Minxing Sun, Yao Mao
Short-horizon prediction is essential for electro-optical UAV tracking, especially when the target is small, maneuvering, or intermittently observed. Image center, line-of-sight, and range measurements provide direct constraints on target position, but their constraints on acceleration are weak. As a result, prediction can lag during aggressive maneuvers. This paper proposes an image-domain tilt constrained distributed fusion method for maneuvering UAV tracking. The method uses the apparent roll and pitch of a rotorcraft target in the image as low-level maneuver cues. A weak-prior auto-labeling pipeline first generates oriented bounding box and image-domain tilt labels from synchronized video, gimbal IMU, and UAV IMU data. A YOLO-OBB detector is then trained to provide online target position and tilt measurements. The front-end Python implementation is publicly available at github.com/ShineMinxing/PythonYOLO. In the fusion stage, the UAV state is modeled by position, velocity, and acceleration. Image-domain roll and pitch are introduced as acceleration-related pseudo-observations. For distributed tracking, one mobile gimbal camera and two fixed ground cameras are fused asynchronously. Camera attitude error states are augmented into the filter to absorb extrinsic drift and cross-camera systematic inconsistency. A Mahalanobis gate with time-since-last-valid covariance widening is used to reject false detections and handle dropouts. In simulation, adding roll/pitch observations reduces the prediction RMSE from 1.991 m to 0.821 m and decreases the cumulative prediction error by 60.75\%. In real distributed experiments, a self-consistency evaluation shows an 18.10\% reduction in cumulative prediction error. The results show that image-domain tilt can provide useful acceleration constraints for robust short-horizon UAV prediction.