Siqi Dai

Zhenjiang Mao, Siqi Dai, Yuang Geng et al.

A world model creates a surrogate world to train a controller and predict safety violations by learning the internal dynamic model of systems. However, the existing world models rely solely on statistical learning of how observations change in response to actions, lacking precise quantification of how accurate the surrogate dynamics are, which poses a significant challenge in safety-critical systems. To address this challenge, we propose foundation world models that embed observations into meaningful and causally latent representations. This enables the surrogate dynamics to directly predict causal future states by leveraging a training-free large language model. In two common benchmarks, this novel model outperforms standard world models in the safety prediction task and has a performance comparable to supervised learning despite not using any data. We evaluate its performance with a more specialized and system-relevant metric by comparing estimated states instead of aggregating observation-wide error.

Jiaxin Gao, Yuxiao Hu, Qinglong Cao et al.

Time series forecasting (TSF) holds significant importance in modern society, spanning numerous domains. Previous representation learning-based TSF algorithms typically embrace a contrastive learning paradigm featuring segregated trend-periodicity representations. Yet, these methodologies disregard the inherent high-impact noise embedded within time series data, resulting in representation inaccuracies and seriously demoting the forecasting performance. To address this issue, we propose CLeaRForecast, a novel contrastive learning framework to learn high-purity time series representations with proposed sample, feature, and architecture purifying methods. More specifically, to avoid more noise adding caused by the transformations of original samples (series), transformations are respectively applied for trendy and periodic parts to provide better positive samples with obviously less noise. Moreover, we introduce a channel independent training manner to mitigate noise originating from unrelated variables in the multivariate series. By employing a streamlined deep-learning backbone and a comprehensive global contrastive loss function, we prevent noise introduction due to redundant or uneven learning of periodicity and trend. Experimental results show the superior performance of CLeaRForecast in various downstream TSF tasks.