Christopher Sun

Christopher Sun, Jay Nimbalkar, Ravnoor Bedi

Mosquito habitat ranges are projected to expand due to climate change. This investigation aims to identify future mosquito habitats by analyzing preferred ecological conditions of mosquito larvae. After assembling a data set with atmospheric records and larvae observations, a neural network is trained to predict larvae counts from ecological inputs. Time series forecasting is conducted on these variables and climate projections are passed into the initial deep learning model to generate location-specific larvae abundance predictions. The results support the notion of regional ecosystem-driven changes in mosquito spread, with high-elevation regions in particular experiencing an increase in susceptibility to mosquito infestation.

Sai Balaji, Christopher Sun, Anaiy Somalwar

The early and accurate diagnosis of sepsis is critical for enhancing patient outcomes. This study aims to use heart rate variability (HRV) features to develop an effective predictive model for sepsis detection. Critical HRV features are identified through feature engineering methods, including statistical bootstrapping and the Boruta algorithm, after which XGBoost and Random Forest classifiers are trained with differential hyperparameter settings. In addition, ensemble models are constructed to pool the prediction probabilities of high-recall and high-precision classifiers and improve model performance. Finally, a neural network model is trained on the HRV features, achieving an F1 score of 0.805, a precision of 0.851, and a recall of 0.763. The best-performing machine learning model is compared to this neural network through an interpretability analysis, where Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations are implemented to determine decision-making criterion based on numerical ranges and thresholds for specific features. This study not only highlights the efficacy of HRV in automated sepsis diagnosis but also increases the transparency of black box outputs, maximizing clinical applicability.

Christopher Sun, Jai Sharma, Milind Maiti

Computational methods to accelerate natural disaster response include change detection, map alignment, and vision-aided navigation. Current software functions optimally only on near-nadir images, though off-nadir images are often the first sources of information following a natural disaster. The use of off-nadir images for the aforementioned tasks requires the computation of geocentric pose, which is an aerial vehicle's spatial orientation with respect to gravity. This study proposes a deep learning ensemble framework to predict geocentric pose using 5,923 near-nadir and off-nadir RGB satellite images of cities worldwide. First, a U-Net Fully Convolutional Neural Network predicts the pixel-wise above-ground elevation mask of the RGB images. Then, the elevation masks are concatenated with the RGB images to form four-channel inputs fed into a second convolutional model, which predicts orientation angle and magnification scale. A performance accuracy of R2=0.917 significantly outperforms previous methodologies. In addition, outlier removal is performed through supervised interpolation, and a sensitivity analysis of elevation masks is conducted to gauge the usefulness of data features, motivating future avenues of feature engineering. The high-accuracy software built in this study contributes to mapping and navigation procedures for effective disaster response to save lives.

Christopher Sun, Abishek Satish

In this study, we implement a novel BERT architecture for multitask fine-tuning on three downstream tasks: sentiment classification, paraphrase detection, and semantic textual similarity prediction. Our model, Multitask BERT, incorporates layer sharing and a triplet architecture, custom sentence pair tokenization, loss pairing, and gradient surgery. Such optimizations yield a 0.516 sentiment classification accuracy, 0.886 paraphase detection accuracy, and 0.864 semantic textual similarity correlation on test data. We also apply generative adversarial learning to BERT, constructing a conditional generator model that maps from latent space to create fake embeddings in $\mathbb{R}^{768}$. These fake embeddings are concatenated with real BERT embeddings and passed into a discriminator model for auxiliary classification. Using this framework, which we refer to as AC-GAN-BERT, we conduct semi-supervised sensitivity analyses to investigate the effect of increasing amounts of unlabeled training data on AC-GAN-BERT's test accuracy. Overall, aside from implementing a high-performing multitask classification system, our novelty lies in the application of adversarial learning to construct a generator that mimics BERT. We find that the conditional generator successfully produces rich embeddings with clear spatial correlation with class labels, demonstrating avoidance of mode collapse. Our findings validate the GAN-BERT approach and point to future directions of generator-aided knowledge distillation.

Gabriel Bo, Justin Gu, Christopher Sun

We present a foundation modeling framework that leverages deep learning to uncover latent genetic signatures across the hematopoietic hierarchy. Our approach trains a fully connected autoencoder on multipotent progenitor cells, reducing over 20,000 gene features to a 256-dimensional latent space that captures predictive information for both progenitor and downstream differentiated cells such as monocytes and lymphocytes. We validate the quality of these embeddings by training feed-forward, transformer, and graph convolutional architectures for blood disease diagnosis tasks. We also explore zero-shot prediction using a progenitor disease state classification model to classify downstream cell conditions. Our models achieve greater than 95% accuracy for multi-class classification, and in the zero-shot setting, we achieve greater than 0.7 F1-score on the binary classification task. Future work should improve embeddings further to increase robustness on lymphocyte classification specifically.

Christopher Sun

Since frequent severe droughts are lengthening the dry season in the Amazon Rainforest, it is important to detect wildfires promptly and forecast possible spread for effective suppression response. Current wildfire detection models are not versatile enough for the low-technology conditions of South American hot spots. This deep learning study first trains a Fully Convolutional Neural Network on Landsat 8 images of Ecuador and the Galapagos, using Green and Short-wave Infrared bands to predict pixel-level binary fire masks. This model achieves a 0.962 validation F2 score and a 0.932 F2 score on test data from Guyana and Suriname. Afterward, image segmentation is conducted on the Cirrus band using K-Means Clustering to simplify continuous pixel values into three discrete classes representing differing degrees of cirrus cloud contamination. Three additional Convolutional Neural Networks are trained to conduct a sensitivity analysis measuring the effect of simplified features on model accuracy and train time. The Experimental model trained on the segmented cirrus images provides a statistically significant decrease in train time compared to the Control model trained on raw cirrus images, without compromising binary accuracy. This proof of concept reveals that feature engineering can improve the performance of wildfire detection models by lowering computational expense.

Christopher Sun, Jai Sharma, Milind Maiti

Dropout Regularization, serving to reduce variance, is nearly ubiquitous in Deep Learning models. We explore the relationship between the dropout rate and model complexity by training 2,000 neural networks configured with random combinations of the dropout rate and the number of hidden units in each dense layer, on each of the three data sets we selected. The generated figures, with binary cross entropy loss and binary accuracy on the z-axis, question the common assumption that adding depth to a dense layer while increasing the dropout rate will certainly enhance performance. We also discover a complex correlation between the two hyperparameters that we proceed to quantify by building additional machine learning and Deep Learning models which predict the optimal dropout rate given some hidden units in each dense layer. Linear regression and polynomial logistic regression require the use of arbitrary thresholds to select the cost data points included in the regression and to assign the cost data points a binary classification, respectively. These machine learning models have mediocre performance because their naive nature prevented the modeling of complex decision boundaries. Turning to Deep Learning models, we build neural networks that predict the optimal dropout rate given the number of hidden units in each dense layer, the desired cost, and the desired accuracy of the model. Though, this attempt encounters a mathematical error that can be attributed to the failure of the vertical line test. The ultimate Deep Learning model is a neural network whose decision boundary represents the 2,000 previously generated data points. This final model leads us to devise a promising method for tuning hyperparameters to minimize computational expense yet maximize performance. The strategy can be applied to any model hyperparameters, with the prospect of more efficient tuning in industrial models.