Andrey Itkin

Igor Halperin, Andrey Itkin

This paper introduces a dynamic portfolio optimization framework for large institutional investors using Scientific Physics-Informed Reinforcement Learning (SciPhyRL). Formulated in continuous time over an extended state space that includes explicit cumulative costs, the approach leverages offline historical data to learn optimal, distribution-aware strategies. A core innovation reduces the optimization challenge to solving an HJB equation by projecting it onto observed trajectories as a pathwise Hamilton-Jacobi equation. This is solved directly from data using PINN in a single offline sweep, eliminating the need for traditional value or policy iteration. To make the method effective at practical short horizons, the control variable is recast from a continuous trading rate to a discrete target holding. This ensures signal-implied positions are reached immediately, while execution costs are evaluated against a microstructure-grounded quadratic price impact model. Evaluated on a $14$-asset ETF universe using an engineered oracle signal, the learned Gibbs policy yields substantial out-of-sample Sharpe ratio improvements over static and myopic baselines. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework successfully translates known signal quality into a robust, multi-period, and cost-aware allocation mechanism with strictly controlled volatility and turnover.

Leif Andersen, Andrey Itkin, Rakhymzhan Kazbek

A flexible forward (FF) is a customized FX hedging instrument that guarantees a fixed exchange rate while letting the holder choose the delivery date within a pre-agreed window. It is therefore an American-style option on timing, and its valuation must respect the volatility skew of the underlying currency pair. We price FF contracts (and, more generally, American options) under a time-inhomogeneous Heston model which captures the forward-skew term structure while preserving analytical tractability through a recursive (matrix) Riccati solution for the joint characteristic function. Extending the integral-equation (decomposition) approach to time-dependent coefficients, we derive a Volterra equation characterizing the early-exercise surface. The expectation in the decomposition formula is evaluated by two complementary spectral methods: a double cosine (COS) expansion of the transition density, and a damped-Sinc (DSINC) local-basis scheme that is more accurate and stays robust when a low Feller ratio or large vol-of-vol induces Gibbs oscillations in the COS series. Benchmarked against a penalty-iteration MCS-ADI finite-difference solver, both methods price a contract in about 1-2 seconds, roughly an order of magnitude faster than the finest finite-difference grid, while DSINC improves median accuracy over COS by about a factor of twelve. The experiments also show that the early-exercise surface is a substantially nonlinear function of the variance, contrary to the linear-in-variance approximation common in earlier work.

Andrey Itkin

The Fokker-Planck equation is fundamental to statistical mechanics, yet in settings with multiple state variables, anisotropic (cross-) diffusion, and jumps, conventional discretizations frequently produce non-physical negative probability densities. Building on the operator approach of "A. Itkin, Pricing derivatives under Levy models. Modern finite difference and pseudo-differential operators approach, Springer, 2017, ISBN 978-1-4939-6792-6", we introduce a family of "Diagonal Frog" discretizations whose spatial operators are eventually M-matrices (EM-matrices). Although these operators lack a local M-matrix structure, positivity of the directional sub-operators emerges in the spirit of Zeno's paradox: the matrix exponential, assembled as the limit of infinitely many ever-smaller substeps, is provably nonnegative after a short transient even though no single substep is. For the mixed-derivative block, whose generator is not eventually nonnegative, positivity instead rests on a factorized resolvent solver and holds conditionally, on an explicit step-size window; discrete mass is conserved exactly by the splitting for every step size. The resulting schemes are second-order accurate in time and space and require O(m 2 N + m 3) operations per time step, where m is the dimension of the Krylov subspace used to apply the exponential. As stress tests, we solve a two-dimensional anisotropic Fokker-Planck equation in the strong cross-diffusion regime against an exact Gaussian reference, a Kramers escape problem in a double-well potential, and an advection-dominated problem, and observe that the schemes remain stable, nonnegative, and mass-conservative for a wide range of Pécklet numbers (so, don't need any flux limiter). Finally, we extend the construction to multidimensional processes and to the backward Kolmogorov equation with jumps.