From News to Forecast: Integrating Event Analysis in LLM-Based Time Series Forecasting with ReflectionXinlei Wang, Maike Feng, Jing Qiu et al.
This paper introduces a novel approach that leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) and Generative Agents to enhance time series forecasting by reasoning across both text and time series data. With language as a medium, our method adaptively integrates social events into forecasting models, aligning news content with time series fluctuations to provide richer insights. Specifically, we utilize LLM-based agents to iteratively filter out irrelevant news and employ human-like reasoning to evaluate predictions. This enables the model to analyze complex events, such as unexpected incidents and shifts in social behavior, and continuously refine the selection logic of news and the robustness of the agent's output. By integrating selected news events with time series data, we fine-tune a pre-trained LLM to predict sequences of digits in time series. The results demonstrate significant improvements in forecasting accuracy, suggesting a potential paradigm shift in time series forecasting through the effective utilization of unstructured news data.
6.2AIJun 4
Beyond Output Matching: Preserving Internal Geometry in NVFP4 LLM DistillatioFangbo Tu, Junhua Zhao, Chi Liu et al.
Demand for low-precision inference, including NVFP4-based approaches, has grown as large language models are increasingly deployed in latency and cost constrained production environments. Quantization-aware distillation (QAD) helps recover accuracy lost under low bit quantization by training a quantized student to match the output distribution of a frozen higher precision teacher via a KL-divergence loss. In this work, we first provide a representation level diagnosis of QAD: output matching alone can mask internal degradation, because many intermediate activation geometries can yield similar teacher-aligned logits. Using CKA, we show that KL-only QAD can reduce layerwise representational similarity relative to the BF16 teacher, with especially severe drift in RL-post-trained models. This drift correlates with downstream bottlenecks on reasoning and coding tasks, suggesting that low bit recovery requires preserving internal geometry rather than matching outputs alone. Motivated by this finding, we propose \textbf{CKA-QAD}, a CKA-guided representational alignment method for NVFP4 QAD and low bit LLM accuracy recovery. The method adds a lightweight regularizer that preserves internal representational geometry during distillation by aligning layerwise Gram matrices through CKA. Across Nemotron 3 Nano and Qwen3-4B-Thinking-2507, CKA-QAD substantially improves representational alignment and improves downstream reasoning and coding accuracy with modest training overhead. Our findings position CKA-guided representational alignment as a practical complement to output matching for quantized LLM recovery.
38.6LGMar 30, 2024
Survey on Large Language Model-Enhanced Reinforcement Learning: Concept, Taxonomy, and MethodsYuji Cao, Huan Zhao, Yuheng Cheng et al.
With extensive pre-trained knowledge and high-level general capabilities, large language models (LLMs) emerge as a promising avenue to augment reinforcement learning (RL) in aspects such as multi-task learning, sample efficiency, and high-level task planning. In this survey, we provide a comprehensive review of the existing literature in LLM-enhanced RL and summarize its characteristics compared to conventional RL methods, aiming to clarify the research scope and directions for future studies. Utilizing the classical agent-environment interaction paradigm, we propose a structured taxonomy to systematically categorize LLMs' functionalities in RL, including four roles: information processor, reward designer, decision-maker, and generator. For each role, we summarize the methodologies, analyze the specific RL challenges that are mitigated, and provide insights into future directions. Lastly, a comparative analysis of each role, potential applications, prospective opportunities, and challenges of the LLM-enhanced RL are discussed. By proposing this taxonomy, we aim to provide a framework for researchers to effectively leverage LLMs in the RL field, potentially accelerating RL applications in complex applications such as robotics, autonomous driving, and energy systems.
Federated Unlearning with Gradient Descent and Conflict MitigationZibin Pan, Zhichao Wang, Chi Li et al.
Federated Learning (FL) has received much attention in recent years. However, although clients are not required to share their data in FL, the global model itself can implicitly remember clients' local data. Therefore, it's necessary to effectively remove the target client's data from the FL global model to ease the risk of privacy leakage and implement ``the right to be forgotten". Federated Unlearning (FU) has been considered a promising way to remove data without full retraining. But the model utility easily suffers significant reduction during unlearning due to the gradient conflicts. Furthermore, when conducting the post-training to recover the model utility, the model is prone to move back and revert what has already been unlearned. To address these issues, we propose Federated Unlearning with Orthogonal Steepest Descent (FedOSD). We first design an unlearning Cross-Entropy loss to overcome the convergence issue of the gradient ascent. A steepest descent direction for unlearning is then calculated in the condition of being non-conflicting with other clients' gradients and closest to the target client's gradient. This benefits to efficiently unlearn and mitigate the model utility reduction. After unlearning, we recover the model utility by maintaining the achievement of unlearning. Finally, extensive experiments in several FL scenarios verify that FedOSD outperforms the SOTA FU algorithms in terms of unlearning and model utility.
1.2SYDec 17, 2024
Coordinated Power Smoothing Control for Wind Storage Integrated System with Physics-informed Deep Reinforcement LearningShuyi Wang, Huan Zhao, Yuji Cao et al.
The Wind Storage Integrated System with Power Smoothing Control (PSC) has emerged as a promising solution to ensure both efficient and reliable wind energy generation. However, existing PSC strategies overlook the intricate interplay and distinct control frequencies between batteries and wind turbines, and lack consideration of wake effect and battery degradation cost. In this paper, a novel coordinated control framework with hierarchical levels is devised to address these challenges effectively, which integrates the wake model and battery degradation model. In addition, after reformulating the problem as a Markov decision process, the multi-agent reinforcement learning method is introduced to overcome the bi-level characteristic of the problem. Moreover, a Physics-informed Neural Network-assisted Multi-agent Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (PAMA-DDPG) algorithm is proposed to incorporate the power fluctuation differential equation and expedite the learning process. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is evaluated through simulations conducted in four distinct scenarios using WindFarmSimulator (WFSim). The results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm facilitates approximately an 11% increase in total profit and a 19% decrease in power fluctuation compared to the traditional methods, thereby addressing the dual objectives of economic efficiency and grid-connected energy reliability.
3.3AIOct 14, 2025
Toward Reasoning-Centric Time-Series AnalysisXinlei Wang, Mingtian Tan, Jing Qiu et al.
Traditional time series analysis has long relied on pattern recognition, trained on static and well-established benchmarks. However, in real-world settings -- where policies shift, human behavior adapts, and unexpected events unfold -- effective analysis must go beyond surface-level trends to uncover the actual forces driving them. The recent rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) presents new opportunities for rethinking time series analysis by integrating multimodal inputs. However, as the use of LLMs becomes popular, we must remain cautious, asking why we use LLMs and how to exploit them effectively. Most existing LLM-based methods still employ their numerical regression ability and ignore their deeper reasoning potential. This paper argues for rethinking time series with LLMs as a reasoning task that prioritizes causal structure and explainability. This shift brings time series analysis closer to human-aligned understanding, enabling transparent and context-aware insights in complex real-world environments.
3.3SPApr 4, 2021
A Federated Learning Framework for Non-Intrusive Load MonitoringHaijin Wang, Caomingzhe Si, Junhua Zhao
Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) aims at decomposing the total reading of the household power consumption into appliance-wise ones, which is beneficial for consumer behavior analysis as well as energy conservation. NILM based on deep learning has been a focus of research. To train a better neural network, it is necessary for the network to be fed with massive data containing various appliances and reflecting consumer behavior habits. Therefore, data cooperation among utilities and DNOs (distributed network operators) who own the NILM data has been increasingly significant. During the cooperation, however, risks of consumer privacy leakage and losses of data control rights arise. To deal with the problems above, a framework to improve the performance of NILM with federated learning (FL) has been set up. In the framework, model weights instead of the local data are shared among utilities. The global model is generated by weighted averaging the locally-trained model weights to gather the locally-trained model information. Optimal model selection help choose the model which adapts to the data from different domains best. Experiments show that this proposal improves the performance of local NILM runners. The performance of this framework is close to that of the centrally-trained model obtained by the convergent data without privacy protection.
1.2SPSep 6, 2018
Super-Resolution Perception for Industrial Sensor DataJinjin Gu, Haoyu Chen, Guolong Liu et al.
In this paper, we present the problem formulation and methodology framework of Super-Resolution Perception (SRP) on industrial sensor data. Industrial intelligence relies on high-quality industrial sensor data for system control, diagnosis, fault detection, identification, and monitoring. However, the provision of high-quality data may be expensive in some cases. In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning problem -- the SRP problem as reconstructing high-quality data from unsatisfactory sensor data in industrial systems. Advanced generative models are then proposed to solve the SRP problem. This technology makes it possible to empower existing industrial facilities without upgrading existing sensors or deploying additional sensors. We first mathematically formulate the SRP problem under the Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) estimation framework. A case study is then presented, which performs SRP on smart meter data. A network, namely SRPNet, is proposed to generate high-frequency load data from low-frequency data. We further employ a novel recognition-based loss and relativistic adversarial loss to constraint the reconstruction of waveforms explicitly. Experiments demonstrate that our SRP model can reconstruct high-frequency data effectively. Moreover, the reconstructed high-frequency data can lead to better appliance monitoring results without changing the monitoring appliances.