Bulbul Ahmmed

Maruti K. Mudunuru, Velimir V. Vesselinov, Bulbul Ahmmed

This paper presents a novel ML-based methodology for geothermal exploration towards PFA applications. Our methodology is provided through our open-source ML framework, GeoThermalCloud \url{https://github.com/SmartTensors/GeoThermalCloud.jl}. The GeoThermalCloud uses a series of unsupervised, supervised, and physics-informed ML methods available in SmartTensors AI platform \url{https://github.com/SmartTensors}. Here, the presented analyses are performed using our unsupervised ML algorithm called NMF$k$, which is available in the SmartTensors AI platform. Our ML algorithm facilitates the discovery of new phenomena, hidden patterns, and mechanisms that helps us to make informed decisions. Moreover, the GeoThermalCloud enhances the collected PFA data and discovers signatures representative of geothermal resources. Through GeoThermalCloud, we could identify hidden patterns in the geothermal field data needed to discover blind systems efficiently. Crucial geothermal signatures often overlooked in traditional PFA are extracted using the GeoThermalCloud and analyzed by the subject matter experts to provide ML-enhanced PFA, which is informative for efficient exploration. We applied our ML methodology to various open-source geothermal datasets within the U.S. (some of these are collected by past PFA work). The results provide valuable insights into resource types within those regions. This ML-enhanced workflow makes the GeoThermalCloud attractive for the geothermal community to improve existing datasets and extract valuable information often unnoticed during geothermal exploration.

B. Ahmmed, M. K. Mudunuru, S. Karra et al.

Accurate predictions of reactive mixing are critical for many Earth and environmental science problems. To investigate mixing dynamics over time under different scenarios, a high-fidelity, finite-element-based numerical model is built to solve the fast, irreversible bimolecular reaction-diffusion equations to simulate a range of reactive-mixing scenarios. A total of 2,315 simulations are performed using different sets of model input parameters comprising various spatial scales of vortex structures in the velocity field, time-scales associated with velocity oscillations, the perturbation parameter for the vortex-based velocity, anisotropic dispersion contrast, and molecular diffusion. Outputs comprise concentration profiles of the reactants and products. The inputs and outputs of these simulations are concatenated into feature and label matrices, respectively, to train 20 different machine learning (ML) emulators to approximate system behavior. The 20 ML emulators based on linear methods, Bayesian methods, ensemble learning methods, and multilayer perceptron (MLP), are compared to assess these models. The ML emulators are specifically trained to classify the state of mixing and predict three quantities of interest (QoIs) characterizing species production, decay, and degree of mixing. Linear classifiers and regressors fail to reproduce the QoIs; however, ensemble methods (classifiers and regressors) and the MLP accurately classify the state of reactive mixing and the QoIs. Among ensemble methods, random forest and decision-tree-based AdaBoost faithfully predict the QoIs. At run time, trained ML emulators are $\approx10^5$ times faster than the high-fidelity numerical simulations. Speed and accuracy of the ensemble and MLP models facilitate uncertainty quantification, which usually requires 1,000s of model run, to estimate the uncertainty bounds on the QoIs.