Jesus L. Lobo

Jesus L. Lobo, Ibai Laña, Eneko Osaba et al.

AI-based digital twins are at the leading edge of the Industry 4.0 revolution, which are technologically empowered by the Internet of Things and real-time data analysis. Information collected from industrial assets is produced in a continuous fashion, yielding data streams that must be processed under stringent timing constraints. Such data streams are usually subject to non-stationary phenomena, causing that the data distribution of the streams may change, and thus the knowledge captured by models used for data analysis may become obsolete (leading to the so-called concept drift effect). The early detection of the change (drift) is crucial for updating the model's knowledge, which is challenging especially in scenarios where the ground truth associated to the stream data is not readily available. Among many other techniques, the estimation of the model's confidence has been timidly suggested in a few studies as a criterion for detecting drifts in unsupervised settings. The goal of this manuscript is to confirm and expose solidly the connection between the model's confidence in its output and the presence of a concept drift, showcasing it experimentally and advocating for a major consideration of uncertainty estimation in comparative studies to be reported in the future.

Aitor Martinez Seras, Javier Del Ser, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

Research around Spiking Neural Networks has ignited during the last years due to their advantages when compared to traditional neural networks, including their efficient processing and inherent ability to model complex temporal dynamics. Despite these differences, Spiking Neural Networks face similar issues than other neural computation counterparts when deployed in real-world settings. This work addresses one of the practical circumstances that can hinder the trustworthiness of this family of models: the possibility of querying a trained model with samples far from the distribution of its training data (also referred to as Out-of-Distribution or OoD data). Specifically, this work presents a novel OoD detector that can identify whether test examples input to a Spiking Neural Network belong to the distribution of the data over which it was trained. For this purpose, we characterize the internal activations of the hidden layers of the network in the form of spike count patterns, which lay a basis for determining when the activations induced by a test instance is atypical. Furthermore, a local explanation method is devised to produce attribution maps revealing which parts of the input instance push most towards the detection of an example as an OoD sample. Experimental results are performed over several image classification datasets to compare the proposed detector to other OoD detection schemes from the literature. As the obtained results clearly show, the proposed detector performs competitively against such alternative schemes, and produces relevance attribution maps that conform to expectations for synthetically created OoD instances.

Maria Arostegi, Miren Nekane Bilbao, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

The ever-growing speed at which data are generated nowadays, together with the substantial cost of labeling processes cause Machine Learning models to face scenarios in which data are partially labeled. The extreme case where such a supervision is indefinitely unavailable is referred to as extreme verification latency. On the other hand, in streaming setups data flows are affected by exogenous factors that yield non-stationarities in the patterns (concept drift), compelling models learned incrementally from the data streams to adapt their modeled knowledge to the concepts within the stream. In this work we address the casuistry in which these two conditions occur together, by which adaptation mechanisms to accommodate drifts within the stream are challenged by the lack of supervision, requiring further mechanisms to track the evolution of concepts in the absence of verification. To this end we propose a novel approach, AiGAS-dEVL (Adaptive Incremental neural GAS model for drifting Streams under Extreme Verification Latency), which relies on growing neural gas to characterize the distributions of all concepts detected within the stream over time. Our approach exposes that the online analysis of the behavior of these prototypical points over time facilitates the definition of the evolution of concepts in the feature space, the detection of changes in their behavior, and the design of adaptation policies to mitigate the effect of such changes in the model. We assess the performance of AiGAS-dEVL over several synthetic datasets, comparing it to that of state-of-the-art approaches proposed in the recent past to tackle this stream learning setup. Our results reveal that AiGAS-dEVL performs competitively with respect to the rest of baselines, exhibiting a superior adaptability over several datasets in the benchmark while ensuring a simple and interpretable instance-based adaptation strategy.

Eneko Osaba, Gorka Benguria, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

In the last years, one of the fields of artificial intelligence that has been investigated the most is nature-inspired computing. The research done on this specific topic showcases the interest that sparks in researchers and practitioners, who put their focus on this paradigm because of the adaptability and ability of nature-inspired algorithms to reach high-quality outcomes on a wide range of problems. In fact, this kind of methods has been successfully applied to solve real-world problems in heterogeneous fields such as medicine, transportation, industry, or software engineering. Our main objective with this paper is to describe a tool based on nature-inspired computing for solving a specific software engineering problem. The problem faced consists of optimizing Infrastructure as Code deployment configurations. For this reason, the name of the system is IaC Optimizer Platform. A prototypical version of the IOP was described in previous works, in which the functionality of this platform was introduced. With this paper, we take a step forward by describing the final release of the IOP, highlighting its main contribution regarding the current state-of-the-art, and justifying the decisions made on its implementation. Also, we contextualize the IOP within the complete platform in which it is embedded, describing how a user can benefit from its use. To do that, we also present and solve a real-world use case.

Marcos Barcina-Blanco, Jesus L. Lobo, Pablo Garcia-Bringas et al.

In real-world scenarios classification models are often required to perform robustly when predicting samples belonging to classes that have not appeared during its training stage. Open Set Recognition addresses this issue by devising models capable of detecting unknown classes from samples arriving during the testing phase, while maintaining a good level of performance in the classification of samples belonging to known classes. This review comprehensively overviews the recent literature related to Open Set Recognition, identifying common practices, limitations, and connections of this field with other machine learning research areas, such as continual learning, out-of-distribution detection, novelty detection, and uncertainty estimation. Our work also uncovers open problems and suggests several research directions that may motivate and articulate future efforts towards more safe Artificial Intelligence methods.

Javier Del Ser, Jesus L. Lobo, Heimo Müller et al.

World Models help Artificial Intelligence (AI) predict outcomes, reason about its environment, and guide decision-making. While widely used in reinforcement learning, they lack the structured, adaptive representations that even young children intuitively develop. Advancing beyond pattern recognition requires dynamic, interpretable frameworks inspired by Piaget's cognitive development theory. We highlight six key research areas -- physics-informed learning, neurosymbolic learning, continual learning, causal inference, human-in-the-loop AI, and responsible AI -- as essential for enabling true reasoning in AI. By integrating statistical learning with advances in these areas, AI can evolve from pattern recognition to genuine understanding, adaptation and reasoning capabilities.

Jesus L. Lobo, Javier Del Ser

Artificial Intelligence is widely regarded as a transformative force with the potential to redefine numerous sectors of human civilization. While Artificial Intelligence has evolved from speculative fiction to a pivotal element of technological progress, its role as a truly transformative agent, or transformative Artificial Intelligence, remains a subject of debate. This work explores the historical precedents of technological breakthroughs, examining whether Artificial Intelligence can achieve a comparable impact, and it delves into various ethical frameworks that shape the perception and development of Artificial Intelligence. Additionally, it considers the societal, technical, and regulatory challenges that must be addressed for Artificial Intelligence to become a catalyst for global change. We also examine not only the strategies and methodologies that could lead to transformative Artificial Intelligence but also the barriers that could ultimately make these goals unattainable. We end with a critical inquiry into whether reaching a transformative Artificial Intelligence might compel humanity to adopt an entirely new ethical approach, tailored to the complexities of advanced Artificial Intelligence. By addressing the ethical, social, and scientific dimensions of Artificial Intelligence's development, this work contributes to the broader discourse on the long-term implications of Artificial Intelligence and its capacity to drive civilization toward a new era of progress or, conversely, exacerbate existing inequalities and risks.

Marcos Barcina-Blanco, Jesus L. Lobo, Pablo Garcia-Bringas et al.

Modern digital applications extensively integrate Artificial Intelligence models into their core systems, offering significant advantages for automated decision-making. However, these AI-based systems encounter reliability and safety challenges when handling continuously generated data streams in complex and dynamic scenarios. This work explores the concept of resilient AI systems, which must operate in the face of unexpected events, including instances that belong to patterns that have not been seen during the training process. This is an issue that regular closed-set classifiers commonly encounter in streaming scenarios, as they are designed to compulsory classify any new observation into one of the training patterns (i.e., the so-called \textit{over-occupied space} problem). In batch learning, the Open Set Recognition research area has consistently confronted this issue by requiring models to robustly uphold their classification performance when processing query instances from unknown patterns. In this context, this work investigates the application of an Open Set Recognition framework that combines classification and clustering to address the \textit{over-occupied space} problem in streaming scenarios. Specifically, we systematically devise a benchmark comprising different classification datasets with varying ratios of known to unknown classes. Experiments are presented on this benchmark to compare the performance of the proposed hybrid framework with that of individual incremental classifiers. Discussions held over the obtained results highlight situations where the proposed framework performs best, and delineate the limitations and hurdles encountered by incremental classifiers in effectively resolving the challenges posed by open-world streaming environments.

Maria Arostegi, Miren Nekane Bilbao, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

Concept drift and extreme verification latency pose significant challenges in data stream learning, particularly when dealing with recurring concept changes in dynamic environments. This work introduces a novel method based on the Growing Neural Gas (GNG) algorithm, designed to effectively handle abrupt recurrent drifts while adapting to incrementally evolving data distributions (incremental drifts). Leveraging the self-organizing and topological adaptability of GNG, the proposed approach maintains a compact yet informative memory structure, allowing it to efficiently store and retrieve knowledge of past or recurring concepts, even under conditions of delayed or sparse stream supervision. Our experiments highlight the superiority of our approach over existing data stream learning methods designed to cope with incremental non-stationarities and verification latency, demonstrating its ability to quickly adapt to new drifts, robustly manage recurring patterns, and maintain high predictive accuracy with a minimal memory footprint. Unlike other techniques that fail to leverage recurring knowledge, our proposed approach is proven to be a robust and efficient online learning solution for unsupervised drifting data flows.

Eneko Osaba, Josu Diaz-de-Arcaya, Juncal Alonso et al.

Multiobjective optimization is a hot topic in the artificial intelligence and operations research communities. The design and development of multiobjective methods is a frequent task for researchers and practitioners. As a result of this vibrant activity, a myriad of techniques have been proposed in the literature to date, demonstrating a significant effectiveness for dealing with situations coming from a wide range of real-world areas. This paper is focused on a multiobjective problem related to optimizing Infrastructure-as-Code deployment configurations. The system implemented for solving this problem has been coined as IaC Optimizer Platform (IOP). Despite the fact that a prototypical version of the IOP has been introduced in the literature before, a deeper analysis focused on the resolution of the problem is needed, in order to determine which is the most appropriate multiobjective method for embedding in the IOP. The main motivation behind the analysis conducted in this work is to enhance the IOP performance as much as possible. This is a crucial aspect of this system, deeming that it will be deployed in a real environment, as it is being developed as part of a H2020 European project. Going deeper, we resort in this paper to nine different evolutionary computation-based multiobjective algorithms. For assessing the quality of the considered solvers, 12 different problem instances have been generated based on real-world settings. Results obtained by each method after 10 independent runs have been compared using Friedman's non-parametric tests. Findings reached from the tests carried out lad to the creation of a multi-algorithm system, capable of applying different techniques according to the user's needs.

Eneko Osaba, Javier Del Ser, Aritz D. Martinez et al.

Transfer Optimization is an incipient research area dedicated to solving multiple optimization tasks simultaneously. Among the different approaches that can address this problem effectively, Evolutionary Multitasking resorts to concepts from Evolutionary Computation to solve multiple problems within a single search process. In this paper we introduce a novel adaptive metaheuristic algorithm to deal with Evolutionary Multitasking environments coined as Adaptive Transfer-guided Multifactorial Cellular Genetic Algorithm (AT-MFCGA). AT-MFCGA relies on cellular automata to implement mechanisms in order to exchange knowledge among the optimization problems under consideration. Furthermore, our approach is able to explain by itself the synergies among tasks that were encountered and exploited during the search, which helps us to understand interactions between related optimization tasks. A comprehensive experimental setup is designed to assess and compare the performance of AT-MFCGA to that of other renowned evolutionary multitasking alternatives (MFEA and MFEA-II). Experiments comprise 11 multitasking scenarios composed of 20 instances of 4 combinatorial optimization problems, yielding the largest discrete multitasking environment solved to date. Results are conclusive in regard to the superior quality of solutions provided by AT-MFCGA with respect to the rest of the methods, which are complemented by a quantitative examination of the genetic transferability among tasks throughout the search process.

Jesus L. Lobo, Javier Del Ser, Eneko Osaba et al.

Data stream mining extracts information from large quantities of data flowing fast and continuously (data streams). They are usually affected by changes in the data distribution, giving rise to a phenomenon referred to as concept drift. Thus, learning models must detect and adapt to such changes, so as to exhibit a good predictive performance after a drift has occurred. In this regard, the development of effective drift detection algorithms becomes a key factor in data stream mining. In this work we propose CU RIE, a drift detector relying on cellular automata. Specifically, in CU RIE the distribution of the data stream is represented in the grid of a cellular automata, whose neighborhood rule can then be utilized to detect possible distribution changes over the stream. Computer simulations are presented and discussed to show that CU RIE, when hybridized with other base learners, renders a competitive behavior in terms of detection metrics and classification accuracy. CU RIE is compared with well-established drift detectors over synthetic datasets with varying drift characteristics.

Eneko Osaba, Aritz D. Martinez, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

Multitasking optimization is a recently introduced paradigm, focused on the simultaneous solving of multiple optimization problem instances (tasks). The goal of multitasking environments is to dynamically exploit existing complementarities and synergies among tasks, helping each other through the transfer of genetic material. More concretely, Evolutionary Multitasking (EM) regards to the resolution of multitasking scenarios using concepts inherited from Evolutionary Computation. EM approaches such as the well-known Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm (MFEA) are lately gaining a notable research momentum when facing with multiple optimization problems. This work is focused on the application of the recently proposed Multifactorial Cellular Genetic Algorithm (MFCGA) to the well-known Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem (CVRP). In overall, 11 different multitasking setups have been built using 12 datasets. The contribution of this research is twofold. On the one hand, it is the first application of the MFCGA to the Vehicle Routing Problem family of problems. On the other hand, equally interesting is the second contribution, which is focused on the quantitative analysis of the positive genetic transferability among the problem instances. To do that, we provide an empirical demonstration of the synergies arisen between the different optimization tasks.

Javier Del Ser, Ibai Lana, Eric L. Manibardo et al.

In short-term traffic forecasting, the goal is to accurately predict future values of a traffic parameter of interest occurring shortly after the prediction is queried. The activity reported in this long-standing research field has been lately dominated by different Deep Learning approaches, yielding overly complex forecasting models that in general achieve accuracy gains of questionable practical utility. In this work we elaborate on the performance of Deep Echo State Networks for this particular task. The efficient learning algorithm and simpler parametric configuration of these alternative modeling approaches make them emerge as a competitive traffic forecasting method for real ITS applications deployed in devices and systems with stringently limited computational resources. An extensive comparison benchmark is designed with real traffic data captured over the city of Madrid (Spain), amounting to more than 130 automatic Traffic Readers (ATRs) and several shallow learning, ensembles and Deep Learning models. Results from this comparison benchmark and the analysis of the statistical significance of the reported performance gaps are decisive: Deep Echo State Networks achieve more accurate traffic forecasts than the rest of considered modeling counterparts.

Eric L. Manibardo, Ibai Laña, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

This work focuses on classification over time series data. When a time series is generated by non-stationary phenomena, the pattern relating the series with the class to be predicted may evolve over time (concept drift). Consequently, predictive models aimed to learn this pattern may become eventually obsolete, hence failing to sustain performance levels of practical use. To overcome this model degradation, online learning methods incrementally learn from new data samples arriving over time, and accommodate eventual changes along the data stream by implementing assorted concept drift strategies. In this manuscript we elaborate on the suitability of online learning methods to predict the road congestion level based on traffic speed time series data. We draw interesting insights on the performance degradation when the forecasting horizon is increased. As opposed to what is done in most literature, we provide evidence of the importance of assessing the distribution of classes over time before designing and tuning the learning model. This previous exercise may give a hint of the predictability of the different congestion levels under target. Experimental results are discussed over real traffic speed data captured by inductive loops deployed over Seattle (USA). Several online learning methods are analyzed, from traditional incremental learning algorithms to more elaborated deep learning models. As shown by the reported results, when increasing the prediction horizon, the performance of all models degrade severely due to the distribution of classes along time, which supports our claim about the importance of analyzing this distribution prior to the design of the model.

Eneko Osaba, Aritz D. Martinez, Jesus L. Lobo et al.

Multitasking optimization is an incipient research area which is lately gaining a notable research momentum. Unlike traditional optimization paradigm that focuses on solving a single task at a time, multitasking addresses how multiple optimization problems can be tackled simultaneously by performing a single search process. The main objective to achieve this goal efficiently is to exploit synergies between the problems (tasks) to be optimized, helping each other via knowledge transfer (thereby being referred to as Transfer Optimization). Furthermore, the equally recent concept of Evolutionary Multitasking (EM) refers to multitasking environments adopting concepts from Evolutionary Computation as their inspiration for the simultaneous solving of the problems under consideration. As such, EM approaches such as the Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm (MFEA) has shown a remarkable success when dealing with multiple discrete, continuous, single-, and/or multi-objective optimization problems. In this work we propose a novel algorithmic scheme for Multifactorial Optimization scenarios - the Multifactorial Cellular Genetic Algorithm (MFCGA) - that hinges on concepts from Cellular Automata to implement mechanisms for exchanging knowledge among problems. We conduct an extensive performance analysis of the proposed MFCGA and compare it to the canonical MFEA under the same algorithmic conditions and over 15 different multitasking setups (encompassing different reference instances of the discrete Traveling Salesman Problem). A further contribution of this analysis beyond performance benchmarking is a quantitative examination of the genetic transferability among the problem instances, eliciting an empirical demonstration of the synergies emerged between the different optimization tasks along the MFCGA search process.

Jesus L. Lobo, Javier Del Ser, Francisco Herrera

With the advent of huges volumes of data produced in the form of fast streams, real-time machine learning has become a challenge of relevance emerging in a plethora of real-world applications. Processing such fast streams often demands high memory and processing resources. In addition, they can be affected by non-stationary phenomena (concept drift), by which learning methods have to detect changes in the distribution of streaming data, and adapt to these evolving conditions. A lack of efficient and scalable solutions is particularly noted in real-time scenarios where computing resources are severely constrained, as it occurs in networks of small, numerous, interconnected processing units (such as the so-called Smart Dust, Utility Fog, or Swarm Robotics paradigms). In this work we propose LUNAR, a streamified version of cellular automata devised to successfully meet the aforementioned requirements. It is able to act as a real incremental learner while adapting to drifting conditions. Extensive simulations with synthetic and real data will provide evidence of its competitive behavior in terms of classification performance when compared to long-established and successful online learning methods.

Piotr S. Maciąg, Marzena Kryszkiewicz, Robert Bembenik et al.

Unsupervised anomaly discovery in stream data is a research topic with many practical applications. However, in many cases, it is not easy to collect enough training data with labeled anomalies for supervised learning of an anomaly detector in order to deploy it later for identification of real anomalies in streaming data. It is thus important to design anomalies detectors that can correctly detect anomalies without access to labeled training data. Our idea is to adapt the Online evolving Spiking Neural Network (OeSNN) classifier to the anomaly detection task. As a result, we offer an Online evolving Spiking Neural Network for Unsupervised Anomaly Detection algorithm (OeSNN-UAD), which, unlike OeSNN, works in an unsupervised way and does not separate output neurons into disjoint decision classes. OeSNN-UAD uses our proposed new two-step anomaly detection method. Also, we derive new theoretical properties of neuronal model and input layer encoding of OeSNN, which enable more effective and efficient detection of anomalies in our OeSNN-UAD approach. The proposed OeSNN-UAD detector was experimentally compared with state-of-the-art unsupervised and semi-supervised detectors of anomalies in stream data from the Numenta Anomaly Benchmark and Yahoo Anomaly Datasets repositories. Our approach outperforms the other solutions provided in the literature in the case of data streams from the Numenta Anomaly Benchmark repository. Also, in the case of real data files of the Yahoo Anomaly Benchmark repository, OeSNN-UAD outperforms other selected algorithms, whereas in the case of Yahoo Anomaly Benchmark synthetic data files, it provides competitive results to the results recently reported in the literature.

Jesus L. Lobo, Izaskun Oregi, Albert Bifet et al.

Stream data processing has gained progressive momentum with the arriving of new stream applications and big data scenarios. One of the most promising techniques in stream learning is the Spiking Neural Network, and some of them use an interesting population encoding scheme to transform the incoming stimuli into spikes. This study sheds lights on the key issue of this encoding scheme, the Gaussian receptive fields, and focuses on applying them as a pre-processing technique to any dataset in order to gain representativeness, and to boost the predictive performance of the stream learning methods. Experiments with synthetic and real data sets are presented, and lead to confirm that our approach can be applied successfully as a general pre-processing technique in many real cases.

Jesus L. Lobo, Javier Del Ser, Albert Bifet et al.

Applications that generate huge amounts of data in the form of fast streams are becoming increasingly prevalent, being therefore necessary to learn in an online manner. These conditions usually impose memory and processing time restrictions, and they often turn into evolving environments where a change may affect the input data distribution. Such a change causes that predictive models trained over these stream data become obsolete and do not adapt suitably to new distributions. Specially in these non-stationary scenarios, there is a pressing need for new algorithms that adapt to these changes as fast as possible, while maintaining good performance scores. Unfortunately, most off-the-shelf classification models need to be retrained if they are used in changing environments, and fail to scale properly. Spiking Neural Networks have revealed themselves as one of the most successful approaches to model the behavior and learning potential of the brain, and exploit them to undertake practical online learning tasks. Besides, some specific flavors of Spiking Neural Networks can overcome the necessity of retraining after a drift occurs. This work intends to merge both fields by serving as a comprehensive overview, motivating further developments that embrace Spiking Neural Networks for online learning scenarios, and being a friendly entry point for non-experts.