Incrementally Improving Graph WaveNet Performance on Traffic PredictionSam Shleifer, Clara McCreery, Vamsi Chitters
We present a series of modifications which improve upon Graph WaveNet's previously state-of-the-art performance on the METR-LA traffic prediction task. The goal of this task is to predict the future speed of traffic at each sensor in a network using the past hour of sensor readings. Graph WaveNet (GWN) is a spatio-temporal graph neural network which interleaves graph convolution to aggregate information from nearby sensors and dilated convolutions to aggregate information from the past. We improve GWN by (1) using better hyperparameters, (2) adding connections that allow larger gradients to flow back to the early convolutional layers, and (3) pretraining on an easier short-term traffic prediction task. These modifications reduce the mean absolute error by .06 on the METR-LA task, nearly equal to GWN's improvement over its predecessor. These improvements generalize to the PEMS-BAY dataset, with similar relative magnitude. We also show that ensembling separate models for short-and long-term predictions further improves performance. Code is available at https://github.com/sshleifer/Graph-WaveNet .
22.7IRAug 4, 2020
Effective Transfer Learning for Identifying Similar Questions: Matching User Questions to COVID-19 FAQsClara H. McCreery, Namit Katariya, Anitha Kannan et al.
People increasingly search online for answers to their medical questions but the rate at which medical questions are asked online significantly exceeds the capacity of qualified people to answer them. This leaves many questions unanswered or inadequately answered. Many of these questions are not unique, and reliable identification of similar questions would enable more efficient and effective question answering schema. COVID-19 has only exacerbated this problem. Almost every government agency and healthcare organization has tried to meet the informational need of users by building online FAQs, but there is no way for people to ask their question and know if it is answered on one of these pages. While many research efforts have focused on the problem of general question similarity, these approaches do not generalize well to domains that require expert knowledge to determine semantic similarity, such as the medical domain. In this paper, we show how a double fine-tuning approach of pretraining a neural network on medical question-answer pairs followed by fine-tuning on medical question-question pairs is a particularly useful intermediate task for the ultimate goal of determining medical question similarity. While other pretraining tasks yield an accuracy below 78.7% on this task, our model achieves an accuracy of 82.6% with the same number of training examples, an accuracy of 80.0% with a much smaller training set, and an accuracy of 84.5% when the full corpus of medical question-answer data is used. We also describe a currently live system that uses the trained model to match user questions to COVID-related FAQs.
5.4LGOct 9, 2019
Domain-Relevant Embeddings for Medical Question SimilarityClara McCreery, Namit Katariya, Anitha Kannan et al.
The rate at which medical questions are asked online far exceeds the capacity of qualified people to answer them, and many of these questions are not unique. Identifying same-question pairs could enable questions to be answered more effectively. While many research efforts have focused on the problem of general question similarity for non-medical applications, these approaches do not generalize well to the medical domain, where medical expertise is often required to determine semantic similarity. In this paper, we show how a semi-supervised approach of pre-training a neural network on medical question-answer pairs is a particularly useful intermediate task for the ultimate goal of determining medical question similarity. While other pre-training tasks yield an accuracy below 78.7% on this task, our model achieves an accuracy of 82.6% with the same number of training examples, and an accuracy of 80.0% with a much smaller training set.