Thibaut Loiseau

Dan Assouline, Erwan Koch, Federico Amato et al.

Skillful medium-range precipitation forecasting at kilometer scale remains challenging over complex terrain because precipitation arises from multiscale nonlinear processes that global models cannot explicitly resolve at affordable cost. Global AI weather models can produce skillful medium-range forecasts, but their native 0.25 degrees resolution limits direct use for local hazard applications. Statistical downscaling can help bridge this gap, yet existing approaches often struggle with state-dependent, and especially lead-time-dependent, biases in global forecasts. We introduce SwAIther-Precip, a lead-time-aware downscaling framework that converts coarse-resolution AIFS forecasts into probabilistic km-scale precipitation fields over Switzerland. First, a U-Net conditioned on lead time via feature-wise linear modulation deterministically corrects systematic biases at coarse resolution. This targeted correction enables a cheaper super-resolution stage conditioned only on corrected precipitation, allowing direct training on observations rather than on the full atmospheric state. A diffusion-based model then generates fine-scale spatial variability independently of lead time. Using AIFS forecasts and CombiPrecip radar-gauge observations, SwAIther-Precip reduces CRPS by 48% relative to raw AIFS. The generated fields reproduce observed spatial variability with spectral fidelity above 0.85 at large scales and 0.88 at small scales, corresponding to an effective resolution of approximately 4 km on a 1 km grid for lead times up to 5 days. Training across lead times further improves long-range performance, yielding a 13% CRPS reduction at 6 days relative to lead-time-specific models. These results show that explicitly correcting lead-time-dependent biases before generative super-resolution is key to efficient km-scale probabilistic downscaling of global AI precipitation forecasts.

David Picard, Nicolas Dufour, Lucas Degeorge et al.

This paper introduces the Polynomial Mixer (PoM), a novel token mixing mechanism with linear complexity that serves as a drop-in replacement for self-attention. PoM aggregates input tokens into a compact representation through a learned polynomial function, from which each token retrieves contextual information. We prove that PoM satisfies the contextual mapping property, ensuring that transformers equipped with PoM remain universal sequence-to-sequence approximators. We replace standard self-attention with PoM across five diverse domains: text generation, handwritten text recognition, image generation, 3D modeling, and Earth observation. PoM matches the performance of attention-based models while drastically reducing computational cost when working with long sequences. The code is available at https://github.com/davidpicard/pom.

Thibaut Loiseau, Tuan-Hung Vu, Mickael Chen et al.

Assessing the robustness of perception models to covariate shifts and their ability to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs is crucial for safety-critical applications such as autonomous vehicles. By nature of such applications, however, the relevant data is difficult to collect and annotate. In this paper, we show for the first time how synthetic data can be specifically generated to assess comprehensively the real-world reliability of semantic segmentation models. By fine-tuning Stable Diffusion with only in-domain data, we perform zero-shot generation of visual scenes in OOD domains or inpainted with OOD objects. This synthetic data is employed to evaluate the robustness of pretrained segmenters, thereby offering insights into their performance when confronted with real edge cases. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate a high correlation between the performance of models when evaluated on our synthetic OOD data and when evaluated on real OOD inputs, showing the relevance of such virtual testing. Furthermore, we demonstrate how our approach can be utilized to enhance the calibration and OOD detection capabilities of segmenters. Code and data are made public.

Thibaut Loiseau, Guillaume Bourmaud, Vincent Lepetit

Pre-training techniques have greatly advanced computer vision, with CroCo's cross-view completion approach yielding impressive results in tasks like 3D reconstruction and pose regression. However, this method requires substantial overlap between training pairs, limiting its effectiveness. We introduce Alligat0R, a novel pre-training approach that reformulates cross-view learning as a co-visibility segmentation task. Our method predicts whether each pixel in one image is co-visible in the second image, occluded, or outside the field of view (FOV), enabling the use of image pairs with any degree of overlap and providing interpretable predictions. To support this, we present Cub3, a large-scale dataset with 2.5 million image pairs and dense co-visibility annotations derived from the nuScenes dataset. This dataset includes diverse scenarios with varying degrees of overlap. The experiments show that Alligat0R significantly outperforms CroCo in relative pose regression, especially in scenarios with limited overlap. Alligat0R and Cub3 will be made publicly available.

Thibaut Loiseau, Guillaume Bourmaud

Camera pose estimation is crucial for many computer vision applications, yet existing benchmarks offer limited insight into method limitations across different geometric challenges. We introduce RUBIK, a novel benchmark that systematically evaluates image matching methods across well-defined geometric difficulty levels. Using three complementary criteria - overlap, scale ratio, and viewpoint angle - we organize 16.5K image pairs from nuScenes into 33 difficulty levels. Our comprehensive evaluation of 14 methods reveals that while recent detector-free approaches achieve the best performance (>47% success rate), they come with significant computational overhead compared to detector-based methods (150-600ms vs. 40-70ms). Even the best performing method succeeds on only 54.8% of the pairs, highlighting substantial room for improvement, particularly in challenging scenarios combining low overlap, large scale differences, and extreme viewpoint changes. Benchmark will be made publicly available.