Edward J. Oughton

Edward J. Oughton, Andrew Renton, Daniel Mac Marnus et al.

Space weather events pose a growing threat to modern economies, yet their macroeconomic consequences remain underexplored. This study presents the first dedicated economic assessment of geomagnetic storm impacts on Aotearoa New Zealand, quantifying potential gross domestic product (GDP) losses across seven conservative disruption and mitigation scenarios due to an extreme coronal mass ejection (CME). The primary focus is on the damaging impacts of geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) on the electrical power transmission network. We support space weather mitigation investment decisions by providing a first-order approximation of their potential economic benefits, using best-in-class scientific models, via a coupled physics-engineering-economic spatial modelling framework. Recognising uncertainty in the economic interpretation of power outage impacts, we compare four different estimation methods. In the most severe unmitigated scenario, estimated GDP losses reach NZD3.58 billion (0.98 percent of annual GDP). Targeted GIC-informed scenarios still produce material losses, with no mitigation reaching up to NZD1.48 billion (0.41 percent of annual GDP). Mitigation substantially reduces these impacts. Operational strategies, including optimized switching and islanding, achieve benefit-cost ratios as high as 330 to 1, while physical protections such as GIC blocking devices produce returns up to 34.4 to 1. When also acknowledging additional unmodelled impacts, including multi-billion losses in capital equipment and long-term revenue, the economic rationale for pre-emptive mitigation becomes even more pertinent.

Edward J. Oughton, Evan Alexander Peters, Dennies Bor et al.

Space weather risk assessment is constrained by the lack of available asset information needed to model Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) in electricity transmission infrastructure. We propose a reproducible method that enables risk analysts to collect their own open-source substation data. Utilizing an innovative web-browser platform for annotation, we convert OpenStreetMap substation locations to high-resolution, component-level mappings of electricity transmission assets. For example, we convert an initial 1,313 high-voltage (>115 kV) substations to 52,273 substation components via Google Earth APIs utilizing low-altitude, satellite, and streetview imagery. Approximately 41,642 substation components (79.6%) connect to the highest substation voltage levels (>345 kV) and are potentially susceptible to GICs, with 7,949 identified transformers. Compared to the OpenStreetMap baseline, this approach provides detailed insights on voltage levels, line capacities, and substation configurations. We then construct a geospatial GIC network for the Tennessee Valley Authority region, comparing May 2024 results with the UIUC150 synthetic network and with measured ground GICs at 13 monitoring devices. Importantly, the two open-source networks produce 95th-percentile peak ground GIC values within 4% of each other, and the modeled time series broadly capture the temporal morphology of the storm at the monitoring sites. This method shows promise for spatially explicit GIC screening and regional nowcasting without requiring access to operator data.

James E. Gallagher, Edward J. Oughton

Landmines remain a persistent humanitarian threat, with an estimated 110 million mines deployed across 60 countries, claiming approximately 26,000 casualties annually. Current detection methods are hazardous, inefficient, and prohibitively expensive. We present the Adaptive Multispectral Landmine Identification Dataset (AMLID), the first open-source dataset combining Red-Green-Blue (RGB) and Long-Wave Infrared (LWIR) imagery for Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)-based landmine detection. AMLID comprises of 12,078 labeled images featuring 21 globally deployed landmine types across anti-personnel and anti-tank categories in both metal and plastic compositions. The dataset spans 11 RGB-LWIR fusion levels, four sensor altitudes, two seasonal periods, and three daily illumination conditions. By providing comprehensive multispectral coverage across diverse environmental variables, AMLID enables researchers to develop and benchmark adaptive detection algorithms without requiring access to live ordnance or expensive data collection infrastructure, thereby democratizing humanitarian demining research.

James E. Gallagher, Edward J. Oughton

Multispectral imaging and deep learning have emerged as powerful tools supporting diverse use cases from autonomous vehicles, to agriculture, infrastructure monitoring and environmental assessment. The combination of these technologies has led to significant advancements in object detection, classification, and segmentation tasks in the non-visible light spectrum. This paper considers 400 total papers, reviewing 200 in detail to provide an authoritative meta-review of multispectral imaging technologies, deep learning models, and their applications, considering the evolution and adaptation of You Only Look Once (YOLO) methods. Ground-based collection is the most prevalent approach, totaling 63% of the papers reviewed, although uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) for YOLO-multispectral applications have doubled since 2020. The most prevalent sensor fusion is Red-Green-Blue (RGB) with Long-Wave Infrared (LWIR), comprising 39% of the literature. YOLOv5 remains the most used variant for adaption to multispectral applications, consisting of 33% of all modified YOLO models reviewed. 58% of multispectral-YOLO research is being conducted in China, with broadly similar research quality to other countries (with a mean journal impact factor of 4.45 versus 4.36 for papers not originating from Chinese institutions). Future research needs to focus on (i) developing adaptive YOLO architectures capable of handling diverse spectral inputs that do not require extensive architectural modifications, (ii) exploring methods to generate large synthetic multispectral datasets, (iii) advancing multispectral YOLO transfer learning techniques to address dataset scarcity, and (iv) innovating fusion research with other sensor types beyond RGB and LWIR.

James Gallagher, Edward Oughton

Object detection models commonly deployed on uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) focus on identifying objects in the visible spectrum using Red-Green-Blue (RGB) imagery. However, there is growing interest in fusing RGB with thermal long wave infrared (LWIR) images to increase the performance of object detection machine learning (ML) models. Currently LWIR ML models have received less research attention, especially for both ground- and air-based platforms, leading to a lack of baseline performance metrics evaluating LWIR, RGB and LWIR-RGB fused object detection models. Therefore, this research contributes such quantitative metrics to the literature. The results found that the ground-based blended RGB-LWIR model exhibited superior performance compared to the RGB or LWIR approaches, achieving a mAP of 98.4%. Additionally, the blended RGB-LWIR model was also the only object detection model to work in both day and night conditions, providing superior operational capabilities. This research additionally contributes a novel labelled training dataset of 12,600 images for RGB, LWIR, and RGB-LWIR fused imagery, collected from ground-based and air-based platforms, enabling further multispectral machine-driven object detection research.

Ogutu B. Osoro, Edward J. Oughton, Andrew R. Wilson et al.

The growth of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) broadband satellite megaconstellations is rapidly increasing the number of rocket launches. While improving broadband Internet helps achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), there are also significant environmental emissions produced from burning rocket fuels. We present sustainability analytics for phase 1 of the three main LEO constellations including Amazon Kuiper (3,236 satellites), Eutelsat Group's OneWeb (648 satellites), and SpaceX Starlink (4,425 satellites). We find that LEO megaconstellations provide substantially improved broadband speeds for rural and remote communities but are roughly 6-8 times more emissions intensive (250 kg CO2eq/subscriber/year) than comparative terrestrial 4G mobile broadband. Policy makers must carefully consider the trade-off between improving broadband Internet to further the SDGs while mitigating the growing space sector environmental footprint, particularly regarding phase 2 plans to launch an order-of-magnitude more satellites.

Aahan Sachdeva, Dhanvinkumar Ganeshkumar, James E. Gallagher et al.

Autonomous robotic platforms are playing a growing role across the emergency services sector, supporting missions such as search and rescue operations in disaster zones and reconnaissance. However, traditional red-green-blue (RGB) detection pipelines struggle in low-light environments, and thermal-based systems lack color and texture information. To overcome these limitations, we present an adaptive framework that fuses RGB and long-wave infrared (LWIR) video streams at multiple fusion ratios and dynamically selects the optimal detection model for each illumination condition. We trained 33 You Only Look Once (YOLO) models on over 22,000 annotated images spanning three light levels: no-light (<10 lux), dim-light (10-1000 lux), and full-light (>1000 lux). To integrate both modalities, fusion was performed by blending aligned RGB and LWIR frames at eleven ratios, from full RGB (100/0) to full LWIR (0/100) in 10% increments. Evaluation showed that the best full-light model (80/20 RGB-LWIR) and dim-light model (90/10 fusion) achieved 92.8% and 92.0% mean confidence; both significantly outperformed the YOLOv5 nano (YOLOv5n) and YOLOv11 nano (YOLOv11n) baselines. Under no-light conditions, the top 40/60 fusion reached 71.0%, exceeding baselines though not statistically significant. Adaptive RGB-LWIR fusion improved detection confidence and reliability across all illumination conditions, enhancing autonomous robotic vision performance.

James E. Gallagher, Edward J. Oughton, Jana Kosecka

Landmines remain a persistent humanitarian threat, with 110 million actively deployed mines across 60 countries, claiming 26,000 casualties annually. This research evaluates adaptive Red-Green-Blue (RGB) and Long-Wave Infrared (LWIR) fusion for Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)-based detection of surface-laid landmines, leveraging the thermal contrast between the ordnance and the surrounding soil to enhance feature extraction. Using You Only Look Once (YOLO) architectures (v8, v10, v11) across 114 test images, generating 35,640 model-condition evaluations, YOLOv11 achieved optimal performance (86.8% mAP), with 10 to 30% thermal fusion at 5 to 10m altitude identified as the optimal detection parameters. A complementary architectural comparison revealed that while RF-DETR achieved the highest accuracy (69.2% mAP), followed by Faster R-CNN (67.6%), YOLOv11 (64.2%), and RetinaNet (50.2%), YOLOv11 trained 17.7 times faster than the transformer-based RF-DETR (41 minutes versus 12 hours), presenting a critical accuracy-efficiency tradeoff for operational deployment. Aggregated multi-temporal training datasets outperformed season-specific approaches by 1.8 to 9.6%, suggesting that models benefit from exposure to diverse thermal conditions. Anti-Tank (AT) mines achieved 61.9% detection accuracy, compared with 19.2% for Anti-Personnel (AP) mines, reflecting both the size differential and thermal-mass differences between these ordnance classes. As this research examined surface-laid mines where thermal contrast is maximized, future research should quantify thermal contrast effects for mines buried at varying depths across heterogeneous soil types.

James E. Gallagher, Aryav Gogia, Edward J. Oughton

Segment Anything Model (SAM) is drastically accelerating the speed and accuracy of automatically segmenting and labeling large Red-Green-Blue (RGB) imagery datasets. However, SAM is unable to segment and label images outside of the visible light spectrum, for example, for multispectral or hyperspectral imagery. Therefore, this paper outlines a method we call the Multispectral Automated Transfer Technique (MATT). By transposing SAM segmentation masks from RGB images we can automatically segment and label multispectral imagery with high precision and efficiency. For example, the results demonstrate that segmenting and labeling a 2,400-image dataset utilizing MATT achieves a time reduction of 87.8% in developing a trained model, reducing roughly 20 hours of manual labeling, to only 2.4 hours. This efficiency gain is associated with only a 6.7% decrease in overall mean average precision (mAP) when training multispectral models via MATT, compared to a manually labeled dataset. We consider this an acceptable level of precision loss when considering the time saved during training, especially for rapidly prototyping experimental modeling methods. This research greatly contributes to the study of multispectral object detection by providing a novel and open-source method to rapidly segment, label, and train multispectral object detection models with minimal human interaction. Future research needs to focus on applying these methods to (i) space-based multispectral, and (ii) drone-based hyperspectral imagery.

James E. Gallagher, Edward J. Oughton

This paper presents the Visual Optical Recognition Telemetry EXtraction (VORTEX) system for extracting and analyzing drone telemetry data from First Person View (FPV) Uncrewed Aerial System (UAS) footage. VORTEX employs MMOCR, a PyTorch-based Optical Character Recognition (OCR) toolbox, to extract telemetry variables from drone Heads Up Display (HUD) recordings, utilizing advanced image preprocessing techniques, including CLAHE enhancement and adaptive thresholding. The study optimizes spatial accuracy and computational efficiency through systematic investigation of temporal sampling rates (1s, 5s, 10s, 15s, 20s) and coordinate processing methods. Results demonstrate that the 5-second sampling rate, utilizing 4.07% of available frames, provides the optimal balance with a point retention rate of 64% and mean speed accuracy within 4.2% of the 1-second baseline while reducing computational overhead by 80.5%. Comparative analysis of coordinate processing methods reveals that while UTM Zone 33N projection and Haversine calculations provide consistently similar results (within 0.1% difference), raw WGS84 coordinates underestimate distances by 15-30% and speeds by 20-35%. Altitude measurements showed unexpected resilience to sampling rate variations, with only 2.1% variation across all intervals. This research is the first of its kind, providing quantitative benchmarks for establishing a robust framework for drone telemetry extraction and analysis using open-source tools and spatial libraries.