having to sample the infinite constraint. The policy is evaluated online by solving a polynomial optimization problem, which also turns out to be convex in some cases. We experimentally validate the method on an autonomous helicopter testbed using a 10-dimensional helicopter model.

Nikolaos Kariotoglou, Maryam Kamgarpour, Tyler Summers et al.

One of the most fundamental problems in Markov decision processes is analysis and control synthesis for safety and reachability specifications. We consider the stochastic reach-avoid problem, in which the objective is to synthesize a control policy to maximize the probability of reaching a target set at a given time, while staying in a safe set at all prior times. We characterize the solution to this problem through an infinite dimensional linear program. We then develop a tractable approximation to the infinite dimensional linear program through finite dimensional approximations of the decision space and constraints. For a large class of Markov decision processes modeled by Gaussian mixtures kernels we show that through a proper selection of the finite dimensional space, one can further reduce the computational complexity of the resulting linear program. We validate the proposed method and analyze its potential with a series of numerical case studies.

Nikolaos Kariotoglou, Maryam Kamgarpour, Tyler H. Summers et al.

We consider finite horizon reach-avoid problems for discrete time stochastic systems. Our goal is to construct upper bound functions for the reach-avoid probability by means of tractable convex optimization problems. We achieve this by restricting attention to the span of Gaussian radial basis functions and imposing structural assumptions on the transition kernel of the stochastic processes as well as the target and safe sets of the reach-avoid problem. In particular, we require the kernel to be written as a Gaussian mixture density with each mean of the distribution being affine in the current state and input and the target and safe sets to be written as intersections of quadratic inequalities. Taking advantage of these structural assumptions, we formulate a recursion of semidefinite programs where each step provides an upper bound to the value function of the reach- avoid problem. The upper bounds provide a performance metric to which any suboptimal control policy can be compared, and can themselves be used to construct suboptimal control policies. We illustrate via numerical examples that even if the resulting bounds are conservative, the associated control policies achieve higher reach-avoid probabilities than heuristic controllers for problems of large state-input space dimensions (more than 20). The results presented in this paper, far exceed the limits of current approximation methods for reach-avoid problems in the specific class of stochastic systems considered.

Nikolaos Kariotoglou, Kostas Margellos, John Lygeros

We discuss the computational complexity and feasibility properties of scenario based techniques for uncertain optimization programs. We consider different solution alternatives ranging from the standard scenario approach to recursive variants, and compare feasibility as a function of the total computation burden. We identify trade-offs between the different methods depending on the problem structure and the desired probability of constraint satisfaction. Our motivation for this work stems from the applicability and complexity reduction when making decisions by means of recursive algorithms. We illustrate our results on an example from the area of approximate dynamic programming