Mohammad Al-Jarrah

Mohammad Al-Jarrah, Niyizhen Jin, Bamdad Hosseini et al.

This paper is concerned with the problem of nonlinear filtering, i.e., computing the conditional distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamical system given a history of noisy partial observations. Conventional sequential importance resampling (SIR) particle filters suffer from fundamental limitations, in scenarios involving degenerate likelihoods or high-dimensional states, due to the weight degeneracy issue. In this paper, we explore an alternative method, which is based on estimating the Brenier optimal transport (OT) map from the current prior distribution of the state to the posterior distribution at the next time step. Unlike SIR particle filters, the OT formulation does not require the analytical form of the likelihood. Moreover, it allows us to harness the approximation power of neural networks to model complex and multi-modal distributions and employ stochastic optimization algorithms to enhance scalability. Extensive numerical experiments are presented that compare the OT method to the SIR particle filter and the ensemble Kalman filter, evaluating the performance in terms of sample efficiency, high-dimensional scalability, and the ability to capture complex and multi-modal distributions.

Mohammad Al-Jarrah, Michele Martino, Marcus Yim et al.

We present Conditional Wasserstein Autoencoders (CWAEs), a framework for conditional simulation that exploits low-dimensional structure in both the conditioned and the conditioning variables. The key idea is to modify a Wasserstein autoencoder to use a (block-) triangular decoder and impose an appropriate independence assumption on the latent variables. We show that the resulting model gives an autoencoder that can exploit low-dimensional structure while simultaneously the decoder can be used for conditional simulation. We explore various theoretical properties of CWAEs, including their connections to conditional optimal transport (OT) problems. We also present alternative formulations that lead to three architectural variants forming the foundation of our algorithms. We present a series of numerical experiments that demonstrate that our different CWAE variants achieve substantial reductions in approximation error relative to the low-rank ensemble Kalman filter (LREnKF), particularly in problems where the support of the conditional measures is truly low-dimensional.

Mohammad Al-Jarrah, Bamdad Hosseini, Amirhossein Taghvaei

In this paper, we present the amortized optimal transport filter (A-OTF) designed to mitigate the computational burden associated with the real-time training of optimal transport filters (OTFs). OTFs can perform accurate non-Gaussian Bayesian updates in the filtering procedure, but they require training at every time step, which makes them expensive. The proposed A-OTF framework exploits the similarity between OTF maps during an initial/offline training stage in order to reduce the cost of inference during online calculations. More precisely, we use clustering algorithms to select relevant subsets of pre-trained maps whose weighted average is used to compute the A-OTF model akin to a mixture of experts. A series of numerical experiments validate that A-OTF achieves substantial computational savings during online inference while preserving the inherent flexibility and accuracy of OTF.