Augusto Santos

Nguyen Huu Phong, Augusto Santos, Bernardete Ribeiro

Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets or CNNs) have been candidly deployed in the scope of computer vision and related fields. Nevertheless, the dynamics of training of these neural networks lie still elusive: it is hard and computationally expensive to train them. A myriad of architectures and training strategies have been proposed to overcome this challenge and address several problems in image processing such as speech, image and action recognition as well as object detection. In this article, we propose a novel Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) based training for ConvNets. In such framework, the vector of weights of each ConvNet is typically cast as the position of a particle in phase space whereby PSO collaborative dynamics intertwines with Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) in order to boost training performance and generalization. Our approach goes as follows: i) [regular phase] each ConvNet is trained independently via SGD; ii) [collaborative phase] ConvNets share among themselves their current vector of weights (or particle-position) along with their gradient estimates of the Loss function. Distinct step sizes are coined by distinct ConvNets. By properly blending ConvNets with large (possibly random) step-sizes along with more conservative ones, we propose an algorithm with competitive performance with respect to other PSO-based approaches on Cifar-10 and Cifar-100 (accuracy of 98.31% and 87.48%). These accuracy levels are obtained by resorting to only four ConvNets -- such results are expected to scale with the number of collaborative ConvNets accordingly. We make our source codes available for download https://github.com/leonlha/PSO-ConvNet-Dynamics.

Sérgio Machado, Anirudh Sridhar, Paulo Gil et al. · mit

We study the problem of graph structure identification, i.e., of recovering the graph of dependencies among time series. We model these time series data as components of the state of linear stochastic networked dynamical systems. We assume partial observability, where the state evolution of only a subset of nodes comprising the network is observed. We devise a new feature vector computed from the observed time series and prove that these features are linearly separable, i.e., there exists a hyperplane that separates the cluster of features associated with connected pairs of nodes from those associated with disconnected pairs. This renders the features amenable to train a variety of classifiers to perform causal inference. In particular, we use these features to train Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). The resulting causal inference mechanism outperforms state-of-the-art counterparts w.r.t. sample-complexity. The trained CNNs generalize well over structurally distinct networks (dense or sparse) and noise-level profiles. Remarkably, they also generalize well to real-world networks while trained over a synthetic network (realization of a random graph). Finally, the proposed method consistently reconstructs the graph in a pairwise manner, that is, by deciding if an edge or arrow is present or absent in each pair of nodes, from the corresponding time series of each pair. This fits the framework of large-scale systems, where observation or processing of all nodes in the network is prohibitive.

Augusto Santos, Diogo Rente, Rui Seabra et al.

In a Networked Dynamical System (NDS), each node is a system whose dynamics are coupled with the dynamics of neighboring nodes. The global dynamics naturally builds on this network of couplings and it is often excited by a noise input with nontrivial structure. The underlying network is unknown in many applications and should be inferred from observed data. We assume: i) Partial observability -- time series data is only available over a subset of the nodes; ii) Input noise -- it is correlated across distinct nodes while temporally independent, i.e., it is spatially colored. We present a feasibility condition on the noise correlation structure wherein there exists a consistent network inference estimator to recover the underlying fundamental dependencies among the observed nodes. Further, we describe a structure identification algorithm that exhibits competitive performance across distinct regimes of network connectivity, observability, and noise correlation.

Augusto Santos, Diogo Rente, Rui Seabra et al.

This paper considers learning the hidden causal network of a linear networked dynamical system (NDS) from the time series data at some of its nodes -- partial observability. The dynamics of the NDS are driven by colored noise that generates spurious associations across pairs of nodes, rendering the problem much harder. To address the challenge of noise correlation and partial observability, we assign to each pair of nodes a feature vector computed from the time series data of observed nodes. The feature embedding is engineered to yield structural consistency: there exists an affine hyperplane that consistently partitions the set of features, separating the feature vectors corresponding to connected pairs of nodes from those corresponding to disconnected pairs. The causal inference problem is thus addressed via clustering the designed features. We demonstrate with simple baseline supervised methods the competitive performance of the proposed causal inference mechanism under broad connectivity regimes and noise correlation levels, including a real world network. Further, we devise novel technical guarantees of structural consistency for linear NDS under the considered regime.

Vincenzo Matta, Augusto Santos, Ali H. Sayed

Many optimization, inference and learning tasks can be accomplished efficiently by means of decentralized processing algorithms where the network topology (i.e., the graph) plays a critical role in enabling the interactions among neighboring nodes. There is a large body of literature examining the effect of the graph structure on the performance of decentralized processing strategies. In this article, we examine the inverse problem and consider the reverse question: How much information does observing the behavior at the nodes of a graph convey about the underlying topology? For large-scale networks, the difficulty in addressing such inverse problems is compounded by the fact that usually only a limited fraction of the nodes can be probed, giving rise to a second important question: Despite the presence of unobserved nodes, can partial observations still be sufficient to discover the graph linking the probed nodes? The article surveys recent advances on this challenging learning problem and related questions.

Vincenzo Matta, Augusto Santos, Ali H. Sayed

This work examines the problem of graph learning over a diffusion network when data can be collected from a limited portion of the network (partial observability). The main question is to establish technical guarantees of consistent recovery of the subgraph of probed network nodes, i) despite the presence of unobserved nodes; and ii) under different connectivity regimes, including the dense regime where the probed nodes are influenced by many connections coming from the unobserved ones. We ascertain that suitable estimators of the combination matrix (i.e., the matrix that quantifies the pairwise interaction between nodes) possess an identifiability gap that enables the discrimination between connected and disconnected nodes. Fundamental conditions are established under which the subgraph of monitored nodes can be recovered, with high probability as the network size increases, through universal clustering algorithms. This claim is proved for three matrix estimators: i) the Granger estimator that adapts to the partial observability setting the solution that is exact under full observability ; ii) the one-lag correlation matrix; and iii) the residual estimator based on the difference between two consecutive time samples. A detailed characterization of the asymptotic behavior of these estimators is established in terms of an error bias and of the identifiability gap, and a sample complexity analysis is performed to establish how the number of samples scales with the network size to achieve consistent learning. Comparison among the estimators is performed through illustrative examples that show how estimators that are not optimal in the full observability regime can outperform the Granger estimator in the partial observability regime. The analysis reveals that the fundamental property enabling consistent graph learning is the statistical concentration of node degrees.

Michele Nogueira, Augusto Almeida Santos, José M. F. Moura

Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) is a common type of Cybercrime. It can strongly damage a company reputation and increase its costs. Attackers improve continuously their strategies. They doubled the amount of unleashed communication requests in volume, size, and frequency in the last few years. This occurs against different hosts, causing resource exhaustion. Previous studies focused on detecting or mitigating ongoing DDoS attacks. Yet, addressing DDoS attacks when they are already in place may be too late. In this article, we consider network resilience by early prediction of attack trends. We show empirically the advantage of using non-parametric leading indicators for early prediction of volumetric DDoS attacks. We report promising results over a real dataset from CAIDA. Our results raise new questions and opportunities for further research in early predicting trends of DDoS attacks.