Ayse K. Coskun

Hao Chen, Zhenhua Liu, Ayse K. Coskun et al.

The growing amount of intermittent renewables in power generation creates challenges for real-time matching of supply and demand in the power grid. Emerging ancillary power markets provide new incentives to consumers (e.g., electrical vehicles, data centers, and others) to perform demand response to help stabilize the electricity grid. A promising class of potential demand response providers includes energy storage systems (ESSs). This paper evaluates the benefits of using various types of novel ESS technologies for a variety of emerging smart grid demand response programs, such as regulation services reserves (RSRs), contingency reserves, and peak shaving. We model, formulate and solve optimization problems to maximize the net profit of ESSs in providing each demand response. Our solution selects the optimal power and energy capacities of the ESS, determines the optimal reserve value to provide as well as the ESS real-time operational policy for program participation. Our results highlight that applying ultra-capacitors and flywheels in RSR has the potential to be up to 30 times more profitable than using common battery technologies such as LI and LA batteries for peak shaving.

Beste Oztop, Dhruva Kulkarni, Zhengji Zhao et al.

Efficient utilization of GPU resources and power has become critical with the growing demand for GPUs in high-performance computing (HPC). In this paper, we analyze GPU utilization and GPU memory utilization, as well as the power consumption of the Vienna ab initio Simulation Package (VASP), using the Slurm workload manager historical logs and GPU performance metrics collected by NVIDIA's Data Center GPU Manager (DCGM). VASP is a widely used materials science application on Perlmutter at NERSC, an HPE Cray EX system based on NVIDIA A100 GPUs. Using our insights from the resource utilization analysis of VASP applications, we propose a resource prediction framework to predict the average GPU power, maximum GPU utilization, and maximum GPU memory utilization values of heterogeneous HPC system applications to enable more efficient scheduling decisions and power-aware system operation. Our prediction framework consists of two stages: 1) using only the Slurm accounting logs as training data and 2) augmenting the training data with historical GPU profiling metrics collected with DCGM. The maximum GPU utilization predictions using only the Slurm submission features achieve up to 97% accuracy. Furthermore, features engineered from GPU-compute and memory activity metrics exhibit good correlations with average power utilization, and our runtime power usage prediction experiments result in up to 92% prediction accuracy. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of DCGM metrics in capturing application characteristics and highlight their potential for developing predictive models to support dynamic power management in HPC systems.

Justin Li, Efe Sencan, Jasper Zheng Duan et al.

Machine learning models, particularly deep neural networks, have demonstrated strong performance in classifying complex time series data. However, their black-box nature limits trust and adoption, especially in high-stakes domains such as healthcare. To address this challenge, we introduce UniCoMTE, a model-agnostic framework for generating counterfactual explanations for multivariate time series classifiers. The framework identifies temporal features that most heavily influence a model's prediction by modifying the input sample and assessing its impact on the model's prediction. UniCoMTE is compatible with a wide range of model architectures and operates directly on raw time series inputs. In this study, we evaluate UniCoMTE's explanations on a time series ECG classifier. We quantify explanation quality by comparing our explanations' comprehensibility to comprehensibility of established techniques (LIME and SHAP) and assessing their generalizability to similar samples. Furthermore, clinical utility is assessed through a questionnaire completed by medical experts who review counterfactual explanations presented alongside original ECG samples. Results show that our approach produces concise, stable, and human-aligned explanations that outperform existing methods in both clarity and applicability. By linking model predictions to meaningful signal patterns, the framework advances the interpretability of deep learning models for real-world time series applications.

Ozan Tuncer, Anthony Byrne, Nilton Bila et al.

Modern cloud services have complex architectures, often comprising many software components, and depend on hundreds of configurations parameters to function correctly, securely, and with high performance. Due to the prevalence of open-source software, developers can easily deploy services using third-party software without mastering the configurations of that software. As a result, configuration errors (i.e., misconfigurations) are among the leading causes of service disruptions and outages. While existing cloud automation tools ease the process of service deployment and management, support for detecting misconfigurations in the cloud has not been addressed thoroughly, likely due to the lack of frameworks suitable for consistent parsing of unstandardized configuration files. This paper introduces ConfEx, a framework that enables discovery and extraction of text-based software configurations in the cloud. ConfEx uses a novel vocabulary-based technique to identify configuration files in cloud system instances with unlabeled content. To extract the information in these files, ConfEx leverages existing configuration parsers and post-processes the extracted data for analysis. We show that ConfEx achieves over 99% precision and 100% recall in identifying configuration files on 7805 popular Docker Hub images. Using two applied examples, we demonstrate that ConfEx also enables detecting misconfigurations in the cloud via existing tools that are designed for configurations represented as key-value pairs, revealing 184 errors in public Docker Hub images.

Philip Colangelo, Ayse K. Coskun, Jack Megrue et al.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is fueling exponential electricity demand growth, threatening grid reliability, raising prices for communities paying for new energy infrastructure, and stunting AI innovation as data centers wait for interconnection to constrained grids. This paper presents the first field demonstration, in collaboration with major corporate partners, of a software-only approach--Emerald Conductor--that transforms AI data centers into flexible grid resources that can efficiently and immediately harness existing power systems without massive infrastructure buildout. Conducted at a 256-GPU cluster running representative AI workloads within a commercial, hyperscale cloud data center in Phoenix, Arizona, the trial achieved a 25% reduction in cluster power usage for three hours during peak grid events while maintaining AI quality of service (QoS) guarantees. By orchestrating AI workloads based on real-time grid signals without hardware modifications or energy storage, this platform reimagines data centers as grid-interactive assets that enhance grid reliability, advance affordability, and accelerate AI's development.

Emre Ates, Burak Aksar, Vitus J. Leung et al.

Applying machine learning (ML) on multivariate time series data has growing popularity in many application domains, including in computer system management. For example, recent high performance computing (HPC) research proposes a variety of ML frameworks that use system telemetry data in the form of multivariate time series so as to detect performance variations, perform intelligent scheduling or node allocation, and improve system security. Common barriers for adoption for these ML frameworks include the lack of user trust and the difficulty of debugging. These barriers need to be overcome to enable the widespread adoption of ML frameworks in production systems. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a novel explainability technique for providing counterfactual explanations for supervised ML frameworks that use multivariate time series data. The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art explainability methods on several different ML frameworks and data sets in metrics such as faithfulness and robustness. The paper also demonstrates how the proposed method can be used to debug ML frameworks and gain a better understanding of HPC system telemetry data.