Tong Zhao

Jiajie Jin, Yuyang Hu, Kai Qiu et al.

Scientific progress depends on a repeated loop of exploration, experimentation, and abstraction. Researchers test candidate directions, interpret the evidence, and carry the resulting lessons into later attempts. We study how an AI agent can run this loop autonomously over long horizons. We introduce Arbor, a general framework for autonomous research that combines a long-lived coordinator, short-lived executors, and Hypothesis Tree Refinement (HTR), a persistent tree that links hypotheses, artifacts, evidence, and distilled insights across time. The coordinator manages global research strategy over the tree, while executors implement and test individual hypotheses in isolated worktrees. As results return, Arbor updates the tree, propagates reusable lessons, refines the search frontier, and admits verified improvements. This design turns autonomous research from a sequence of local attempts into a cumulative process in which strategy, execution, and evidence are carried across time. We evaluate Arbor under Autonomous Optimization (AO), an operational setting where an agent improves an initial research artifact through iterative experimentation without step-level human supervision. Across six real research tasks in model training, harness engineering, and data synthesis, Arbor achieves the best held-out result on all six tasks, attaining more than 2.5x the average relative held-out gain of Codex and Claude Code under the same task interface and resource budget. On MLE-Bench Lite, Arbor reaches 86.36% Any Medal with GPT-5.5, the strongest result in our comparison.

Yuming Zhou, Haoyang Li, Sheng Lin et al.

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) and reinforcement learning (RL) post-training now dominate large language model (LLM) development, yet expert load imbalance remains a critical challenge. Existing load-balancing systems target pre-training by relying on historical step-level statistics. However, these methods fail under the unique workload dynamics of RL post-training: the step-level load is stable, but the tiny batch sizes processed during micro-steps cause severe, high-frequency load fluctuations. We introduce ForeMoE, a micro-step-level load balancing system for MoE RL post-training. Instead of relying on historical statistics, ForeMoE exploits the multi-stage RL pipeline (rollout, recompute, policy update) by using foreseeable routing information from the rollout stage to proactively guide load balancing in the remaining stages. To support frequent per-micro-step reconfiguration, ForeMoE employs a hierarchical planner that decomposes the NP-hard load balancing problem into tractable sub-components, alongside a transfer engine that leverages complementary hardware paths (CPU-assisted and GPU-direct) for overlapped expert transfer. Evaluations on 64 GPUs demonstrate that ForeMoE achieves up to a 1.45$\times$ speedup over state-of-the-art RL post-training systems.