Robert J. Gray

James K Ruffle, Samia Mohinta, Robert J Gray et al.

The complex heterogeneity of brain tumours is increasingly recognized to demand data of magnitudes and richness only fully-inclusive, large-scale collections drawn from routine clinical care could plausibly offer. This is a task contemporary machine learning could facilitate, especially in neuroimaging, but its ability to deal with incomplete data common in real world clinical practice remains unknown. Here we apply state-of-the-art methods to large scale, multi-site MRI data to quantify the comparative fidelity of automated tumour segmentation models replicating the various levels of sequence availability observed in the clinical reality. We compare deep learning (nnU-Net-derived) segmentation models with all possible combinations of T1, contrast-enhanced T1, T2, and FLAIR sequences, trained and validated with five-fold cross-validation on the 2021 BraTS-RSNA glioma population of 1251 patients, with further testing on a real-world 50 patient sample diverse in not only MRI scanner and field strength, but a random selection of pre- and post-operative imaging also. Models trained on incomplete imaging data segmented lesions well, often equivalently to those trained on complete data, exhibiting Dice coefficients of 0.907 (single sequence) to 0.945 (full datasets) for whole tumours, and 0.701 (single sequence) to 0.891 (full datasets) for component tissue types. Incomplete data segmentation models could accurately detect enhancing tumour in the absence of contrast imaging, quantifying its volume with an R2 between 0.95-0.97, and were invariant to lesion morphometry. Deep learning segmentation models characterize tumours well when missing data and can even detect enhancing tissue without the use of contrast. This suggests translation to clinical practice, where incomplete data is common, may be easier than hitherto believed, and may be of value in reducing dependence on contrast use.

James K Ruffle, Robert J Gray, Samia Mohinta et al.

Our knowledge of the organisation of the human brain at the population-level is yet to translate into power to predict functional differences at the individual-level, limiting clinical applications, and casting doubt on the generalisability of inferred mechanisms. It remains unknown whether the difficulty arises from the absence of individuating biological patterns within the brain, or from limited power to access them with the models and compute at our disposal. Here we comprehensively investigate the resolvability of such patterns with data and compute at unprecedented scale. Across 23 810 unique participants from UK Biobank, we systematically evaluate the predictability of 25 individual biological characteristics, from all available combinations of structural and functional neuroimaging data. Over 4526 GPU hours of computation, we train, optimize, and evaluate out-of-sample 700 individual predictive models, including fully-connected feed-forward neural networks of demographic, psychological, serological, chronic disease, and functional connectivity characteristics, and both uni- and multi-modal 3D convolutional neural network models of macro- and micro-structural brain imaging. We find a marked discrepancy between the high predictability of sex (balanced accuracy 99.7%), age (mean absolute error 2.048 years, R2 0.859), and weight (mean absolute error 2.609Kg, R2 0.625), for which we set new state-of-the-art performance, and the surprisingly low predictability of other characteristics. Neither structural nor functional imaging predicted psychology better than the coincidence of chronic disease (p<0.05). Serology predicted chronic disease (p<0.05) and was best predicted by it (p<0.001), followed by structural neuroimaging (p<0.05). Our findings suggest either more informative imaging or more powerful models are needed to decipher individual level characteristics from the human brain.

Amy PK Nelson, Joe Mole, Guilherme Pombo et al.

The quantification of cognitive powers rests on identifying a behavioural task that depends on them. Such dependence cannot be assured, for the powers a task invokes cannot be experimentally controlled or constrained a priori, resulting in unknown vulnerability to failure of specificity and generalisability. Evaluating a compact version of Raven's Advanced Progressive Matrices (RAPM), a widely used clinical test of fluid intelligence, we show that LaMa, a self-supervised artificial neural network trained solely on the completion of partially masked images of natural environmental scenes, achieves human-level test scores a prima vista, without any task-specific inductive bias or training. Compared with cohorts of healthy and focally lesioned participants, LaMa exhibits human-like variation with item difficulty, and produces errors characteristic of right frontal lobe damage under degradation of its ability to integrate global spatial patterns. LaMa's narrow training and limited capacity -- comparable to the nervous system of the fruit fly -- suggest RAPM may be open to computationally simple solutions that need not necessarily invoke abstract reasoning.