Scott Hale

Isabelle Augenstein, Timothy Baldwin, Meeyoung Cha et al.

The emergence of tools based on Large Language Models (LLMs), such as OpenAI's ChatGPT, Microsoft's Bing Chat, and Google's Bard, has garnered immense public attention. These incredibly useful, natural-sounding tools mark significant advances in natural language generation, yet they exhibit a propensity to generate false, erroneous, or misleading content -- commonly referred to as "hallucinations." Moreover, LLMs can be exploited for malicious applications, such as generating false but credible-sounding content and profiles at scale. This poses a significant challenge to society in terms of the potential deception of users and the increasing dissemination of inaccurate information. In light of these risks, we explore the kinds of technological innovations, regulatory reforms, and AI literacy initiatives needed from fact-checkers, news organizations, and the broader research and policy communities. By identifying the risks, the imminent threats, and some viable solutions, we seek to shed light on navigating various aspects of veracity in the era of generative AI.

Jessica Rodrigues, Angelo Salatino, Gard Jenset et al.

Research attention is widely used as an indicator of visibility, influence, and societal uptake, yet it is typically represented as aggregated counts that do not preserve how attention develops across contexts over time. This creates a mismatch between how attention is interpreted and how it is represented. We propose attention flows as contextually structured representations that encode the organisation of attention and its evolution over time. We evaluate whether these representations capture transferable structure by constructing a benchmark based on analogy-style reasoning across research outputs. Comparing signal, sequence, and flow-based representations, we find that flow representations more effectively support structural comparison, particularly in settings where attention is shaped by temporal progression or context distributions. We further show that learned flow representations improve robustness under partial observation and structural perturbation. Overall, these results support modelling attention as a contextually structured phenomenon and provide a basis for more informative approaches to research evaluation.

Jabez Magomere, Emanuele La Malfa, Manuel Tonneau et al. · oxford

Online misinformation remains a critical challenge, and fact-checkers increasingly rely on claim matching systems that use sentence embedding models to retrieve relevant fact-checks. However, as users interact with claims online, they often introduce edits, and it remains unclear whether current embedding models used in retrieval are robust to such edits. To investigate this, we introduce a perturbation framework that generates valid and natural claim variations, enabling us to assess the robustness of a wide-range of sentence embedding models in a multi-stage retrieval pipeline and evaluate the effectiveness of various mitigation approaches. Our evaluation reveals that standard embedding models exhibit notable performance drops on edited claims, while LLM-distilled embedding models offer improved robustness at a higher computational cost. Although a strong reranker helps to reduce the performance drop, it cannot fully compensate for first-stage retrieval gaps. To address these retrieval gaps, we evaluate train- and inference-time mitigation approaches, demonstrating that they can improve in-domain robustness by up to 17 percentage points and boost out-of-domain generalization by 10 percentage points. Overall, our findings provide practical improvements to claim-matching systems, enabling more reliable fact-checking of evolving misinformation. Code and data are available at https://github.com/JabezNzomo99/claim-matching-robustness.

Jonathan Rystrøm, Hannah Rose Kirk, Scott Hale · oxford

Large Language Models (LLMs) are becoming increasingly capable across global languages. However, the ability to communicate across languages does not necessarily translate to appropriate cultural representations. A key concern is US-centric bias, where LLMs reflect US rather than local cultural values. We propose a novel methodology that compares LLM-generated response distributions against population-level opinion data from the World Value Survey across four languages (Danish, Dutch, English, and Portuguese). Using a rigorous linear mixed-effects regression framework, we compare two families of models: Google's Gemma models (2B--27B parameters) and successive iterations of OpenAI's turbo-series. Across the families of models, we find no consistent relationships between language capabilities and cultural alignment. While the Gemma models have a positive correlation between language capability and cultural alignment across languages, the OpenAI models do not. Importantly, we find that self-consistency is a stronger predictor of multicultural alignment than multilingual capabilities. Our results demonstrate that achieving meaningful cultural alignment requires dedicated effort beyond improving general language capabilities.

Xi Chen, Mattia Samory, Scott Hale et al.

Understanding the writing frame of news articles is vital for addressing social issues, and thus has attracted notable attention in the fields of communication studies. Yet, assessing such news article frames remains a challenge due to the absence of a concrete and unified standard dataset that considers the comprehensive nuances within news content. To address this gap, we introduce an extended version of a large labeled news article dataset with 16,687 new labeled pairs. Leveraging the pairwise comparison of news articles, our method frees the work of manual identification of frame classes in traditional news frame analysis studies. Overall we introduce the most extensive cross-lingual news article similarity dataset available to date with 26,555 labeled news article pairs across 10 languages. Each data point has been meticulously annotated according to a codebook detailing eight critical aspects of news content, under a human-in-the-loop framework. Application examples demonstrate its potential in unearthing country communities within global news coverage, exposing media bias among news outlets, and quantifying the factors related to news creation. We envision that this news similarity dataset will broaden our understanding of the media ecosystem in terms of news coverage of events and perspectives across countries, locations, languages, and other social constructs. By doing so, it can catalyze advancements in social science research and applied methodologies, thereby exerting a profound impact on our society.

Jabez Magomere, Scott Hale

The adoption of crowdsourced election monitoring as a complementary alternative to traditional election monitoring is on the rise. Yet, its reliance on digital response volunteers to manually process incoming election reports poses a significant scaling bottleneck. In this paper, we address the challenge of scaling crowdsourced election monitoring by advancing the task of automated classification of crowdsourced election reports to multilingual and cross-domain classification settings. We propose a two-step classification approach of first identifying informative reports and then categorising them into distinct information types. We conduct classification experiments using multilingual transformer models such as XLM-RoBERTa and multilingual embeddings such as SBERT, augmented with linguistically motivated features. Our approach achieves F1-Scores of 77\% for informativeness detection and 75\% for information type classification. We conduct cross-domain experiments, applying models trained in a source electoral domain to a new target electoral domain in zero-shot and few-shot classification settings. Our results show promising potential for model transfer across electoral domains, with F1-Scores of 59\% in zero-shot and 63\% in few-shot settings. However, our analysis also reveals a performance bias in detecting informative English reports over Swahili, likely due to imbalances in the training data, indicating a need for caution when deploying classification models in real-world election scenarios.

Kobi Hackenburg, Ben M. Tappin, Paul Röttger et al.

Large language models can now generate political messages as persuasive as those written by humans, raising concerns about how far this persuasiveness may continue to increase with model size. Here, we generate 720 persuasive messages on 10 U.S. political issues from 24 language models spanning several orders of magnitude in size. We then deploy these messages in a large-scale randomized survey experiment (N = 25,982) to estimate the persuasive capability of each model. Our findings are twofold. First, we find evidence of a log scaling law: model persuasiveness is characterized by sharply diminishing returns, such that current frontier models are barely more persuasive than models smaller in size by an order of magnitude or more. Second, mere task completion (coherence, staying on topic) appears to account for larger models' persuasive advantage. These findings suggest that further scaling model size will not much increase the persuasiveness of static LLM-generated messages.

Bertie Vidgen, Austin Botelho, David Broniatowski et al.

The outbreak of COVID-19 has transformed societies across the world as governments tackle the health, economic and social costs of the pandemic. It has also raised concerns about the spread of hateful language and prejudice online, especially hostility directed against East Asia. In this paper we report on the creation of a classifier that detects and categorizes social media posts from Twitter into four classes: Hostility against East Asia, Criticism of East Asia, Meta-discussions of East Asian prejudice and a neutral class. The classifier achieves an F1 score of 0.83 across all four classes. We provide our final model (coded in Python), as well as a new 20,000 tweet training dataset used to make the classifier, two analyses of hashtags associated with East Asian prejudice and the annotation codebook. The classifier can be implemented by other researchers, assisting with both online content moderation processes and further research into the dynamics, prevalence and impact of East Asian prejudice online during this global pandemic.