Justin D. Strait

Hengrui Luo, Justin D. Strait

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed curves, which often exhibit structural similarities at multiple levels. Modeling multiple closed curves in a way that efficiently incorporates such between-curve dependence remains a challenging problem. In this work, we propose and investigate a multiple-output (a.k.a. multi-output), multi-dimensional Gaussian process modeling framework. We illustrate the proposed methodological advances, and demonstrate the utility of meaningful uncertainty quantification, on several curve and shape-related tasks. This model-based approach not only addresses the problem of inference on closed curves (and their shapes) with kernel constructions, but also opens doors to nonparametric modeling of multi-level dependence for functional objects in general.

Yordan P. Raykov, Hengrui Luo, Justin D. Strait et al.

We propose causal effect estimators based on empirical Fréchet means and operator-valued kernels, tailored to functional data spaces. These methods address the challenges of high-dimensionality, sequential ordering, and model complexity while preserving robustness to treatment misspecification. Using structural assumptions, we obtain compact representations of potential outcomes, enabling scalable estimation of causal effects over time and across covariates. We provide both theoretical, regarding the consistency of functional causal effects, as well as empirical comparison of a range of proposed causal effect estimators. Applications to binary treatment settings with functional outcomes illustrate the framework's utility in biomedical monitoring, where outcomes exhibit complex temporal dynamics. Our estimators accommodate scenarios with registered covariates and outcomes, aligning them to the Fréchet means, as well as cases requiring higher-order representations to capture intricate covariate-outcome interactions. These advancements extend causal inference to dynamic and non-linear domains, offering new tools for understanding complex treatment effects in functional data settings.