Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos

Khashayar Filom, Alexey Miroshnikov, Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos et al.

Due to their power and ease of use, tree-based machine learning models, such as random forests and gradient-boosted tree ensembles, have become very popular. To interpret them, local feature attributions based on marginal expectations, e.g. marginal (interventional) Shapley, Owen or Banzhaf values, may be employed. Such methods are true to the model and implementation invariant, i.e. dependent only on the input-output function of the model. We contrast this with the popular TreeSHAP algorithm by presenting two (statistically similar) decision trees that compute the exact same function for which the "path-dependent" TreeSHAP yields different rankings of features, whereas the marginal Shapley values coincide. Furthermore, we discuss how the internal structure of tree-based models may be leveraged to help with computing their marginal feature attributions according to a linear game value. One important observation is that these are simple (piecewise-constant) functions with respect to a certain grid partition of the input space determined by the trained model. Another crucial observation, showcased by experiments with XGBoost, LightGBM and CatBoost libraries, is that only a portion of all features appears in a tree from the ensemble. Thus, the complexity of computing marginal Shapley (or Owen or Banzhaf) feature attributions may be reduced. This remains valid for a broader class of game values which we shall axiomatically characterize. A prime example is the case of CatBoost models where the trees are oblivious (symmetric) and the number of features in each of them is no larger than the depth. We exploit the symmetry to derive an explicit formula, with improved complexity and only in terms of the internal model parameters, for marginal Shapley (and Banzhaf and Owen) values of CatBoost models. This results in a fast, accurate algorithm for estimating these feature attributions.

Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos, Alexey Miroshnikov, Khashayar Filom et al.

In recent years, many Machine Learning (ML) explanation techniques have been designed using ideas from cooperative game theory. These game-theoretic explainers suffer from high complexity, hindering their exact computation in practical settings. In our work, we focus on a wide class of linear game values, as well as coalitional values, for the marginal game based on a given ML model and predictor vector. By viewing these explainers as expectations over appropriate sample spaces, we design a novel Monte Carlo sampling algorithm that estimates them at a reduced complexity that depends linearly on the size of the background dataset. We set up a rigorous framework for the statistical analysis and obtain error bounds for our sampling methods. The advantage of this approach is that it is fast, easily implementable, and model-agnostic. Furthermore, it has similar statistical accuracy as other known estimation techniques that are more complex and model-specific. We provide rigorous proofs of statistical convergence, as well as numerical experiments whose results agree with our theoretical findings.

Ryan Franks, Alexey Miroshnikov, Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos

We develop a novel bias mitigation framework with distribution-based fairness constraints suitable for producing demographically blind and explainable machine-learning models across a wide range of fairness levels. This is accomplished through post-processing, allowing fairer models to be generated efficiently without retraining the underlying model. Our framework, which is based on stochastic gradient descent, can be applied to a wide range of model types, with a particular emphasis on the post-processing of gradient-boosted decision trees. Additionally, we design a broad family of global fairness metrics, along with differentiable and consistent estimators compatible with our framework, building on previous work. We empirically test our methodology on a variety of datasets and compare it with alternative post-processing approaches, including Bayesian search, optimal transport projection, and direct neural network training.

Alexey Miroshnikov, Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos, Ryan Franks et al.

This article is a companion paper to our earlier work Miroshnikov et al. (2021) on fairness interpretability, which introduces bias explanations. In the current work, we propose a bias mitigation methodology based upon the construction of post-processed models with fairer regressor distributions for Wasserstein-based fairness metrics. By identifying the list of predictors contributing the most to the bias, we reduce the dimensionality of the problem by mitigating the bias originating from those predictors. The post-processing methodology involves reshaping the predictor distributions by balancing the positive and negative bias explanations and allows for the regressor bias to decrease. We design an algorithm that uses Bayesian optimization to construct the bias-performance efficient frontier over the family of post-processed models, from which an optimal model is selected. Our novel methodology performs optimization in low-dimensional spaces and avoids expensive model retraining.

Alexey Miroshnikov, Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos, Ryan Franks et al.

The objective of this article is to introduce a fairness interpretability framework for measuring and explaining the bias in classification and regression models at the level of a distribution. In our work, we measure the model bias across sub-population distributions in the model output using the Wasserstein metric. To properly quantify the contributions of predictors, we take into account the favorability of both the model and predictors with respect to the non-protected class. The quantification is accomplished by the use of transport theory, which gives rise to the decomposition of the model bias and bias explanations to positive and negative contributions. To gain more insight into the role of favorability and allow for additivity of bias explanations, we adapt techniques from cooperative game theory.