Prioritizing emergency evacuations under compounding levels of uncertaintyLisa J. Einstein, Robert J. Moss, Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Well-executed emergency evacuations can save lives and reduce suffering. However, decision makers struggle to determine optimal evacuation policies given the chaos, uncertainty, and value judgments inherent in emergency evacuations. We propose and analyze a decision support tool for pre-crisis training exercises for teams preparing for civilian evacuations and explore the tool in the case of the 2021 U.S.-led evacuation from Afghanistan. We use different classes of Markov decision processes (MDPs) to capture compounding levels of uncertainty in (1) the priority category of who appears next at the gate for evacuation, (2) the distribution of priority categories at the population level, and (3) individuals' claimed priority category. We compare the number of people evacuated by priority status under eight heuristic policies. The optimized MDP policy achieves the best performance compared to all heuristic baselines. We also show that accounting for the compounding levels of model uncertainty incurs added complexity without improvement in policy performance. Useful heuristics can be extracted from the optimized policies to inform human decision makers. We open-source all tools to encourage robust dialogue about the trade-offs, limitations, and potential of integrating algorithms into high-stakes humanitarian decision-making.
Using Radio Archives for Low-Resource Speech Recognition: Towards an Intelligent Virtual Assistant for Illiterate UsersMoussa Doumbouya, Lisa Einstein, Chris Piech
For many of the 700 million illiterate people around the world, speech recognition technology could provide a bridge to valuable information and services. Yet, those most in need of this technology are often the most underserved by it. In many countries, illiterate people tend to speak only low-resource languages, for which the datasets necessary for speech technology development are scarce. In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of unsupervised speech representation learning on noisy radio broadcasting archives, which are abundant even in low-resource languages. We make three core contributions. First, we release two datasets to the research community. The first, West African Radio Corpus, contains 142 hours of audio in more than 10 languages with a labeled validation subset. The second, West African Virtual Assistant Speech Recognition Corpus, consists of 10K labeled audio clips in four languages. Next, we share West African wav2vec, a speech encoder trained on the noisy radio corpus, and compare it with the baseline Facebook speech encoder trained on six times more data of higher quality. We show that West African wav2vec performs similarly to the baseline on a multilingual speech recognition task, and significantly outperforms the baseline on a West African language identification task. Finally, we share the first-ever speech recognition models for Maninka, Pular and Susu, languages spoken by a combined 10 million people in over seven countries, including six where the majority of the adult population is illiterate. Our contributions offer a path forward for ethical AI research to serve the needs of those most disadvantaged by the digital divide.