Jiafan Yu

Jiafan Yu, Yang Weng, Ram Rajagopal

Grid topology and line parameters are essential for grid operation and planning, which may be missing or inaccurate in distribution grids. Existing data-driven approaches for recovering such information usually suffer from ignoring 1) input measurement errors and 2) possible state changes among historical measurements. While using the errors-in-variables (EIV) model and letting the parameter and topology estimation interact with each other (PaToPa) can address input and output measurement error modeling, it only works when all measurements are from a single system state. To solve the two challenges simultaneously, we propose the PaToPaEM framework for joint line parameter and topology estimation with historical measurements from different unknown states. We improve the static framework that only works when measurements are from one single state, by further treating state changes in historical measurements as an unobserved latent variable. We then systematically analyze the new mathematical modeling, decouple the optimization problem, and incorporate the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm to recover different hidden states in measurements. Combining these, PaToPaEM framework enables joint topology and line parameter estimation using noisy measurements from multiple system states. It lays a solid foundation for data-driven system identification in distribution grids. Superior numerical results validate the practicability of the PaToPaEM framework.

Jiafan Yu, Yang Weng, Ram Rajagopal

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) calls for new monitoring and operational planning tools to ensure stability and sustainability in distribution grids. One idea is to use existing monitoring tools in transmission grids and some primary distribution grids. However, they usually depend on the knowledge of the system model, e.g., the topology and line parameters, which may be unavailable in primary and secondary distribution grids. Furthermore, a utility usually has limited modeling ability of active controllers for solar panels as they may belong to a third party like residential customers. To solve the modeling problem in traditional power flow analysis, we propose a support vector regression (SVR) approach to reveal the mapping rules between different variables and recover useful variables based on physical understanding and data mining. We illustrate the advantages of using the SVR model over traditional regression method which finds line parameters in distribution grids. Specifically, the SVR model is robust enough to recover the mapping rules while the regression method fails when 1) there are measurement outliers and missing data, 2) there are active controllers, or 3) measurements are only available at some part of a distribution grid. We demonstrate the superior performance of our method through extensive numerical validation on different scales of distribution grids.

Jiafan Yu, Yang Weng, Ram Rajagopal

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) calls for new planning and operational tools. However, such tools depend on system topology and line parameters, which may be missing or inaccurate in distribution grids. With abundant data, one idea is to use linear regression to find line parameters, based on which topology can be identified. Unfortunately, the linear regression method is accurate only if there is no noise in both the input measurements (e.g., voltage magnitude and phase angle) and output measurements (e.g., active and reactive power). For topology estimation, even with a small error in measurements, the regression-based method is incapable of finding the topology using non-zero line parameters with a proper metric. To model input and output measurement errors simultaneously, we propose the error-in-variables (EIV) model in a maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework for joint line parameter and topology estimation. While directly solving the problem is NP-hard, we successfully adapt the problem into a generalized low-rank approximation problem via variable transformation and noise decorrelation. For accurate topology estimation, we let it interact with parameter estimation in a fashion that is similar to expectation-maximization fashion in machine learning. The proposed PaToPa approach does not require a radial network setting and works for mesh networks. We demonstrate the superior performance in accuracy for our method on IEEE test cases with actual feeder data from South California Edison.