Eunho Koo

Eunho Koo, Tongseok Lim, Jinwon Sohn

Statistical matching combines partially overlapping datasets that share covariates $X$ but observe the target $Y$ and auxiliary variables $Z$ separately. Classical approaches typically invoke the conditional independence assumption (CIA), which makes the problem identifiable but fundamentally implies that the imported auxiliary variable provides no additional predictive power for $Y$ once $X$ is known. To capture this latent $Y$--$Z$ dependence, we propose a novel dependency-aware Schrödinger bridge for predictive statistical matching. Our approach couples the two separated databases by tilting the conservative CIA baseline with a transportation-based compatibility cost, recovering an informative joint distribution. The resulting statistical learning framework yields full probabilistic posterior rules for bidirectional imputation. Theoretically, we establish a sufficient condition under which the learned bridge strictly improves over the CIA baseline, alongside an exact joint recovery guarantee in the Gaussian setting under an appropriate cost. Across synthetic benchmarks and real-world datasets (CelebA and Adult), we demonstrate that our dependency-aware completion consistently improves downstream predictive utility, proving especially beneficial in settings like data recoding where the underlying population exhibits strong $Y$--$Z$ dependence.

Eunho Koo, Hyungjun Kim

In regression analysis under artificial neural networks, the prediction performance depends on determining the appropriate weights between layers. As randomly initialized weights are updated during back-propagation using the gradient descent procedure under a given loss function, the loss function structure can affect the performance significantly. In this study, we considered the distribution error, i.e., the inconsistency of two distributions (those of the predicted values and label), as the prediction error, and proposed weighted empirical stretching (WES) as a novel loss function to increase the overlap area of the two distributions. The function depends on the distribution of a given label, thus, it is applicable to any distribution shape. Moreover, it contains a scaling hyperparameter such that the appropriate parameter value maximizes the common section of the two distributions. To test the function capability, we generated ideal distributed curves (unimodal, skewed unimodal, bimodal, and skewed bimodal) as the labels, and used the Fourier-extracted input data from the curves under a feedforward neural network. In general, WES outperformed loss functions in wide use, and the performance was robust to the various noise levels. The improved results in RMSE for the extreme domain (i.e., both tail regions of the distribution) are expected to be utilized for prediction of abnormal events in non-linear complex systems such as natural disaster and financial crisis.