Hongsheng Qi

Hongsheng Qi, Biqiang Mu, Ian R. Petersen et al.

In this paper, we study dynamical quantum networks which evolve according to Schrödinger equations but subject to sequential local or global quantum measurements. A network of qubits forms a composite quantum system whose state undergoes unitary evolution in between periodic measurements, leading to hybrid quantum dynamics with random jumps at discrete time instances along a continuous orbit. The measurements either act on the entire network of qubits, or only a subset of qubits. First of all, we reveal that this type of hybrid quantum dynamics induces probabilistic Boolean recursions representing the measurement outcomes. With global measurements, it is shown that such resulting Boolean recursions define Markov chains whose state-transitions are fully determined by the network Hamiltonian and the measurement observables. Particularly, we establish an explicit and algebraic representation of the underlying recursive random mapping driving such induced Markov chains. Next, with local measurements, the resulting probabilistic Boolean dynamics is shown to be no longer Markovian. The state transition probability at any given time becomes dependent on the entire history of the sample path, for which we establish a recursive way of computing such non-Markovian probability transitions. Finally, we adopt the classical bilinear control model for the continuous Schrödinger evolution, and show how the measurements affect the controllability of the quantum networks.

Changxi Li, Fenghua He, Hongsheng Qi et al.

Consider a multiplayer game, and assume a system level objective function, which the system wants to optimize, is given. This paper aims at accomplishing this goal via potential game theory when players can only get part of other players' information. The technique is designing a set of local information based utility functions, which guarantee that the designed game is potential, with the system level objective function its potential function. First, the existence of local information based utility functions can be verified by checking whether the corresponding linear equations have a solution. Then an algorithm is proposed to calculate the local information based utility functions when the utility design equations have solutions. Finally, consensus problem of multiagent system is considered to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed design procedure.

Jianguo Chen, Jinlong Lei, Hongsheng Qi et al.

This work studies the parameter identification problem of a generalized non-cooperative game, where each player's cost function is influenced by an observable signal and some unknown parameters. We consider the scenario where equilibrium of the game at some observable signals can be observed with noises, whereas our goal is to identify the unknown parameters with the observed data. Assuming that the observable signals and the corresponding noise-corrupted equilibriums are acquired sequentially, we construct this parameter identification problem as online optimization and introduce a novel online parameter identification algorithm. To be specific, we construct a regularized loss function that balances conservativeness and correctiveness, where the conservativeness term ensures that the new estimates do not deviate significantly from the current estimates, while the correctiveness term is captured by the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions. We then prove that when the players' cost functions are linear with respect to the unknown parameters and the learning rate of the online parameter identification algorithm satisfies μ_k \propto 1/\sqrt{k}, along with other assumptions, the regret bound of the proposed algorithm is O(\sqrt{K}). Finally, we conduct numerical simulations on a Nash-Cournot problem to demonstrate that the performance of the online identification algorithm is comparable to that of the offline setting.

Wenfa Wu, Guanyu Zhang, Zheng Tan et al.

Most existing single-modal time series models rely solely on numerical series, which suffer from the limitations imposed by insufficient information. Recent studies have revealed that multimodal models can address the core issue by integrating textual information. However, these models focus on either historical or future textual information, overlooking the unique contributions each plays in time series forecasting. Besides, these models fail to grasp the intricate relationships between textual and time series data, constrained by their moderate capacity for multimodal comprehension. To tackle these challenges, we propose Dual-Forecaster, a pioneering multimodal time series model that combines both descriptively historical textual information and predictive textual insights, leveraging advanced multimodal comprehension capability empowered by three well-designed cross-modality alignment techniques. Our comprehensive evaluations on fifteen multimodal time series datasets demonstrate that Dual-Forecaster is a distinctly effective multimodal time series model that outperforms or is comparable to other state-of-the-art models, highlighting the superiority of integrating textual information for time series forecasting. This work opens new avenues in the integration of textual information with numerical time series data for multimodal time series analysis.

Zheng Tan, Yiwen Nie, Wenfa Wu et al.

Demand is spiking in industrial fields for multidisciplinary forecasting, where a broad spectrum of sectors needs planning and forecasts to streamline intelligent business management, such as demand forecasting, product planning, inventory optimization, etc. Specifically, these tasks expecting intelligent approaches to learn from sequentially collected historical data and then foresee most possible trend, i.e. time series forecasting. Challenge of it lies in interpreting complex business contexts and the efficiency and generalisation of modelling. With aspirations of pre-trained foundational models for such purpose, given their remarkable success of large foundation model across legions of tasks, we disseminate \leforecast{}, an enterprise intelligence platform tailored for time series tasks. It integrates advanced interpretations of time series data and multi-source information, and a three-pillar modelling engine combining a large foundation model (Le-TSFM), multimodal model and hybrid model to derive insights, predict or infer futures, and then drive optimisation across multiple sectors in enterprise operations. The framework is composed by a model pool, model profiling module, and two different fusion approaches regarding original model architectures. Experimental results verify the efficiency of our trail fusion concepts: router-based fusion network and coordination of large and small models, resulting in high costs for redundant development and maintenance of models. This work reviews deployment of LeForecast and its performance in three industrial use cases. Our comprehensive experiments indicate that LeForecast is a profound and practical platform for efficient and competitive performance. And we do hope that this work can enlighten the research and grounding of time series techniques in accelerating enterprise.