12.0LGJul 15
Closed-Loop Knowledge Dynamics: An Operational Framework for Saturation and EscapeXuening Wu, Shan Yu, Shenqin Yin
Feedback-driven loops support iterative improvement in large language models, reinforcement learning, and autonomous discovery, yet their gains often diminish under repeated internal feedback. We study why closed-loop knowledge systems saturate and what external information can move them beyond their current attractors. We introduce a three-level operational framework in which knowledge states $x_t$ evolve through transition kernels $K_θ$ indexed by a structural parameter $θ$. The governing structure is defined as the observational equivalence class of $θ$ induced by these kernels, while attractors and basins are properties of the fixed-$θ$ dynamics. A structural intervention changes $θ$ and produces a detectable kernel discrepancy on pre-specified probe states, making structural change falsifiable. Using a Lyapunov drift condition, we show that stable internal dynamics approach bounded stability regions with exponentially attenuated transients and a noise-controlled residual floor. We characterize escape through a metric condition on intervention-induced attractor displacement and a baseline-relative KL lower bound for increasing escape probability. This analysis also explains why conditional mutual information alone cannot certify escape: it measures variation among intervention-conditioned updates rather than departure from the no-intervention law. Case studies in LLM code repair, sparse-reward reinforcement learning, and Bayesian optimization use matched continuation controls to illustrate how feedback strength and alignment affect quality-improving escape. Our contribution is an operational connection among stability tools, measurable intervention effects, and cross-domain diagnostics.
9.2AIJun 29
BayesEvolve: Explicit Belief States for Autonomous Scientific DiscoveryXuening Wu, Shan Yu, Qianya Xu et al.
Autonomous scientific discovery systems increasingly use large language models (LLMs) to propose new hypotheses, but many such systems condition primarily on experimental memory: archives of high-scoring candidates or heuristic summaries of recent trials. We argue that discovery agents should instead maintain explicit, uncertainty-aware beliefs about hypothesis quality. We introduce BayesEvolve, a belief-guided discovery framework that converts experimental evidence into a predictive belief state and uses this belief to guide future experimentation. As a controlled testbed for belief-guided discovery, we evaluate BayesEvolve on shifted BBOB-style black-box optimization tasks, leaving program and laboratory discovery domains to future work. BayesEvolve improves sample efficiency over memory- and archive-guided LLM baselines under a fixed evaluation budget. We further show that the belief state is predictive on held-out candidate pools, that controlled decision-rule ablations favor belief-guided selection with an annealed uncertainty bonus, and that BayesEvolve exhibits productive late-stage concentration rather than unfocused exploration.
AIJun 26
Do Language Models Converge to Themselves? Recursive Self-Refinement as Textual RelaxationXuening Wu, Qianya Xu, Yanlan Kang et al.
Large language models are increasingly used in recursive refinement workflows, where an initial draft is repeatedly revised by the same model. Despite their growing use, the long-term dynamics of such workflows remain poorly understood. Does repeated refinement continue to improve outputs indefinitely, or does it converge toward a stable textual form? We study recursive self-refinement as a dynamical process in which repeated LLM revision drives text toward a model-preferred soft fixed-point region. Using GPT-5.5, we generate 10-step refinement trajectories for 50 ICML 2025 abstracts under both default-temperature and deterministic decoding, and additionally evaluate 15 ICML 2020 abstracts. We analyze normalized edit distance, exact and approximate fixed points, word-count stability, exponential relaxation, and external LLM-as-a-judge evaluation. Across all settings, refinement trajectories rapidly saturate. Most edits occur within the first few iterations, after which trajectories enter a soft fixed-point region with only minor surface-level changes. Deterministic decoding reaches exact fixed points earlier and exhibits smaller residual fluctuations than default-temperature decoding, while both achieve universal approximate convergence. The average edit magnitude follows a consistent exponential relaxation pattern, suggesting convergence toward a model-preferred textual equilibrium rather than open-ended optimization. External evaluation indicates that converged abstracts improve clarity, conciseness, and scientific style while preserving technical meaning. These findings support a dynamical-systems view of LLM self-refinement and motivate practical stopping criteria based on edit-magnitude saturation.