Newton Mwai Kinyanjui

Newton Mwai Kinyanjui, Fredrik D. Johansson

Simulators make unique benchmarks for causal effect estimation since they do not rely on unverifiable assumptions or the ability to intervene on real-world systems, but are often too simple to capture important aspects of real applications. We propose a simulator of Alzheimer's disease aimed at modeling intricacies of healthcare data while enabling benchmarking of causal effect and policy estimators. We fit the system to the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset and ground hand-crafted components in results from comparative treatment trials and observational treatment patterns. The simulator includes parameters which alter the nature and difficulty of the causal inference tasks, such as latent variables, effect heterogeneity, length of observed history, behavior policy and sample size. We use the simulator to compare estimators of average and conditional treatment effects.

Newton M. Kinyanjui, Timothy Odonga, Celia Cintas et al.

Recent advances in computer vision and deep learning have led to breakthroughs in the development of automated skin image analysis. In particular, skin cancer classification models have achieved performance higher than trained expert dermatologists. However, no attempt has been made to evaluate the consistency in performance of machine learning models across populations with varying skin tones. In this paper, we present an approach to estimate skin tone in benchmark skin disease datasets, and investigate whether model performance is dependent on this measure. Specifically, we use individual typology angle (ITA) to approximate skin tone in dermatology datasets. We look at the distribution of ITA values to better understand skin color representation in two benchmark datasets: 1) the ISIC 2018 Challenge dataset, a collection of dermoscopic images of skin lesions for the detection of skin cancer, and 2) the SD-198 dataset, a collection of clinical images capturing a wide variety of skin diseases. To estimate ITA, we first develop segmentation models to isolate non-diseased areas of skin. We find that the majority of the data in the the two datasets have ITA values between 34.5° and 48°, which are associated with lighter skin, and is consistent with under-representation of darker skinned populations in these datasets. We also find no measurable correlation between performance of machine learning model and ITA values, though more comprehensive data is needed for further validation.